Central Connecticut St.
Northeast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#300
Achievement Rating-7.9#280
Pace70.2#143
Improvement-4.9#334

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#278
First Shot-3.0#266
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#214
Layup/Dunks-4.5#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#68
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#245
Freethrows+1.3#92
Improvement-6.2#346

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#293
First Shot-4.8#312
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#137
Layups/Dunks-0.5#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#12
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#338
Freethrows-2.2#310
Improvement+1.2#109
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 7.0% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.0% 4.9% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 16.6% 38.0% 6.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 16.8% 6.0% 21.8%
First Four4.7% 6.5% 3.9%
First Round2.6% 3.7% 2.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Francis Brooklyn (Away) - 31.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 189   @ Hartford W 75-68 20%     1 - 0 +7.9 -0.8 +8.7
  Nov 10, 2018 66   @ Georgetown L 78-85 6%     1 - 1 +2.9 +4.6 -1.4
  Nov 13, 2018 240   Umass Lowell W 86-74 47%     2 - 1 +4.7 +6.0 -1.4
  Nov 16, 2018 139   Austin Peay L 78-80 17%     2 - 2 +0.2 +8.1 -8.0
  Nov 18, 2018 325   Florida A&M W 89-75 60%     3 - 2 +3.3 +7.8 -5.6
  Nov 21, 2018 140   @ Loyola Marymount L 74-76 12%     3 - 3 +2.8 +14.7 -12.2
  Nov 29, 2018 324   @ N.C. A&T L 60-72 49%     3 - 4 -19.8 -15.8 -4.1
  Dec 01, 2018 15   @ Virginia Tech L 40-94 2%     3 - 5 -35.7 -23.9 -14.2
  Dec 16, 2018 78   @ Providence L 63-87 6%     3 - 6 -15.0 +2.3 -19.1
  Dec 22, 2018 316   @ Maine W 93-90 45%     4 - 6 -3.7 +0.3 -4.6
  Dec 29, 2018 73   @ Oregon St. L 59-80 6%     4 - 7 -11.7 -10.0 -1.8
  Jan 03, 2019 277   Wagner L 58-80 54%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -31.2 -16.5 -14.6
  Jan 05, 2019 250   @ Sacred Heart L 61-73 30%     4 - 9 0 - 2 -14.5 -17.1 +3.1
  Jan 10, 2019 254   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 103-96 30%     5 - 9 1 - 2 +4.3 +5.2 -2.4
  Jan 12, 2019 328   @ Mount St. Mary's W 77-68 52%     6 - 9 2 - 2 +0.4 +3.2 -2.5
  Jan 19, 2019 233   St. Francis (PA) L 69-80 47%     6 - 10 2 - 3 -18.2 -10.3 -8.0
  Jan 21, 2019 273   Robert Morris L 59-70 54%     6 - 11 2 - 4 -20.1 -12.6 -7.9
  Jan 24, 2019 326   @ Bryant L 60-63 50%     6 - 12 2 - 5 -11.2 -13.2 +1.7
  Jan 26, 2019 278   LIU Brooklyn L 71-84 55%     6 - 13 2 - 6 -22.3 -13.0 -8.1
  Jan 31, 2019 269   St. Francis Brooklyn W 78-72 53%     7 - 13 3 - 6 -2.9 +0.0 -3.1
  Feb 02, 2019 326   Bryant W 64-59 70%     8 - 13 4 - 6 -8.6 -16.7 +8.2
  Feb 07, 2019 233   @ St. Francis (PA) L 85-90 27%     8 - 14 4 - 7 -6.8 +0.2 -6.5
  Feb 09, 2019 273   @ Robert Morris W 77-68 33%     9 - 14 5 - 7 +5.3 +4.4 +0.8
  Feb 14, 2019 277   @ Wagner L 57-63 34%     9 - 15 5 - 8 -9.8 -6.3 -4.4
  Feb 16, 2019 269   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 68-73 32%    
  Feb 21, 2019 328   Mount St. Mary's W 74-68 72%    
  Feb 23, 2019 250   Sacred Heart L 78-79 51%    
  Feb 28, 2019 278   @ LIU Brooklyn L 74-78 33%    
  Mar 02, 2019 254   Fairleigh Dickinson W 75-74 51%    
Projected Record 11.4 - 17.6 7.4 - 10.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.3 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 2.5 0.8 3.4 4th
5th 0.9 6.2 0.1 7.2 5th
6th 0.2 7.6 4.1 11.9 6th
7th 0.1 8.6 16.7 0.7 26.2 7th
8th 5.4 19.0 3.7 0.0 28.1 8th
9th 1.1 10.6 4.3 0.0 16.0 9th
10th 2.8 2.2 0.1 5.0 10th
Total 3.9 18.3 32.3 29.0 13.9 2.7 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 2.7% 11.7% 11.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 2.4
9-9 13.9% 9.9% 9.9% 16.0 1.4 12.5
8-10 29.0% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 2.1 26.8
7-11 32.3% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 1.1 31.2
6-12 18.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 18.3
5-13 3.9% 3.9
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.9 95.1 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 15.9 7.4 92.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7%
Lose Out 3.9%