Campbell
Big South
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#213
Achievement Rating-2.4#198
Pace66.0#263
Improvement+2.0#89

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#143
First Shot+3.4#73
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#319
Layup/Dunks-2.6#274
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#119
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#30
Freethrows-0.3#198
Improvement-0.6#222

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#289
First Shot-4.0#296
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#220
Layups/Dunks+0.6#149
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#238
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#262
Freethrows-2.0#303
Improvement+2.6#53
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.6% 10.7% 7.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 82.6% 93.7% 62.9%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 10.5% 14.9% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.7% 1.5% 2.2%
First Round8.9% 10.1% 6.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Home) - 63.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 252   UNC Wilmington W 97-93 69%     1 - 0 -4.2 +1.7 -6.5
  Nov 09, 2018 163   Coastal Carolina L 75-85 49%     1 - 1 -12.9 -1.0 -11.6
  Nov 12, 2018 209   @ Ohio L 73-81 38%     1 - 2 -8.1 +4.3 -12.4
  Nov 16, 2018 325   Florida A&M W 66-59 76%     2 - 2 -3.7 -3.7 +0.4
  Nov 18, 2018 137   Austin Peay W 78-72 31%     3 - 2 +8.1 +5.0 +3.1
  Nov 24, 2018 68   @ Georgetown L 85-93 12%     3 - 3 +1.9 +8.0 -5.4
  Dec 04, 2018 169   @ Abilene Christian L 68-83 29%     3 - 4 -12.5 -1.9 -10.7
  Dec 18, 2018 278   The Citadel L 76-82 72%     3 - 5 -15.4 -10.6 -4.4
  Dec 21, 2018 137   Austin Peay L 75-88 31%     3 - 6 -10.9 -6.1 -3.5
  Dec 22, 2018 320   Alabama St. W 70-69 75%     4 - 6 -9.1 +2.2 -11.2
  Dec 29, 2018 60   @ Miami (FL) L 62-73 11%     4 - 7 -0.5 -4.2 +3.5
  Jan 05, 2019 218   Gardner-Webb W 72-61 61%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +4.9 -1.6 +7.1
  Jan 10, 2019 177   Winthrop L 86-90 51%     5 - 8 1 - 1 -7.6 +10.7 -18.3
  Jan 16, 2019 340   @ UNC Asheville W 70-53 77%     6 - 8 2 - 1 +6.1 +3.0 +6.0
  Jan 19, 2019 214   @ Charleston Southern W 73-72 39%     7 - 8 3 - 1 +0.6 +5.4 -4.8
  Jan 24, 2019 215   Presbyterian W 77-73 61%     8 - 8 4 - 1 -2.0 +6.6 -8.1
  Jan 26, 2019 241   @ Hampton L 58-64 45%     8 - 9 4 - 2 -7.9 -15.1 +6.9
  Jan 30, 2019 135   @ Radford W 68-67 22%     9 - 9 5 - 2 +5.9 +0.8 +5.1
  Feb 02, 2019 294   Longwood W 83-62 75%     10 - 9 6 - 2 +10.8 +11.0 +0.9
  Feb 07, 2019 225   @ High Point L 56-57 42%     10 - 10 6 - 3 -2.1 -1.0 -1.4
  Feb 09, 2019 337   South Carolina Upstate W 82-66 87%     11 - 10 7 - 3 +0.7 +5.2 -4.0
  Feb 13, 2019 241   Hampton W 87-84 66%     12 - 10 8 - 3 -4.4 +8.1 -12.5
  Feb 16, 2019 215   @ Presbyterian L 71-76 40%     12 - 11 8 - 4 -5.5 -3.1 -2.5
  Feb 21, 2019 225   High Point W 67-64 64%    
  Feb 23, 2019 294   @ Longwood W 71-69 55%    
  Feb 27, 2019 337   @ South Carolina Upstate W 76-69 72%    
  Mar 02, 2019 135   Radford L 69-72 41%    
Projected Record 14.3 - 12.7 10.3 - 5.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 2.9 7.5 10.5 1st
2nd 0.0 10.2 27.4 4.2 41.8 2nd
3rd 1.0 17.0 2.6 20.6 3rd
4th 0.0 6.0 7.3 13.3 4th
5th 0.4 8.2 0.3 8.9 5th
6th 1.7 2.1 3.8 6th
7th 1.2 0.0 1.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 3.4 17.3 34.7 32.8 11.7 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 63.9% 7.5    1.7 5.1 0.7
11-5 8.9% 2.9    0.0 0.7 1.5 0.7 0.0
10-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 10.5% 10.5 1.8 5.8 2.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 11.7% 15.5% 15.5% 15.0 0.2 1.3 0.3 9.9
11-5 32.8% 11.6% 11.6% 15.6 0.0 1.4 2.4 29.0
10-6 34.7% 7.9% 7.9% 15.8 0.0 0.6 2.1 32.0
9-7 17.3% 6.3% 6.3% 15.9 0.1 1.0 16.2
8-8 3.4% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 3.2
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 9.6% 9.6% 0.0% 15.6 0.3 3.5 5.9 90.4 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.8% 100.0% 15.0 13.7 71.8 14.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.5%
Lose Out 1.3%