Butler
Big East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.6#37
Achievement Rating+11.1#60
Pace65.1#298
Improvement-1.4#277

Offense
Total Offense+6.7#29
First Shot+6.2#31
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#135
Layup/Dunks+1.1#142
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#121
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#41
Freethrows-1.0#229
Improvement-1.1#272

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#53
First Shot+0.2#162
After Offensive Rebounds+4.7#4
Layups/Dunks+1.1#139
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#190
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#183
Freethrows-0.6#212
Improvement-0.2#202
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 16.1% 23.5% 10.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 73.7% 82.5% 66.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 68.8% 78.6% 61.3%
Average Seed 6.8 6.2 7.3
.500 or above 93.9% 97.5% 90.9%
.500 or above in Conference 77.9% 82.5% 74.1%
Conference Champion 21.1% 25.2% 17.9%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 2.1% 4.0%
First Four3.6% 2.9% 4.2%
First Round71.8% 81.0% 64.4%
Second Round43.3% 51.6% 36.6%
Sweet Sixteen17.5% 22.3% 13.5%
Elite Eight6.6% 8.8% 4.8%
Final Four2.5% 3.4% 1.7%
Championship Game0.8% 1.2% 0.6%
National Champion0.3% 0.4% 0.2%

Next Game: Indiana (Neutral) - 44.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 153   Miami (OH) W 90-68 90%     1 - 0 +19.6 +21.7 +0.0
  Nov 12, 2018 299   Detroit Mercy W 84-63 97%     2 - 0 +10.2 -1.8 +10.8
  Nov 16, 2018 65   Mississippi W 83-76 75%     3 - 0 +11.4 +10.5 +1.0
  Nov 21, 2018 69   Dayton L 64-69 67%     3 - 1 +2.0 -2.6 +4.3
  Nov 22, 2018 254   Middle Tennessee W 84-53 93%     4 - 1 +25.7 +16.7 +10.9
  Nov 23, 2018 20   Florida W 61-54 43%     5 - 1 +20.4 +11.0 +11.0
  Dec 01, 2018 80   @ Saint Louis L 52-64 59%     5 - 2 -2.6 -11.5 +8.7
  Dec 05, 2018 176   Brown W 70-55 92%     6 - 2 +10.8 +5.1 +7.3
  Dec 08, 2018 164   Northern Illinois W 95-68 91%     7 - 2 +23.9 +24.9 +1.8
  Dec 15, 2018 24   Indiana L 70-71 45%    
  Dec 18, 2018 305   Presbyterian W 85-62 98%    
  Dec 21, 2018 98   UC Irvine W 70-61 81%    
  Dec 29, 2018 20   @ Florida L 62-67 33%    
  Jan 02, 2019 87   Georgetown W 81-72 79%    
  Jan 05, 2019 42   Creighton W 79-75 64%    
  Jan 09, 2019 60   @ Seton Hall W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 13, 2019 56   @ Xavier L 71-72 50%    
  Jan 16, 2019 107   @ DePaul W 72-68 64%    
  Jan 19, 2019 50   St. John's W 78-73 67%    
  Jan 22, 2019 21   Villanova W 69-68 54%    
  Jan 25, 2019 42   @ Creighton L 76-78 43%    
  Jan 30, 2019 34   Marquette W 74-71 59%    
  Feb 02, 2019 60   Seton Hall W 74-68 71%    
  Feb 09, 2019 87   @ Georgetown W 78-75 59%    
  Feb 12, 2019 50   @ St. John's L 75-76 47%    
  Feb 16, 2019 107   DePaul W 75-65 81%    
  Feb 20, 2019 34   @ Marquette L 71-74 38%    
  Feb 26, 2019 72   Providence W 73-65 75%    
  Mar 02, 2019 21   @ Villanova L 66-71 34%    
  Mar 05, 2019 56   Xavier W 74-68 70%    
  Mar 09, 2019 72   @ Providence W 70-68 55%    
Projected Record 20.2 - 10.8 10.6 - 7.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.2 5.9 4.3 2.1 0.8 0.1 21.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.8 6.5 4.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 17.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.6 6.6 3.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 15.0 3rd
4th 0.2 2.7 6.1 3.1 0.4 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.2 2.9 0.3 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 3.9 2.7 0.3 0.0 8.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 2.8 2.6 0.4 0.0 6.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 1.9 0.4 0.0 4.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.6 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 3.7 6.1 8.8 11.4 13.5 14.1 12.9 10.6 7.7 4.6 2.2 0.8 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 99.2% 2.1    2.1 0.1
15-3 93.4% 4.3    3.7 0.6 0.0
14-4 76.8% 5.9    4.0 1.7 0.2 0.0
13-5 48.5% 5.2    2.3 2.2 0.6 0.0
12-6 18.3% 2.4    0.5 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.7% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 21.1% 21.1 13.5 5.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 55.9% 44.1% 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.8% 100.0% 44.1% 55.9% 2.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 2.2% 100.0% 38.0% 61.9% 2.7 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
15-3 4.6% 99.8% 34.3% 65.5% 3.5 0.0 0.8 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
14-4 7.7% 99.6% 29.5% 70.1% 4.3 0.3 1.7 2.7 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.4%
13-5 10.6% 98.7% 24.0% 74.7% 5.4 0.0 0.7 2.4 2.8 2.2 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 98.3%
12-6 12.9% 96.6% 19.5% 77.1% 6.5 0.1 1.1 2.4 3.0 2.8 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 95.8%
11-7 14.1% 91.1% 15.3% 75.8% 7.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.3 2.9 2.8 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 89.5%
10-8 13.5% 82.1% 11.5% 70.6% 8.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 2.4 2.8 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.4 79.8%
9-9 11.4% 66.0% 9.0% 57.0% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 2.2 1.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.9 62.6%
8-10 8.8% 34.6% 5.6% 28.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.8 30.6%
7-11 6.1% 12.2% 3.5% 8.7% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.4 9.0%
6-12 3.7% 4.0% 2.4% 1.6% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.5 1.7%
5-13 2.0% 1.8% 1.6% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.1%
4-14 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
3-15 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 73.7% 15.7% 58.0% 6.8 0.5 2.3 5.2 8.1 8.6 9.5 9.9 8.9 8.7 5.8 4.0 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 26.3 68.8%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.1 93.8 6.3