Central Michigan
Mid-American
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#173
Achievement Rating+4.5#122
Pace73.6#105
Improvement-1.7#296

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#151
First Shot+0.0#183
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#118
Layup/Dunks+3.6#69
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#301
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#273
Freethrows+2.2#65
Improvement+0.4#140

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#217
First Shot-2.4#252
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#127
Layups/Dunks-3.2#288
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#57
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#179
Freethrows-1.0#238
Improvement-2.1#319
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 1.7% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.5 14.1
.500 or above 66.7% 72.2% 47.3%
.500 or above in Conference 37.7% 40.3% 28.3%
Conference Champion 0.8% 0.9% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 12.9% 11.4% 17.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round1.5% 1.6% 0.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UMKC (Home) - 77.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 349   Chicago St. W 101-60 95%     1 - 0 +21.6 +8.0 +9.4
  Nov 15, 2018 210   Cal St. Bakersfield W 67-55 58%     2 - 0 +9.1 -6.0 +15.0
  Nov 16, 2018 154   Weber St. L 76-78 45%     2 - 1 -1.5 -2.7 +1.3
  Nov 18, 2018 325   San Jose St. W 76-74 82%     3 - 1 -8.8 +1.3 -10.0
  Nov 28, 2018 291   @ Sam Houston St. W 81-65 63%     4 - 1 +11.8 +2.0 +8.7
  Nov 30, 2018 29   @ TCU L 62-89 7%     4 - 2 -11.5 -7.0 -2.6
  Dec 04, 2018 332   @ Youngstown St. W 100-94 78%     5 - 2 -2.8 -7.9 +3.4
  Dec 08, 2018 253   Southern Utah W 95-86 76%     6 - 2 +0.7 +11.7 -11.5
  Dec 19, 2018 268   UMKC W 79-71 78%    
  Dec 22, 2018 336   Jackson St. W 80-65 92%    
  Jan 05, 2019 151   @ Miami (OH) L 73-78 34%    
  Jan 08, 2019 132   Akron L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 12, 2019 201   Bowling Green W 79-74 67%    
  Jan 15, 2019 162   @ Northern Illinois L 75-79 37%    
  Jan 19, 2019 104   Ball St. L 77-80 40%    
  Jan 22, 2019 132   @ Akron L 68-75 28%    
  Jan 26, 2019 75   @ Toledo L 71-81 17%    
  Jan 29, 2019 183   Eastern Michigan W 73-69 63%    
  Feb 02, 2019 224   Western Michigan W 78-72 70%    
  Feb 09, 2019 22   @ Buffalo L 73-90 7%    
  Feb 12, 2019 201   @ Bowling Green L 76-77 45%    
  Feb 16, 2019 153   Ohio W 78-76 55%    
  Feb 19, 2019 143   Kent St. W 78-77 52%    
  Feb 23, 2019 104   @ Ball St. L 74-83 22%    
  Feb 26, 2019 183   @ Eastern Michigan L 70-72 42%    
  Mar 02, 2019 75   Toledo L 74-78 34%    
  Mar 05, 2019 162   Northern Illinois W 78-76 58%    
  Mar 08, 2019 224   @ Western Michigan L 74-75 49%    
Projected Record 15.4 - 12.6 7.7 - 10.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 2.5 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 3.5 2.9 0.8 0.1 8.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.3 3.8 0.9 0.1 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 4.0 5.0 1.3 0.1 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.0 1.8 0.1 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 2.0 5.9 2.9 0.2 0.0 11.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.3 5.0 3.7 0.4 0.0 10.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.0 4.0 0.7 0.0 10.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.3 3.4 1.0 0.0 9.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.5 2.1 0.7 0.1 7.4 12th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.7 6.5 9.6 12.3 13.8 14.1 12.4 9.8 7.0 4.4 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 95.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 74.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 49.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 22.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 7.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 38.1% 28.6% 9.5% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.3%
16-2 0.1% 19.5% 15.0% 4.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.2%
15-3 0.4% 16.6% 13.2% 3.4% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.9%
14-4 1.1% 10.0% 9.6% 0.4% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.5%
13-5 2.4% 7.7% 7.5% 0.2% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.3 0.3%
12-6 4.4% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.1 0.0%
11-7 7.0% 3.6% 3.6% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.7
10-8 9.8% 2.3% 2.3% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.6
9-9 12.4% 1.3% 1.3% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.2
8-10 14.1% 0.8% 0.8% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.0
7-11 13.8% 0.4% 0.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.7
6-12 12.3% 0.3% 0.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 12.3
5-13 9.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.6
4-14 6.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.5
3-15 3.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.7
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 98.5 0.0%