Baylor
Big 12
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.1#84
Achievement Rating+0.7#165
Pace65.6#290
Improvement-0.1#182

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#129
First Shot-1.9#238
After Offensive Rebound+3.6#26
Layup/Dunks+0.1#176
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#113
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#188
Freethrows-2.8#307
Improvement-1.3#289

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#62
First Shot+6.6#25
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#304
Layups/Dunks+7.9#4
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#314
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#130
Freethrows-0.1#182
Improvement+1.3#81
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.3% 15.3% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.6% 14.2% 5.6%
Average Seed 9.3 8.9 9.7
.500 or above 21.8% 37.4% 17.0%
.500 or above in Conference 10.7% 15.5% 9.2%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 44.5% 36.3% 47.0%
First Four2.0% 3.1% 1.7%
First Round7.2% 13.6% 5.3%
Second Round3.3% 6.4% 2.3%
Sweet Sixteen1.0% 2.0% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arizona (Away) - 23.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 220   Texas Southern L 69-72 88%     0 - 1 -9.5 -6.8 -2.7
  Nov 10, 2018 333   Southern W 80-53 96%     1 - 1 +12.1 -0.2 +13.1
  Nov 12, 2018 286   Prairie View W 91-80 92%     2 - 1 +1.1 +10.9 -10.1
  Nov 16, 2018 254   Nicholls St. W 81-54 90%     3 - 1 +18.7 +11.5 +9.1
  Nov 23, 2018 64   Mississippi L 70-78 44%     3 - 2 -0.2 -5.8 +6.1
  Nov 24, 2018 169   George Mason W 72-61 74%     4 - 2 +10.5 -1.4 +11.8
  Nov 27, 2018 171   South Dakota W 63-57 82%     5 - 2 +2.3 -1.8 +4.8
  Dec 01, 2018 113   @ Wichita St. L 63-71 46%     5 - 3 -0.9 -6.9 +6.2
  Dec 15, 2018 40   @ Arizona L 64-72 23%    
  Dec 18, 2018 159   Stephen F. Austin W 73-64 80%    
  Dec 21, 2018 33   Oregon L 65-68 39%    
  Dec 29, 2018 263   New Orleans W 73-58 92%    
  Jan 05, 2019 29   @ TCU L 65-74 19%    
  Jan 08, 2019 21   Iowa St. L 68-72 35%    
  Jan 12, 2019 4   Kansas L 65-75 19%    
  Jan 14, 2019 73   @ Oklahoma St. L 66-70 36%    
  Jan 19, 2019 12   Texas Tech L 61-67 28%    
  Jan 21, 2019 38   @ West Virginia L 66-74 23%    
  Jan 26, 2019 61   Alabama W 69-68 54%    
  Jan 28, 2019 25   @ Oklahoma L 66-76 19%    
  Feb 02, 2019 29   TCU L 68-71 38%    
  Feb 06, 2019 42   @ Texas L 61-68 26%    
  Feb 09, 2019 26   Kansas St. L 61-65 37%    
  Feb 11, 2019 25   Oklahoma L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 16, 2019 12   @ Texas Tech L 58-70 13%    
  Feb 19, 2019 21   @ Iowa St. L 65-75 18%    
  Feb 23, 2019 38   West Virginia L 69-71 43%    
  Feb 27, 2019 42   Texas L 64-65 46%    
  Mar 02, 2019 26   @ Kansas St. L 58-68 20%    
  Mar 06, 2019 73   Oklahoma St. W 69-67 58%    
  Mar 09, 2019 4   @ Kansas L 62-78 9%    
Projected Record 13.1 - 17.9 5.2 - 12.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 4.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 7.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.0 2.1 0.1 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.2 6.7 3.1 0.3 0.0 15.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.1 7.1 7.9 3.8 0.4 0.0 23.0 9th
10th 1.1 4.1 7.9 9.5 7.0 2.6 0.4 0.0 32.8 10th
Total 1.1 4.2 8.5 12.7 15.2 15.2 13.8 10.8 7.8 5.0 2.9 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 96.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 69.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 41.0% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 13.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 2.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 100.0% 26.9% 73.1% 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.1% 98.9% 14.7% 84.2% 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.8%
13-5 0.3% 98.3% 11.3% 87.0% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.1%
12-6 0.7% 93.8% 8.1% 85.7% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.2%
11-7 1.6% 81.7% 4.7% 77.0% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 80.8%
10-8 2.9% 66.6% 4.0% 62.6% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 65.2%
9-9 5.0% 44.7% 2.5% 42.2% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.8 43.3%
8-10 7.8% 15.2% 1.4% 13.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.6 14.0%
7-11 10.8% 3.5% 0.8% 2.7% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.4 2.7%
6-12 13.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.7 0.2%
5-13 15.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.1 0.0%
4-14 15.2% 0.1% 0.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.2
3-15 12.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.7
2-16 8.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.5
1-17 4.2% 4.2
0-18 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 8.3% 0.7% 7.6% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 91.7 7.6%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%