Bethune-Cookman
Mid-Eastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.5#306
Achievement Rating-10.4#310
Pace77.5#26
Improvement+1.7#101

Offense
Total Offense-6.9#329
First Shot-8.0#339
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#87
Layup/Dunks-2.6#267
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#144
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#327
Freethrows-0.4#211
Improvement+0.5#159

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#219
First Shot+0.1#165
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#318
Layups/Dunks+0.4#156
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#147
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#95
Freethrows-2.9#330
Improvement+1.1#112
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.4% 16.3% 11.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 17.3% 24.7% 6.6%
.500 or above in Conference 93.1% 98.6% 85.1%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four14.2% 16.0% 11.6%
First Round6.2% 7.0% 4.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina St. (Away) - 59.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 97   @ DePaul L 58-80 7%     0 - 1 -14.2 -5.0 -11.9
  Nov 10, 2018 24   @ Marquette L 59-92 2%     0 - 2 -16.6 -13.0 -0.2
  Nov 17, 2018 56   @ Miami (FL) L 70-78 5%     0 - 3 +2.9 +0.9 +2.1
  Nov 20, 2018 170   Nebraska Omaha L 56-76 30%     0 - 4 -23.1 -25.8 +3.4
  Nov 26, 2018 338   Stetson W 84-74 76%     1 - 4 -6.0 -7.6 +0.4
  Dec 01, 2018 175   Florida Atlantic W 72-70 31%     2 - 4 -1.4 -7.1 +5.5
  Dec 04, 2018 49   @ St. Mary's L 61-93 4%     2 - 5 -20.0 -7.5 -13.2
  Dec 06, 2018 339   @ San Jose St. L 65-67 58%     2 - 6 -12.6 -12.8 +0.2
  Dec 08, 2018 327   @ Cal Poly L 78-80 50%     2 - 7 -10.6 -3.5 -6.9
  Dec 15, 2018 252   Jacksonville L 71-79 48%     2 - 8 -16.0 -9.3 -6.3
  Dec 19, 2018 214   @ Quinnipiac L 63-87 23%     2 - 9 -24.7 -9.0 -16.7
  Dec 21, 2018 242   @ Boston University W 74-66 27%     3 - 9 +6.0 +1.8 +4.5
  Jan 05, 2019 314   @ NC Central L 59-68 42%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -15.6 -19.1 +4.1
  Jan 12, 2019 313   @ Howard W 71-63 42%     4 - 10 1 - 1 +1.4 -9.2 +10.3
  Jan 14, 2019 265   @ Norfolk St. L 68-75 31%     4 - 11 1 - 2 -10.3 -11.8 +2.0
  Jan 19, 2019 353   Delaware St. W 69-49 92%     5 - 11 2 - 2 -4.1 -16.7 +11.9
  Jan 21, 2019 352   Maryland Eastern Shore W 89-68 91%     6 - 11 3 - 2 -2.3 +9.6 -11.1
  Jan 26, 2019 334   @ Morgan St. L 71-77 54%     6 - 12 3 - 3 -15.6 -16.0 +1.3
  Jan 28, 2019 345   @ Coppin St. L 91-95 65%     6 - 13 3 - 4 -16.4 +2.8 -18.7
  Feb 02, 2019 314   NC Central W 74-64 63%     7 - 13 4 - 4 -2.0 -7.4 +4.8
  Feb 04, 2019 324   N.C. A&T W 69-53 68%     8 - 13 5 - 4 +2.8 -4.6 +8.6
  Feb 09, 2019 265   Norfolk St. W 84-76 51%     9 - 13 6 - 4 -0.8 -1.3 -0.2
  Feb 11, 2019 313   Howard L 73-79 63%     9 - 14 6 - 5 -18.0 -12.7 -4.8
  Feb 16, 2019 342   @ South Carolina St. W 75-72 60%    
  Feb 18, 2019 348   @ Savannah St. W 88-83 65%    
  Feb 23, 2019 325   Florida A&M W 68-63 68%    
  Mar 02, 2019 342   South Carolina St. W 78-70 79%    
  Mar 07, 2019 325   @ Florida A&M L 65-66 47%    
Projected Record 12.2 - 15.8 9.2 - 6.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 3.1 5.8 8.9 2nd
3rd 2.7 17.3 5.4 25.4 3rd
4th 0.2 12.5 8.6 0.2 21.4 4th
5th 0.0 3.6 13.5 0.6 17.8 5th
6th 0.4 11.0 3.7 0.0 15.1 6th
7th 0.0 2.7 4.5 0.1 7.4 7th
8th 0.2 2.3 0.3 2.8 8th
9th 0.4 0.5 0.9 9th
10th 0.2 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.8 6.0 19.6 32.5 29.6 11.5 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 11.5% 23.5% 23.5% 16.0 2.7 8.8
10-6 29.6% 18.3% 18.3% 16.0 5.4 24.2
9-7 32.5% 12.8% 12.8% 16.0 4.2 28.3
8-8 19.6% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 1.7 17.8
7-9 6.0% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.4 5.7
6-10 0.8% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.8
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 14.4% 14.4% 0.0% 16.0 14.4 85.6 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.7% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.2%
Lose Out 0.3%