Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#227
Achievement Rating-7.5#259
Pace70.3#169
Improvement-0.6#227

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#276
First Shot-1.6#230
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#297
Layup/Dunks+0.7#159
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#174
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#178
Freethrows-2.2#288
Improvement-1.6#301

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#177
First Shot+0.2#165
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#214
Layups/Dunks+0.5#160
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#194
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#153
Freethrows-0.7#219
Improvement+0.9#98
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.7% 9.0% 6.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 26.4% 35.4% 15.9%
.500 or above in Conference 60.4% 65.7% 54.3%
Conference Champion 7.3% 8.9% 5.4%
Last Place in Conference 6.3% 4.9% 8.0%
First Four3.4% 3.3% 3.4%
First Round6.1% 7.6% 4.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Elon (Away) - 54.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2018 160   @ Bucknell W 82-73 25%     1 - 0 +12.0 +8.7 +3.1
  Nov 17, 2018 265   Albany L 66-75 68%     1 - 1 -17.8 -11.0 -6.9
  Nov 19, 2018 15   @ Florida St. L 61-93 4%     1 - 2 -14.8 -4.2 -9.6
  Nov 22, 2018 27   Villanova L 56-83 7%     1 - 3 -14.3 -12.6 -1.9
  Nov 23, 2018 116   Memphis L 63-71 22%     1 - 4 -4.0 -8.4 +4.4
  Nov 25, 2018 216   UAB L 58-68 47%     1 - 5 -13.2 -16.3 +3.2
  Nov 28, 2018 152   @ St. Bonaventure L 55-70 23%     1 - 6 -11.3 -11.8 -0.2
  Dec 05, 2018 280   Robert Morris W 68-62 71%     2 - 6 -3.8 -7.7 +3.8
  Dec 16, 2018 304   @ Elon W 72-71 54%    
  Dec 20, 2018 155   @ Holy Cross L 62-69 24%    
  Dec 29, 2018 22   Buffalo L 70-84 9%    
  Jan 03, 2019 202   @ Marist L 65-69 34%    
  Jan 05, 2019 270   @ Siena L 66-67 46%    
  Jan 08, 2019 178   Brown W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 11, 2019 125   Rider L 76-80 35%    
  Jan 13, 2019 205   Iona W 76-74 56%    
  Jan 17, 2019 247   @ Quinnipiac L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 19, 2019 245   @ Fairfield L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 24, 2019 305   Monmouth W 72-65 74%    
  Jan 30, 2019 261   @ Niagara L 73-74 45%    
  Feb 01, 2019 247   Quinnipiac W 69-65 64%    
  Feb 04, 2019 202   Marist W 68-66 56%    
  Feb 08, 2019 125   @ Rider L 73-83 18%    
  Feb 10, 2019 267   @ St. Peter's L 64-65 46%    
  Feb 15, 2019 245   Fairfield W 76-72 64%    
  Feb 17, 2019 320   Manhattan W 65-56 78%    
  Feb 22, 2019 305   @ Monmouth W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 24, 2019 205   @ Iona L 73-77 35%    
  Feb 27, 2019 261   Niagara W 76-71 66%    
  Mar 01, 2019 270   Siena W 69-64 67%    
Projected Record 12.6 - 17.4 9.2 - 8.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.8 2.1 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 7.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.5 3.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 12.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.7 5.4 3.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 12.6 3rd
4th 0.1 2.2 5.8 3.3 0.5 0.0 11.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 5.7 3.8 0.6 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.5 4.5 0.7 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.2 4.8 1.1 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.4 1.5 0.1 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.5 1.7 0.1 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.3 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.6 4.9 7.6 10.2 12.4 13.7 13.2 11.7 9.2 6.3 3.6 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 97.5% 0.7    0.6 0.1
15-3 81.7% 1.5    1.2 0.3 0.0
14-4 59.0% 2.1    1.3 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-5 29.3% 1.8    0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0
12-6 8.9% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 4.1 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 47.1% 47.1% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 40.6% 40.6% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 27.2% 27.2% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 1.8% 27.8% 27.8% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.3
14-4 3.6% 21.4% 21.4% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 2.8
13-5 6.3% 18.7% 18.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.7 5.1
12-6 9.2% 15.2% 15.2% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.8
11-7 11.7% 10.7% 10.7% 15.9 0.2 1.1 10.4
10-8 13.2% 7.6% 7.6% 15.9 0.1 0.9 12.2
9-9 13.7% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6 13.1
8-10 12.4% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3 12.1
7-11 10.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 10.1
6-12 7.6% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 7.5
5-13 4.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.8
4-14 2.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.6
3-15 1.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.3
2-16 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.8 5.5 92.3 0.0%