Charleston Southern
Big South
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#226
Achievement Rating-11.0#297
Pace74.2#92
Improvement+0.3#148

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#253
First Shot-3.0#264
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#168
Layup/Dunks-3.0#270
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#141
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#181
Freethrows-0.5#206
Improvement-0.6#219

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#203
First Shot-0.9#204
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#186
Layups/Dunks-3.8#302
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#8
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#224
Freethrows+0.1#170
Improvement+0.9#103
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.3% 10.7% 7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 36.3% 54.8% 28.7%
.500 or above in Conference 71.1% 78.9% 67.9%
Conference Champion 9.8% 13.4% 8.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 1.3% 2.7%
First Four4.4% 4.4% 4.4%
First Round6.5% 8.8% 5.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Florida (Away) - 29.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 19   @ Florida L 46-76 4%     0 - 1 -13.6 -16.8 +3.7
  Nov 13, 2018 342   South Carolina St. W 89-72 88%     1 - 1 +0.4 +1.7 -2.5
  Nov 16, 2018 252   @ Middle Tennessee L 73-76 43%     1 - 2 -5.2 -3.9 -1.1
  Nov 23, 2018 350   Coppin St. W 93-67 89%     2 - 2 +8.8 +11.4 -3.5
  Nov 27, 2018 34   @ Marquette L 55-76 5%     2 - 3 -6.0 -11.2 +5.1
  Dec 01, 2018 175   North Florida L 70-76 50%     2 - 4 -10.0 -15.4 +6.1
  Dec 11, 2018 112   @ Furman L 69-77 15%     2 - 5 -0.6 -1.0 +0.4
  Dec 15, 2018 175   @ North Florida L 78-84 29%    
  Dec 18, 2018 49   @ Clemson L 63-80 6%    
  Jan 05, 2019 248   High Point W 69-65 65%    
  Jan 10, 2019 240   @ Hampton L 75-77 42%    
  Jan 12, 2019 300   @ Longwood W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 19, 2019 242   Campbell W 77-73 64%    
  Jan 24, 2019 133   @ Radford L 65-75 19%    
  Jan 26, 2019 192   Gardner-Webb W 73-72 53%    
  Jan 30, 2019 306   Presbyterian W 80-73 74%    
  Feb 02, 2019 331   @ South Carolina Upstate W 76-71 66%    
  Feb 07, 2019 181   Winthrop W 82-81 51%    
  Feb 09, 2019 344   @ UNC Asheville W 71-64 75%    
  Feb 13, 2019 192   @ Gardner-Webb L 70-75 33%    
  Feb 16, 2019 133   Radford L 68-72 37%    
  Feb 21, 2019 331   South Carolina Upstate W 79-68 83%    
  Feb 23, 2019 181   @ Winthrop L 78-84 31%    
  Feb 27, 2019 344   UNC Asheville W 74-61 88%    
  Mar 02, 2019 306   @ Presbyterian W 77-76 54%    
Projected Record 11.3 - 13.7 8.9 - 7.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.8 3.3 1.9 0.6 0.1 9.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 2.0 5.1 4.3 1.3 0.1 0.0 13.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 2.0 6.4 4.7 0.8 0.0 14.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 6.5 5.0 0.8 0.0 13.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 5.6 5.4 0.9 0.0 13.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 4.1 5.5 1.2 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.5 4.9 1.5 0.1 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.7 1.7 0.1 7.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 2.4 1.4 0.1 5.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.5 4.9 8.2 11.8 14.4 15.4 14.4 11.6 7.9 4.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 99.8% 0.6    0.6 0.0
14-2 93.9% 1.9    1.6 0.3 0.0
13-3 71.0% 3.3    1.9 1.2 0.2 0.0
12-4 35.1% 2.8    0.9 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-5 8.6% 1.0    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.8% 9.8 5.2 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 40.9% 40.9% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.6% 37.2% 37.2% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
14-2 2.0% 27.4% 27.4% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.5
13-3 4.6% 23.5% 23.5% 15.5 0.0 0.5 0.6 3.5
12-4 7.9% 17.6% 17.6% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.5
11-5 11.6% 13.7% 13.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.4 10.0
10-6 14.4% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 0.0 1.3 13.1
9-7 15.4% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.0 1.0 14.4
8-8 14.4% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.0 0.6 13.8
7-9 11.8% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 11.5
6-10 8.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 8.1
5-11 4.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.9
4-12 2.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.5
3-13 1.0% 1.0
2-14 0.3% 0.3
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.3% 8.3% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 6.5 91.7 0.0%