Bucknell
Patriot League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#160
Achievement Rating+0.5#168
Pace74.2#91
Improvement+2.8#22

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#179
First Shot+2.3#113
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#328
Layup/Dunks-1.9#232
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#271
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#19
Freethrows-0.1#184
Improvement+0.8#109

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#154
First Shot+0.9#143
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#207
Layups/Dunks+0.0#183
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#153
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#71
Freethrows-3.1#316
Improvement+2.0#42
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.8% 25.1% 17.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 13.9 14.6
.500 or above 73.4% 91.1% 72.5%
.500 or above in Conference 83.6% 92.1% 83.1%
Conference Champion 23.2% 33.8% 22.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.4% 1.2%
First Four0.9% 0.3% 0.9%
First Round17.4% 25.0% 17.0%
Second Round1.3% 3.2% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ohio St. (Away) - 4.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 152   @ St. Bonaventure W 88-85 36%     1 - 0 +6.7 +8.0 -1.7
  Nov 10, 2018 245   Fairfield L 58-60 78%     1 - 1 -10.0 -15.0 +4.8
  Nov 13, 2018 227   Canisius L 73-82 75%     1 - 2 -16.0 -3.9 -11.9
  Nov 25, 2018 109   @ Vermont W 69-61 24%     2 - 2 +15.6 -0.3 +16.1
  Nov 28, 2018 86   Northeastern L 78-96 39%     2 - 3 -15.1 +3.5 -18.8
  Dec 01, 2018 305   Monmouth W 65-43 85%     3 - 3 +10.8 -9.0 +20.4
  Dec 04, 2018 258   @ La Salle W 92-79 60%     4 - 3 +10.4 +5.5 +3.4
  Dec 15, 2018 14   @ Ohio St. L 62-80 5%    
  Dec 19, 2018 52   @ St. Mary's L 66-78 12%    
  Dec 22, 2018 113   Rhode Island L 68-72 35%    
  Jan 02, 2019 262   @ Army W 75-72 60%    
  Jan 05, 2019 186   @ Boston University L 70-72 44%    
  Jan 09, 2019 166   Colgate W 74-71 62%    
  Jan 12, 2019 191   American W 75-70 67%    
  Jan 14, 2019 155   Holy Cross W 70-67 59%    
  Jan 19, 2019 149   @ Lehigh L 76-80 37%    
  Jan 23, 2019 298   Loyola Maryland W 81-70 83%    
  Jan 26, 2019 191   @ American L 72-73 46%    
  Jan 30, 2019 311   Navy W 76-64 86%    
  Feb 02, 2019 316   @ Lafayette W 78-71 72%    
  Feb 06, 2019 298   @ Loyola Maryland W 78-73 66%    
  Feb 09, 2019 186   Boston University W 73-69 66%    
  Feb 11, 2019 149   Lehigh W 79-77 58%    
  Feb 16, 2019 155   @ Holy Cross L 67-70 38%    
  Feb 19, 2019 166   @ Colgate L 71-74 41%    
  Feb 24, 2019 316   Lafayette W 81-68 87%    
  Feb 27, 2019 311   @ Navy W 73-67 70%    
  Mar 02, 2019 262   Army W 78-69 78%    
Projected Record 15.7 - 12.3 11.2 - 6.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.3 4.4 6.5 5.8 3.4 1.3 0.3 23.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.1 6.0 6.5 2.9 0.6 0.1 18.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 2.0 6.1 5.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 15.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 5.5 4.7 1.1 0.1 13.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.6 3.8 0.9 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.4 2.9 0.7 0.0 0.0 8.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 1.9 0.4 0.0 5.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.6 4.7 7.0 9.9 12.1 13.9 14.1 12.6 9.6 6.5 3.4 1.3 0.3 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.3    1.3 0.0
16-2 98.5% 3.4    3.2 0.2
15-3 90.0% 5.8    4.8 1.0 0.0
14-4 67.9% 6.5    3.9 2.3 0.3 0.0
13-5 35.3% 4.4    1.5 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0
12-6 9.5% 1.3    0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 23.2% 23.2 15.0 6.1 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 54.8% 53.7% 1.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 2.3%
17-1 1.3% 47.6% 47.5% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.1%
16-2 3.4% 42.6% 42.4% 0.2% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 2.0 0.3%
15-3 6.5% 35.2% 35.2% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.4 0.0 4.2 0.0%
14-4 9.6% 30.7% 30.7% 14.2 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.0 0.1 6.6
13-5 12.6% 24.7% 24.7% 14.6 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.6 0.2 9.5
12-6 14.1% 18.5% 18.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.6 0.4 11.5
11-7 13.9% 13.9% 13.9% 15.2 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.5 12.0
10-8 12.1% 10.6% 10.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 10.8
9-9 9.9% 8.2% 8.2% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 9.1
8-10 7.0% 5.1% 5.1% 15.9 0.0 0.3 6.7
7-11 4.7% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.5
6-12 2.6% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.1 2.5
5-13 1.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.2
4-14 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-15 0.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2
2-16 0.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 17.8% 17.7% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.1 5.4 6.8 2.8 82.2 0.0%