Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.1#97
Achievement Rating+5.6#100
Pace69.5#166
Improvement+2.0#91

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#94
First Shot+1.7#136
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#83
Layup/Dunks+1.1#144
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#130
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#240
Freethrows+1.4#79
Improvement-0.5#216

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#117
First Shot+2.4#100
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#214
Layups/Dunks+0.3#159
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#58
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#201
Freethrows+1.1#106
Improvement+2.5#62
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 1.9% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 1.9% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.2 11.1 11.4
.500 or above 35.7% 67.4% 28.8%
.500 or above in Conference 0.7% 3.0% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.0% 2.1%
First Four0.3% 1.1% 0.1%
First Round0.3% 1.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina St. (Away) - 17.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 304   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 73-53 93%     1 - 0 +8.9 +3.5 +7.9
  Nov 11, 2018 262   St. Francis Brooklyn W 74-69 89%     2 - 0 -3.6 +2.6 -6.0
  Nov 14, 2018 205   IUPUI L 69-76 84%     2 - 1 -12.4 -5.3 -7.3
  Nov 19, 2018 298   Wyoming W 88-76 88%     3 - 1 +4.2 +10.8 -6.9
  Nov 21, 2018 116   Loyola Chicago W 78-66 55%     4 - 1 +15.9 +5.0 +10.4
  Nov 26, 2018 43   Minnesota W 68-56 43%     5 - 1 +19.0 -0.5 +19.7
  Nov 29, 2018 255   Sacred Heart W 81-73 89%     6 - 1 -0.3 -5.2 +4.2
  Dec 04, 2018 80   Providence L 95-100 56%     6 - 2 -1.5 +13.0 -13.8
  Dec 12, 2018 237   Columbia W 82-73 87%     7 - 2 +1.7 +10.2 -8.1
  Dec 16, 2018 286   Fairfield W 77-67 91%     8 - 2 +0.2 -4.8 +4.2
  Dec 22, 2018 98   @ DePaul W 65-62 39%     9 - 2 +10.8 -9.2 +19.9
  Dec 31, 2018 188   Hartford L 78-79 82%     9 - 3 -5.5 -4.8 -0.7
  Jan 05, 2019 17   @ Virginia Tech L 66-77 11%     9 - 4 0 - 1 +7.2 +3.4 +3.3
  Jan 09, 2019 3   Virginia L 56-83 10%     9 - 5 0 - 2 -7.8 -1.5 -8.6
  Jan 12, 2019 65   @ Notre Dame L 66-69 32%     9 - 6 0 - 3 +7.0 -3.3 +10.3
  Jan 16, 2019 16   @ Louisville L 70-80 11%     9 - 7 0 - 4 +8.2 +6.1 +2.2
  Jan 20, 2019 18   Florida St. W 87-82 24%     10 - 7 1 - 4 +17.6 +19.4 -1.9
  Jan 26, 2019 176   @ Wake Forest W 65-61 62%     11 - 7 2 - 4 +6.1 -1.5 +7.9
  Jan 30, 2019 40   Syracuse L 71-77 38%     11 - 8 2 - 5 +2.2 +13.6 -12.2
  Feb 02, 2019 65   Notre Dame L 73-79 52%     11 - 9 2 - 6 -1.6 +8.3 -10.4
  Feb 05, 2019 1   @ Duke L 55-80 3%     11 - 10 2 - 7 +2.4 -5.0 +7.0
  Feb 09, 2019 40   @ Syracuse L 56-67 21%     11 - 11 2 - 8 +2.7 -4.6 +6.7
  Feb 12, 2019 91   Pittsburgh W 66-57 59%     12 - 11 3 - 8 +11.7 -0.1 +12.3
  Feb 17, 2019 60   Miami (FL) W 64-57 50%     13 - 11 4 - 8 +12.0 -2.1 +14.5
  Feb 20, 2019 32   @ North Carolina St. L 73-83 18%    
  Feb 23, 2019 30   @ Clemson L 63-73 16%    
  Feb 27, 2019 16   Louisville L 67-75 24%    
  Mar 03, 2019 108   @ Georgia Tech L 65-67 41%    
  Mar 05, 2019 6   North Carolina L 76-88 14%    
  Mar 09, 2019 32   North Carolina St. L 76-80 36%    
Projected Record 14.5 - 15.5 5.5 - 12.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.5 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 3.6 2.0 0.1 6.8 9th
10th 0.0 7.8 21.6 9.3 0.6 0.0 39.3 10th
11th 1.0 17.2 5.6 0.2 24.0 11th
12th 7.0 9.2 0.4 0.0 16.5 12th
13th 9.9 0.7 0.0 10.6 13th
14th 0.9 0.0 0.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 15th
Total 18.8 34.9 28.6 13.4 3.7 0.6 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0% 68.1% 68.1% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 68.1%
9-9 0.6% 35.6% 35.6% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 35.6%
8-10 3.7% 5.3% 0.0% 5.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.5 5.3%
7-11 13.4% 0.2% 0.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.3 0.2%
6-12 28.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 28.6 0.0%
5-13 34.9% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 34.9
4-14 18.8% 18.8
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 99.5 0.5%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 10.8%