Bradley
Missouri Valley
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.3#144
Achievement Rating+0.5#166
Pace64.8#306
Improvement-5.4#353

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#180
First Shot+0.5#175
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#213
Layup/Dunks-2.9#267
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#60
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#230
Freethrows+2.4#59
Improvement-1.8#302

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#126
First Shot+0.9#144
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#137
Layups/Dunks+4.0#54
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#130
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#205
Freethrows-3.2#321
Improvement-3.5#346
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.4% 11.6% 8.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.0 14.5
.500 or above 69.3% 82.6% 62.4%
.500 or above in Conference 60.0% 67.6% 56.0%
Conference Champion 10.8% 14.1% 9.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.1% 5.7% 9.4%
First Four0.5% 0.2% 0.6%
First Round9.2% 11.4% 8.1%
Second Round0.8% 1.4% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Southern (Away) - 33.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 280   Southeast Missouri St. W 68-57 85%     1 - 0 +1.3 -7.8 +9.3
  Nov 14, 2018 143   Jacksonville St. W 74-65 61%     2 - 0 +7.4 +4.6 +3.1
  Nov 17, 2018 175   @ Illinois-Chicago L 70-71 47%     2 - 1 +1.0 -3.5 +4.4
  Nov 20, 2018 101   SMU W 75-62 35%     3 - 1 +18.1 +6.5 +12.4
  Nov 21, 2018 58   Penn St. W 59-56 24%     4 - 1 +11.7 +0.3 +11.7
  Nov 24, 2018 347   Chicago St. W 86-70 96%     5 - 1 -3.5 +7.8 -10.4
  Nov 28, 2018 174   @ IUPUI L 73-85 47%     5 - 2 -10.0 +0.8 -10.5
  Dec 01, 2018 148   New Mexico L 75-85 62%     5 - 3 -12.0 -7.5 -3.8
  Dec 04, 2018 245   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 68-62 62%     6 - 3 +4.0 -2.6 +6.8
  Dec 15, 2018 310   Eastern Illinois L 66-73 88%     6 - 4 -18.5 -7.4 -11.6
  Dec 18, 2018 132   @ Georgia Southern L 75-79 34%    
  Dec 22, 2018 298   SE Louisiana W 69-57 86%    
  Jan 02, 2019 178   Northern Iowa W 67-62 69%    
  Jan 05, 2019 139   @ Indiana St. L 65-69 37%    
  Jan 08, 2019 157   @ Valparaiso L 66-68 42%    
  Jan 12, 2019 200   Missouri St. W 75-68 72%    
  Jan 16, 2019 151   Drake W 73-70 62%    
  Jan 20, 2019 122   @ Southern Illinois L 63-68 32%    
  Jan 23, 2019 152   Illinois St. W 72-68 62%    
  Jan 26, 2019 200   @ Missouri St. W 72-71 52%    
  Jan 30, 2019 176   @ Evansville L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 02, 2019 122   Southern Illinois W 66-65 52%    
  Feb 06, 2019 178   @ Northern Iowa L 64-65 48%    
  Feb 09, 2019 139   Indiana St. W 68-66 59%    
  Feb 13, 2019 99   Loyola Chicago L 63-64 46%    
  Feb 16, 2019 152   @ Illinois St. L 69-71 41%    
  Feb 19, 2019 151   @ Drake L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 23, 2019 176   Evansville W 73-68 69%    
  Feb 27, 2019 157   Valparaiso W 69-65 64%    
  Mar 02, 2019 99   @ Loyola Chicago L 60-67 26%    
Projected Record 16.4 - 13.6 9.2 - 8.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.2 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 10.8 1st
2nd 0.6 3.5 4.7 2.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.5 3.6 5.4 2.1 0.4 11.9 3rd
4th 0.3 3.4 6.0 2.3 0.2 0.0 12.2 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 6.3 2.6 0.2 11.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 5.4 3.1 0.3 11.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.3 3.7 0.4 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.2 1.1 3.4 3.6 0.6 8.9 8th
9th 0.2 0.9 2.3 2.5 0.6 0.0 6.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.9 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 2.8 4.7 7.4 10.6 12.6 13.7 13.0 11.6 9.1 6.3 3.4 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 97.4% 0.8    0.7 0.0
15-3 92.7% 1.7    1.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 76.8% 2.6    1.9 0.7 0.1
13-5 50.2% 3.2    1.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
12-6 22.9% 2.1    0.5 0.8 0.6 0.2
11-7 2.5% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.8% 10.8 6.1 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.2% 0.1 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.8% 35.1% 33.8% 1.3% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 2.0%
15-3 1.8% 25.7% 25.7% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.3
14-4 3.4% 22.4% 22.4% 13.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 2.6
13-5 6.3% 18.9% 18.9% 13.7 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.1
12-6 9.1% 15.8% 15.8% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 7.7
11-7 11.6% 13.9% 13.9% 14.4 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 10.0
10-8 13.0% 10.7% 10.7% 14.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.1 11.6
9-9 13.7% 7.7% 7.7% 15.1 0.2 0.7 0.2 12.7
8-10 12.6% 5.1% 5.1% 15.5 0.3 0.4 11.9
7-11 10.6% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.3
6-12 7.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 7.4
5-13 4.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 4.6
4-14 2.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.7
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.4% 9.4% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.0 3.2 1.2 90.6 0.0%