Ball St.
Mid-American
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.7#120
Achievement Rating+2.4#139
Pace73.2#80
Improvement-3.3#302

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#137
First Shot-0.1#185
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#73
Layup/Dunks+1.4#130
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#62
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#325
Freethrows+1.5#76
Improvement-6.1#346

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#108
First Shot+3.0#83
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#244
Layups/Dunks-1.6#248
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#120
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#84
Freethrows+1.7#71
Improvement+2.9#42
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 4.7% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.2 13.8
.500 or above 88.6% 96.7% 81.6%
.500 or above in Conference 53.4% 73.9% 35.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.8% 4.7% 3.0%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (OH) (Away) - 46.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 199   Indiana St. W 86-69 80%     1 - 0 +12.0 +16.8 -3.9
  Nov 10, 2018 10   @ Purdue L 75-84 8%     1 - 1 +10.4 +7.6 +2.8
  Nov 15, 2018 17   Virginia Tech L 64-73 14%     1 - 2 +6.5 +4.7 +0.7
  Nov 16, 2018 44   Alabama L 61-79 29%     1 - 3 -8.5 -8.2 +0.0
  Nov 18, 2018 191   Appalachian St. W 94-86 70%     2 - 3 +6.1 -1.9 +6.4
  Nov 24, 2018 201   Evansville W 82-72 80%     3 - 3 +4.8 +11.6 -6.5
  Dec 01, 2018 205   @ IUPUI W 85-75 64%     4 - 3 +10.1 +2.5 +6.5
  Dec 05, 2018 116   @ Loyola Chicago W 75-69 39%     5 - 3 +12.7 +5.8 +6.8
  Dec 09, 2018 201   @ Evansville L 77-89 63%     5 - 4 -11.7 +0.3 -11.0
  Dec 17, 2018 184   @ Valparaiso W 77-61 59%     6 - 4 +17.4 +6.6 +10.7
  Dec 20, 2018 321   Howard W 98-71 93%     7 - 4 +14.1 +20.2 -5.0
  Dec 29, 2018 353   Delaware St. W 116-57 99%     8 - 4 +34.9 +18.9 +9.0
  Jan 04, 2019 67   @ Toledo W 79-64 28%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +24.9 +6.7 +17.3
  Jan 08, 2019 149   Eastern Michigan L 82-84 69%     9 - 5 1 - 1 -3.6 +4.7 -8.2
  Jan 12, 2019 209   Ohio L 52-70 81%     9 - 6 1 - 2 -23.6 -20.3 -3.0
  Jan 15, 2019 100   @ Bowling Green L 78-79 35%     9 - 7 1 - 3 +6.7 +2.0 +4.8
  Jan 19, 2019 147   @ Central Michigan W 83-72 48%     10 - 7 2 - 3 +15.1 +6.7 +8.1
  Jan 22, 2019 144   Miami (OH) L 65-71 68%     10 - 8 2 - 4 -7.0 -6.0 -1.3
  Jan 26, 2019 209   @ Ohio L 74-78 64%     10 - 9 2 - 5 -4.1 +0.0 -3.8
  Jan 29, 2019 28   @ Buffalo L 59-83 13%     10 - 10 2 - 6 -8.3 -13.0 +7.2
  Feb 02, 2019 142   Kent St. L 80-83 68%     10 - 11 2 - 7 -4.0 -3.5 -0.2
  Feb 05, 2019 150   @ Northern Illinois W 72-71 51%     11 - 11 3 - 7 +4.5 -1.2 +5.7
  Feb 09, 2019 263   Western Michigan W 79-59 87%     12 - 11 4 - 7 +11.4 -0.7 +11.6
  Feb 16, 2019 126   Akron W 57-56 62%     13 - 11 5 - 7 +1.5 -12.6 +14.1
  Feb 19, 2019 144   @ Miami (OH) L 70-71 46%    
  Feb 23, 2019 147   Central Michigan W 82-77 69%    
  Feb 26, 2019 67   Toledo L 73-74 49%    
  Mar 02, 2019 263   @ Western Michigan W 78-71 73%    
  Mar 05, 2019 149   @ Eastern Michigan L 67-68 48%    
  Mar 08, 2019 150   Northern Illinois W 76-70 71%    
Projected Record 16.6 - 13.4 8.6 - 9.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.6 2.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 7.9 2.8 12.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 13.0 9.2 0.6 23.7 5th
6th 0.0 6.4 12.1 0.9 19.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 12.1 3.0 0.0 16.2 7th
8th 0.1 4.9 6.5 0.1 11.6 8th
9th 1.0 6.5 1.0 0.0 8.5 9th
10th 0.6 3.3 2.0 0.0 5.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.7 4.5 14.5 27.0 29.7 18.6 5.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 5.1% 8.9% 8.9% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.6
10-8 18.6% 6.4% 6.4% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 17.4
9-9 29.7% 3.7% 3.7% 13.6 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 28.6
8-10 27.0% 2.5% 2.5% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 26.3
7-11 14.5% 2.0% 2.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 14.2
6-12 4.5% 1.5% 1.5% 15.2 0.1 0.0 4.4
5-13 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.7
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.3 0.5 0.0 96.2 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 12.0 0.2 3.1 19.1 49.5 25.7 2.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.8%
Lose Out 0.4%