Bradley
Missouri Valley
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#156
Achievement Rating+0.5#161
Pace64.8#292
Improvement+1.7#104

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#232
First Shot-1.1#215
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#230
Layup/Dunks-4.2#315
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#41
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#218
Freethrows+1.3#90
Improvement+0.9#145

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#111
First Shot+1.0#139
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#56
Layups/Dunks+4.3#29
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#314
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#203
Freethrows-0.7#225
Improvement+0.8#132
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.5% 11.1% 7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.6 14.9
.500 or above 83.8% 97.1% 78.0%
.500 or above in Conference 68.9% 93.4% 58.1%
Conference Champion 1.4% 4.6% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.0% 2.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round8.5% 11.1% 7.3%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drake (Away) - 30.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 315   Southeast Missouri St. W 68-57 88%     1 - 0 -1.3 -9.6 +8.5
  Nov 14, 2018 129   Jacksonville St. W 74-65 51%     2 - 0 +9.2 +6.4 +3.2
  Nov 17, 2018 196   @ Illinois-Chicago L 70-71 49%     2 - 1 -0.3 -1.9 +1.6
  Nov 20, 2018 104   SMU W 75-62 34%     3 - 1 +17.7 +5.0 +13.5
  Nov 21, 2018 57   Penn St. W 59-56 23%     4 - 1 +11.0 -1.2 +12.5
  Nov 24, 2018 351   Chicago St. W 86-70 97%     5 - 1 -6.7 +7.1 -12.9
  Nov 28, 2018 205   @ IUPUI L 73-85 51%     5 - 2 -11.9 -1.5 -10.1
  Dec 01, 2018 155   New Mexico L 75-85 60%     5 - 3 -12.2 -4.6 -6.8
  Dec 04, 2018 206   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 68-62 51%     6 - 3 +6.1 -1.8 +8.1
  Dec 15, 2018 296   Eastern Illinois L 66-73 85%     6 - 4 -17.5 -8.9 -9.1
  Dec 18, 2018 128   @ Georgia Southern L 74-79 30%     6 - 5 +0.8 -13.8 +15.8
  Dec 22, 2018 242   SE Louisiana W 63-60 77%     7 - 5 -4.5 -2.4 -1.7
  Jan 02, 2019 180   Northern Iowa L 47-65 67%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -22.0 -18.6 -7.1
  Jan 05, 2019 199   @ Indiana St. L 60-65 50%     7 - 7 0 - 2 -4.5 -15.7 +11.5
  Jan 08, 2019 184   @ Valparaiso L 50-61 46%     7 - 8 0 - 3 -9.6 -17.0 +6.6
  Jan 12, 2019 148   Missouri St. L 64-69 57%     7 - 9 0 - 4 -6.5 -2.7 -4.4
  Jan 16, 2019 130   Drake L 52-69 52%     7 - 10 0 - 5 -17.0 -18.3 +0.3
  Jan 20, 2019 145   @ Southern Illinois W 57-54 35%     8 - 10 1 - 5 +7.4 -3.3 +11.2
  Jan 23, 2019 165   Illinois St. W 85-68 63%     9 - 10 2 - 5 +14.0 +11.2 +2.9
  Jan 26, 2019 148   @ Missouri St. L 37-55 36%     9 - 11 2 - 6 -14.0 -25.5 +7.4
  Jan 30, 2019 201   @ Evansville W 81-73 50%     10 - 11 3 - 6 +8.3 +12.3 -3.9
  Feb 02, 2019 145   Southern Illinois L 68-72 56%     10 - 12 3 - 7 -5.2 +1.6 -7.2
  Feb 06, 2019 180   @ Northern Iowa W 79-71 46%     11 - 12 4 - 7 +9.5 +12.4 -2.3
  Feb 09, 2019 199   Indiana St. W 96-67 70%     12 - 12 5 - 7 +24.0 +15.0 +6.9
  Feb 13, 2019 116   Loyola Chicago W 61-54 47%     13 - 12 6 - 7 +8.1 -2.2 +11.2
  Feb 16, 2019 165   @ Illinois St. W 65-59 42%     14 - 12 7 - 7 +8.6 +2.3 +7.1
  Feb 19, 2019 130   @ Drake L 67-72 31%    
  Feb 23, 2019 201   Evansville W 69-63 71%    
  Feb 27, 2019 184   Valparaiso W 65-60 67%    
  Mar 02, 2019 116   @ Loyola Chicago L 58-64 27%    
Projected Record 16.0 - 14.0 9.0 - 9.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.4 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 1.5 2.5 4.0 2nd
3rd 0.5 9.5 0.7 10.6 3rd
4th 0.3 13.9 11.3 0.0 25.6 4th
5th 0.0 4.8 20.4 1.4 26.6 5th
6th 0.1 11.5 5.5 0.0 17.1 6th
7th 1.6 7.7 0.4 9.7 7th
8th 3.0 1.1 4.2 8th
9th 0.8 0.0 0.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 5.6 25.5 40.6 23.6 4.6 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 29.7% 1.4    0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 4.6% 16.3% 16.3% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.9
10-8 23.6% 12.5% 12.5% 14.7 0.0 1.0 1.8 0.1 20.6
9-9 40.6% 8.5% 8.5% 14.9 0.0 0.7 2.5 0.3 37.2
8-10 25.5% 4.5% 4.5% 15.2 0.1 0.8 0.3 24.4
7-11 5.6% 3.0% 3.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.4
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.5% 8.5% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.3 0.8 91.5 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.8% 100.0% 13.9 0.7 21.9 61.8 15.3 0.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.4%
Lose Out 2.6%