Cal St. Fullerton
Big West
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#165
Achievement Rating-11.0#298
Pace73.5#101
Improvement-1.3#273

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#248
First Shot+0.1#185
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#331
Layup/Dunks+3.5#65
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#203
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#250
Freethrows-0.7#214
Improvement-0.4#211

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#102
First Shot+3.1#75
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#221
Layups/Dunks+0.6#158
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#107
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#133
Freethrows+0.3#166
Improvement-0.9#254
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.9% 17.1% 11.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 14.8 15.4
.500 or above 24.3% 48.5% 21.5%
.500 or above in Conference 79.6% 89.5% 78.4%
Conference Champion 13.1% 20.0% 12.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 1.0% 1.6%
First Four2.7% 1.2% 2.8%
First Round11.0% 16.4% 10.4%
Second Round0.8% 1.9% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Francisco (Away) - 10.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 38   @ Arizona St. L 94-102 9%     0 - 1 +6.4 +3.1 +5.4
  Nov 15, 2018 42   Central Florida L 52-68 16%     0 - 2 -5.7 -12.5 +6.2
  Nov 16, 2018 158   Wake Forest L 59-66 47%     0 - 3 -6.7 -14.6 +7.9
  Nov 18, 2018 305   Monmouth W 87-63 77%     1 - 3 +16.0 +1.6 +11.3
  Nov 21, 2018 116   @ Hofstra L 71-80 24%     1 - 4 -2.0 -4.7 +3.0
  Nov 24, 2018 231   @ Sacramento St. L 82-87 53%     1 - 5 -6.2 -6.6 +1.5
  Dec 05, 2018 119   Loyola Marymount L 49-59 45%     1 - 6 -9.2 -18.4 +8.4
  Dec 10, 2018 53   @ St. Mary's L 66-81 12%     1 - 7 -2.7 +6.7 -11.8
  Dec 16, 2018 43   @ San Francisco L 62-75 10%    
  Dec 22, 2018 16   @ Nebraska L 63-80 5%    
  Dec 29, 2018 290   Portland W 77-67 82%    
  Jan 01, 2019 54   @ Washington L 63-76 12%    
  Jan 09, 2019 186   @ Hawaii L 67-69 44%    
  Jan 12, 2019 87   UC Irvine L 64-68 38%    
  Jan 17, 2019 296   UC Riverside W 72-62 82%    
  Jan 19, 2019 198   @ Long Beach St. L 75-76 46%    
  Jan 24, 2019 149   UC Santa Barbara W 69-67 58%    
  Jan 26, 2019 306   @ Cal Poly W 71-66 67%    
  Jan 30, 2019 327   Cal St. Northridge W 84-70 89%    
  Feb 06, 2019 87   @ UC Irvine L 61-71 20%    
  Feb 09, 2019 296   @ UC Riverside W 69-65 64%    
  Feb 13, 2019 198   Long Beach St. W 78-73 66%    
  Feb 16, 2019 327   @ Cal St. Northridge W 81-73 75%    
  Feb 21, 2019 222   UC Davis W 67-61 71%    
  Feb 23, 2019 149   @ UC Santa Barbara L 66-70 35%    
  Feb 28, 2019 306   Cal Poly W 74-63 83%    
  Mar 02, 2019 222   @ UC Davis W 65-64 49%    
  Mar 09, 2019 186   Hawaii W 70-66 65%    
Projected Record 11.6 - 16.4 9.5 - 6.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.0 3.3 4.4 2.9 1.1 0.2 13.1 1st
2nd 0.6 3.5 7.7 6.7 2.2 0.3 21.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 5.5 8.5 4.6 0.9 0.0 20.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 5.2 7.2 3.2 0.4 16.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.2 5.7 1.9 0.2 12.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.9 3.6 1.1 0.1 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.1 0.6 0.1 4.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.1 5.9 9.1 13.0 15.2 15.6 13.7 10.9 6.6 3.3 1.1 0.2 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 100.0% 1.1    1.0 0.0
14-2 89.6% 2.9    2.3 0.6 0.0
13-3 67.0% 4.4    2.5 1.7 0.2
12-4 30.2% 3.3    1.1 1.6 0.5 0.1
11-5 7.4% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.0% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 13.1% 13.1 7.3 4.5 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 1.1% 43.5% 43.5% 14.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6
14-2 3.3% 26.3% 26.3% 14.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 2.4
13-3 6.6% 28.4% 28.4% 15.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.3 4.7
12-4 10.9% 21.0% 21.0% 15.1 0.3 1.5 0.5 8.6
11-5 13.7% 15.0% 15.0% 15.5 0.1 0.9 1.1 11.7
10-6 15.6% 12.0% 12.0% 15.7 0.0 0.4 1.4 13.8
9-7 15.2% 6.3% 6.3% 15.9 0.1 0.8 14.2
8-8 13.0% 6.0% 6.0% 15.9 0.1 0.7 12.2
7-9 9.1% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.4 8.8
6-10 5.9% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.2 5.7
5-11 3.1% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.1 3.0
4-12 1.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.5
3-13 0.6% 0.6
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 11.9% 11.9% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 4.6 5.7 88.1 0.0%