California
Pac-12
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#177
Achievement Rating+0.1#174
Pace66.0#279
Improvement+1.9#55

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#124
First Shot+5.5#42
After Offensive Rebound-3.8#345
Layup/Dunks+1.6#131
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#154
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#113
Freethrows+1.4#107
Improvement+4.6#2

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#266
First Shot-2.4#253
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#213
Layups/Dunks+0.9#147
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#133
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#298
Freethrows-0.5#199
Improvement-2.8#336
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.4 12.4 11.7
.500 or above 2.8% 3.2% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 3.9% 4.3% 1.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 49.1% 47.3% 57.9%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal Poly (Home) - 83.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 91   Yale L 59-76 25%     0 - 1 -11.3 -14.2 +3.7
  Nov 13, 2018 240   Hampton W 80-66 74%     1 - 1 +6.1 +4.7 +1.5
  Nov 19, 2018 50   St. John's L 79-82 16%     1 - 2 +6.6 +11.6 -5.2
  Nov 20, 2018 68   Temple L 59-76 21%     1 - 3 -9.9 -6.3 -4.5
  Nov 26, 2018 272   Santa Clara W 78-66 77%     2 - 3 +2.9 +0.0 +2.6
  Dec 01, 2018 52   @ St. Mary's L 71-84 11%     2 - 4 -0.6 +9.0 -11.0
  Dec 05, 2018 47   San Francisco L 60-79 22%     2 - 5 -12.2 -1.5 -12.4
  Dec 08, 2018 70   San Diego St. W 89-83 31%     3 - 5 +10.0 +26.9 -16.2
  Dec 15, 2018 306   Cal Poly W 75-65 83%    
  Dec 19, 2018 61   @ Fresno St. L 66-78 13%    
  Dec 21, 2018 323   San Jose St. W 76-63 88%    
  Dec 29, 2018 175   Seattle W 75-72 60%    
  Jan 03, 2019 92   @ USC L 70-80 18%    
  Jan 05, 2019 43   @ UCLA L 68-82 9%    
  Jan 09, 2019 36   Arizona St. L 71-81 18%    
  Jan 12, 2019 40   Arizona L 68-77 20%    
  Jan 17, 2019 161   @ Washington St. L 75-79 35%    
  Jan 19, 2019 44   @ Washington L 64-78 10%    
  Jan 24, 2019 59   Colorado L 71-78 27%    
  Jan 26, 2019 133   Utah L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 03, 2019 97   Stanford L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 06, 2019 35   @ Oregon L 63-79 7%    
  Feb 09, 2019 64   @ Oregon St. L 64-76 14%    
  Feb 13, 2019 43   UCLA L 71-79 23%    
  Feb 16, 2019 92   USC L 73-77 37%    
  Feb 21, 2019 40   @ Arizona L 65-80 9%    
  Feb 24, 2019 36   @ Arizona St. L 68-84 8%    
  Feb 28, 2019 44   Washington L 67-75 23%    
  Mar 02, 2019 161   Washington St. W 78-76 56%    
  Mar 07, 2019 97   @ Stanford L 66-76 20%    
Projected Record 9.6 - 20.4 4.2 - 13.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 4th
5th 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.7 0.6 0.0 3.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.8 1.4 0.1 0.0 5.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.3 2.6 0.4 0.0 9.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.8 6.6 4.1 0.8 0.0 16.1 10th
11th 0.3 2.5 7.3 9.3 5.0 1.1 0.0 25.5 11th
12th 2.5 7.6 11.4 9.5 4.0 0.8 0.1 35.8 12th
Total 2.5 7.9 13.9 17.5 17.4 14.5 11.1 7.1 4.1 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 85.7% 0.0    0.0
14-4 73.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 35.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 6.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 29.6% 9.3% 20.4% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.4%
12-6 0.2% 19.0% 6.9% 12.1% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.0%
11-7 0.4% 5.6% 2.7% 2.9% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.0%
10-8 1.0% 3.2% 2.3% 0.9% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.9%
9-9 2.1% 0.9% 0.8% 0.2% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1 0.2%
8-10 4.1% 0.3% 0.3% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1
7-11 7.1% 0.2% 0.2% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1
6-12 11.1% 0.2% 0.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1
5-13 14.5% 0.1% 0.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 14.5
4-14 17.4% 0.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 17.4
3-15 17.5% 0.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 17.5
2-16 13.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.9
1-17 7.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.9
0-18 2.5% 2.5
Total 100% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.1%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%