Brown
Ivy League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.6#155
Achievement Rating+1.0#157
Pace75.4#50
Improvement-1.5#252

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#255
First Shot-1.9#239
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#230
Layup/Dunks-2.8#275
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#181
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#126
Freethrows-0.2#193
Improvement-0.6#215

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#84
First Shot+3.2#77
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#173
Layups/Dunks-0.5#199
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#187
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#42
Freethrows+0.3#160
Improvement-0.9#232
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 5.5% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.1 14.4
.500 or above 97.1% 99.5% 93.9%
.500 or above in Conference 37.9% 52.4% 17.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.0% 2.0% 16.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.9% 5.5% 1.7%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Columbia (Away) - 58.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 278   @ LIU Brooklyn L 81-83 67%     0 - 1 -5.9 -1.3 -4.4
  Nov 11, 2018 194   @ NJIT L 60-63 49%     0 - 2 -2.3 -9.2 +6.9
  Nov 16, 2018 240   Umass Lowell W 82-74 77%     1 - 2 +0.7 -10.5 +9.9
  Nov 17, 2018 250   Sacred Heart W 82-77 79%     2 - 2 -3.0 +0.4 -3.6
  Nov 18, 2018 234   Army W 86-66 77%     3 - 2 +12.8 +6.0 +5.3
  Nov 25, 2018 326   Bryant W 84-60 90%     4 - 2 +10.4 -3.2 +12.1
  Nov 28, 2018 136   @ Rhode Island L 51-71 33%     4 - 3 -15.0 -20.0 +6.0
  Dec 01, 2018 305   @ Navy W 67-50 72%     5 - 3 +11.4 -6.5 +17.9
  Dec 05, 2018 47   @ Butler L 55-70 14%     5 - 4 -2.8 -7.0 +2.5
  Dec 08, 2018 169   Stony Brook W 71-69 64%     6 - 4 -1.1 +1.4 -2.5
  Dec 22, 2018 244   @ Marist W 78-53 61%     7 - 4 +22.8 +2.4 +20.2
  Dec 29, 2018 113   @ San Diego St. W 82-61 28%     8 - 4 +27.6 +11.7 +15.8
  Jan 02, 2019 316   Maine W 75-67 88%     9 - 4 -4.1 -2.1 -1.9
  Jan 08, 2019 239   @ Canisius W 97-90 59%     10 - 4 +5.2 +2.5 +1.2
  Jan 19, 2019 88   Yale L 67-70 40%     10 - 5 0 - 1 +0.1 -9.5 +9.8
  Jan 25, 2019 88   @ Yale L 71-79 22%     10 - 6 0 - 2 +0.5 -2.6 +3.8
  Feb 01, 2019 209   @ Dartmouth W 60-58 52%     11 - 6 1 - 2 +2.0 -12.4 +14.4
  Feb 02, 2019 119   @ Harvard L 47-68 29%     11 - 7 1 - 3 -14.8 -18.1 +2.2
  Feb 08, 2019 126   Penn L 82-92 51%     11 - 8 1 - 4 -9.6 +7.7 -17.0
  Feb 09, 2019 160   Princeton W 78-70 62%     12 - 8 2 - 4 +5.4 +2.8 +2.2
  Feb 15, 2019 210   @ Cornell L 66-70 54%     12 - 9 2 - 5 -4.3 -13.4 +9.4
  Feb 16, 2019 241   @ Columbia W 73-70 58%    
  Feb 22, 2019 119   Harvard L 68-69 51%    
  Feb 23, 2019 209   Dartmouth W 75-69 72%    
  Mar 01, 2019 241   Columbia W 75-67 78%    
  Mar 02, 2019 210   Cornell W 75-69 73%    
  Mar 08, 2019 160   @ Princeton L 66-68 41%    
  Mar 09, 2019 126   @ Penn L 69-74 31%    
Projected Record 16.0 - 12.0 6.0 - 8.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 2.7 1.9 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 4.5 6.7 0.4 11.6 3rd
4th 0.0 3.1 12.5 1.8 0.0 17.4 4th
5th 0.0 2.0 14.7 6.8 0.1 23.6 5th
6th 0.0 2.9 14.9 10.1 0.4 28.3 6th
7th 1.1 6.1 4.2 0.2 11.6 7th
8th 0.4 1.4 0.9 0.1 2.7 8th
Total 0.4 2.5 9.9 21.1 28.2 24.3 11.2 2.4 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 2.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 2.4% 22.4% 22.4% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9
8-6 11.2% 17.6% 17.6% 14.2 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.5 0.0 9.2
7-7 24.3% 5.7% 5.7% 14.6 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.0 22.9
6-8 28.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 28.2
5-9 21.1% 21.1
4-10 9.9% 9.9
3-11 2.5% 2.5
2-12 0.4% 0.4
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 1.3 0.0 96.1 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 13.1 1.9 13.7 56.5 27.3 0.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.1%
Lose Out 0.4%