California Baptist
Western Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#237
Achievement Rating-7.9#264
Pace74.2#90
Improvement+2.3#39

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#198
First Shot-0.2#190
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#204
Layup/Dunks+1.8#117
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#303
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#146
Freethrows-0.2#183
Improvement+1.1#85

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#285
First Shot-3.8#289
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#186
Layups/Dunks-2.1#259
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#246
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#29
Freethrows-5.6#350
Improvement+1.2#86
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 2.8% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 19.7% 28.3% 11.3%
.500 or above in Conference 35.0% 40.0% 30.1%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.7% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 3.5% 5.5%
First Four0.8% 0.9% 0.8%
First Round1.8% 2.4% 1.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SE Louisiana (Away) - 49.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2018 309   @ Oral Roberts W 70-69 53%     1 - 0 -4.5 -5.1 +0.7
  Nov 16, 2018 123   @ Tulsa L 79-82 15%     1 - 1 +3.3 +5.9 -2.4
  Nov 19, 2018 10   @ Nevada L 55-90 2%     1 - 2 -15.2 -13.6 +0.4
  Nov 23, 2018 324   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 107-115 72%     1 - 3 -18.6 +1.0 -17.4
  Nov 24, 2018 293   Howard L 84-86 60%     1 - 4 -9.3 -1.8 -7.3
  Nov 29, 2018 296   @ UC Riverside W 80-70 50%     2 - 4 +5.5 +7.7 -2.0
  Dec 01, 2018 349   Mississippi Valley W 107-71 92%     3 - 4 +16.1 +10.0 +1.3
  Dec 05, 2018 87   UC Irvine L 66-69 23%     3 - 5 +0.2 -0.9 +0.9
  Dec 17, 2018 298   @ SE Louisiana L 69-70 50%    
  Dec 19, 2018 332   @ Southern W 80-76 66%    
  Jan 03, 2019 65   New Mexico St. L 69-78 20%    
  Jan 05, 2019 229   UT Rio Grande Valley W 78-75 59%    
  Jan 10, 2019 266   @ UMKC L 75-77 44%    
  Jan 12, 2019 347   @ Chicago St. W 85-76 79%    
  Jan 24, 2019 196   Cal St. Bakersfield W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 26, 2019 131   Grand Canyon L 74-78 36%    
  Jan 30, 2019 130   @ Utah Valley L 70-80 17%    
  Feb 02, 2019 171   @ Seattle L 73-80 26%    
  Feb 07, 2019 347   Chicago St. W 88-73 91%    
  Feb 09, 2019 266   UMKC W 78-74 66%    
  Feb 21, 2019 131   @ Grand Canyon L 71-81 18%    
  Feb 23, 2019 196   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 28, 2019 171   Seattle L 76-77 46%    
  Mar 02, 2019 130   Utah Valley L 73-77 35%    
  Mar 07, 2019 229   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 75-78 38%    
  Mar 09, 2019 65   @ New Mexico St. L 66-81 9%    
Projected Record 10.8 - 15.2 6.7 - 9.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.0 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.3 3.4 1.3 0.1 7.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.3 1.7 0.1 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 5.9 7.2 1.8 0.1 16.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 6.8 7.8 2.2 0.1 18.9 6th
7th 0.4 2.9 7.6 7.6 2.1 0.1 20.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 4.6 6.9 4.5 1.0 0.1 18.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.9 9th
Total 0.0 0.4 2.1 5.6 10.1 14.1 16.4 16.4 13.7 9.5 6.2 3.3 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 93.8% 0.2    0.1 0.0
13-3 67.7% 0.4    0.3 0.2 0.0
12-4 26.5% 0.4    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 7.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.7% 15.4% 15.4% 14.5 0.1 0.1 0.6
12-4 1.5% 15.0% 15.0% 14.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3
11-5 3.3% 6.0% 6.0% 15.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.1
10-6 6.2% 5.8% 5.8% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 5.8
9-7 9.5% 2.7% 2.7% 15.5 0.1 0.1 9.3
8-8 13.7% 2.3% 2.3% 15.8 0.1 0.3 13.3
7-9 16.4% 2.1% 2.1% 15.9 0.0 0.3 16.0
6-10 16.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 16.2
5-11 14.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 14.0
4-12 10.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.0
3-13 5.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.6
2-14 2.1% 2.1
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 97.8 0.0%