Cal Poly
Big West
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.4#329
Achievement Rating-16.3#338
Pace63.0#323
Improvement-2.1#274

Offense
Total Offense-6.9#328
First Shot-5.2#310
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#284
Layup/Dunks-1.1#215
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#220
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#91
Freethrows-5.7#353
Improvement-2.6#290

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#295
First Shot-3.5#281
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#274
Layups/Dunks+0.3#158
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#296
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#192
Freethrows-1.7#283
Improvement+0.5#155
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 98.6% 98.4% 98.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacramento St. (Away) - 20.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2018 84   @ Arizona L 61-82 4%     0 - 1 -12.3 -9.9 -1.3
  Nov 16, 2018 264   @ Sacramento St. L 61-69 21%    
  Nov 19, 2018 167   @ Washington St. L 70-84 10%     0 - 2 -11.5 -4.9 -6.5
  Nov 21, 2018 124   Texas St. L 42-54 9%     0 - 3 -8.7 -19.8 +8.9
  Nov 23, 2018 317   @ Portland L 67-72 34%     0 - 4 -12.1 -5.7 -6.5
  Nov 24, 2018 337   South Carolina Upstate W 75-74 55%     1 - 4 -11.5 -6.9 -4.7
  Dec 01, 2018 59   @ Fresno St. L 67-76 3%     1 - 5 +1.7 +6.6 -5.9
  Dec 08, 2018 303   Bethune-Cookman W 80-78 48%     2 - 5 -9.0 -1.5 -7.6
  Dec 15, 2018 257   @ California L 66-67 21%     2 - 6 -3.8 -4.6 +0.7
  Dec 18, 2018 200   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 61-74 14%     2 - 7 -12.6 -9.8 -3.4
  Dec 21, 2018 175   Texas Arlington L 70-75 22%     2 - 8 -8.3 -9.1 +1.4
  Dec 29, 2018 251   @ Siena L 54-75 20%     2 - 9 -23.6 -13.1 -13.1
  Jan 09, 2019 172   @ UC Santa Barbara L 56-65 11%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -6.7 -9.9 +2.0
  Jan 12, 2019 276   Cal St. Northridge L 74-78 42%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -13.3 -13.7 +0.7
  Jan 19, 2019 207   @ UC Davis L 63-75 15%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -12.0 -5.4 -7.1
  Jan 23, 2019 311   UC Riverside L 51-74 51%     2 - 13 0 - 4 -34.5 -23.5 -13.8
  Jan 26, 2019 159   Cal St. Fullerton L 63-80 20%     2 - 14 0 - 5 -19.6 -1.2 -20.3
  Jan 31, 2019 311   @ UC Riverside W 71-45 30%     3 - 14 1 - 5 +20.0 +14.7 +13.1
  Feb 02, 2019 276   @ Cal St. Northridge L 65-83 24%     3 - 15 1 - 6 -21.8 -7.9 -15.4
  Feb 07, 2019 207   UC Davis L 53-63 29%     3 - 16 1 - 7 -15.5 -15.5 -1.0
  Feb 09, 2019 221   Long Beach St. L 68-76 31%     3 - 17 1 - 8 -14.2 -14.0 +0.5
  Feb 14, 2019 160   @ Hawaii L 54-75 10%     3 - 18 1 - 9 -18.3 -11.6 -8.8
  Feb 21, 2019 107   @ UC Irvine L 53-72 4%    
  Feb 23, 2019 160   Hawaii L 61-70 21%    
  Feb 28, 2019 159   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 59-73 9%    
  Mar 02, 2019 221   @ Long Beach St. L 66-77 15%    
  Mar 07, 2019 107   UC Irvine L 56-69 12%    
  Mar 09, 2019 172   UC Santa Barbara L 60-68 23%    
Projected Record 4.0 - 24.0 1.8 - 14.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 7th
8th 3.8 2.6 0.2 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 41.8 37.9 12.1 1.0 0.0 92.8 9th
Total 41.8 37.9 16.0 3.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 0.0% 0.0
6-10 0.0% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0
5-11 0.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5
4-12 3.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.8
3-13 16.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.0
2-14 37.9% 37.9
1-15 41.8% 41.8
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 33.4%