Charleston Southern
Big South
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#220
Achievement Rating-7.5#276
Pace74.1#63
Improvement+1.6#104

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#200
First Shot-1.2#217
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#142
Layup/Dunks-4.0#309
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#87
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#77
Freethrows-1.7#295
Improvement+4.3#20

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#244
First Shot-3.3#273
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#122
Layups/Dunks-2.5#279
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#46
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#248
Freethrows-1.0#239
Improvement-2.7#307
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% 8.2% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 3.2% 6.8% 0.8%
.500 or above in Conference 63.0% 90.6% 44.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.2% 3.2% 3.2%
First Round4.8% 6.8% 3.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Radford (Home) - 40.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 27   @ Florida L 46-76 5%     0 - 1 -14.4 -16.8 +2.9
  Nov 13, 2018 342   South Carolina St. W 89-72 89%     1 - 1 +0.3 +0.1 -1.0
  Nov 16, 2018 243   @ Middle Tennessee L 73-76 45%     1 - 2 -5.2 -4.9 +0.0
  Nov 23, 2018 345   Coppin St. W 93-67 86%     2 - 2 +10.9 +12.8 -2.8
  Nov 27, 2018 24   @ Marquette L 55-76 4%     2 - 3 -4.6 -10.8 +6.2
  Dec 01, 2018 219   North Florida L 70-76 60%     2 - 4 -12.2 -15.7 +4.3
  Dec 11, 2018 64   @ Furman L 69-77 11%     2 - 5 +1.9 +2.2 -0.2
  Dec 15, 2018 219   @ North Florida L 61-68 40%     2 - 6 -7.8 -21.4 +14.5
  Dec 18, 2018 30   @ Clemson L 51-78 5%     2 - 7 -11.9 -11.2 -1.0
  Jan 05, 2019 225   High Point L 50-51 62%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -7.5 -13.6 +5.8
  Jan 10, 2019 230   @ Hampton L 82-94 43%     2 - 9 0 - 2 -13.6 -7.9 -3.7
  Jan 12, 2019 299   @ Longwood W 101-91 57%     3 - 9 1 - 2 +4.7 +18.6 -14.8
  Jan 19, 2019 211   Campbell L 72-73 59%     3 - 10 1 - 3 -6.8 -0.8 -6.1
  Jan 24, 2019 137   @ Radford L 78-86 21%     3 - 11 1 - 4 -3.0 +14.1 -18.0
  Jan 26, 2019 222   Gardner-Webb W 74-60 61%     4 - 11 2 - 4 +7.7 -4.4 +12.1
  Jan 30, 2019 217   Presbyterian W 85-84 60%     5 - 11 3 - 4 -5.1 +11.8 -16.8
  Feb 02, 2019 336   @ South Carolina Upstate W 90-71 73%     6 - 11 4 - 4 +9.2 +11.1 -2.4
  Feb 07, 2019 173   Winthrop L 72-76 50%     6 - 12 4 - 5 -7.4 -10.7 +3.6
  Feb 09, 2019 341   @ UNC Asheville W 85-75 77%     7 - 12 5 - 5 -1.1 +8.5 -9.3
  Feb 13, 2019 222   @ Gardner-Webb L 74-77 40%     7 - 13 5 - 6 -3.9 -1.7 -2.2
  Feb 16, 2019 137   Radford L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 21, 2019 336   South Carolina Upstate W 81-69 87%    
  Feb 23, 2019 173   @ Winthrop L 81-87 29%    
  Feb 27, 2019 341   UNC Asheville W 76-63 90%    
  Mar 02, 2019 217   @ Presbyterian L 77-80 38%    
Projected Record 9.8 - 15.2 7.8 - 8.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.6 2.1 2.8 3rd
4th 0.2 5.9 1.5 7.6 4th
5th 0.0 3.8 10.1 0.2 14.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.9 15.7 4.0 21.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 14.0 15.2 0.3 30.6 7th
8th 0.4 5.5 13.6 2.6 0.0 22.1 8th
9th 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.6 6.9 29.5 37.6 21.0 4.5 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 4.5% 12.8% 12.8% 15.3 0.0 0.4 0.2 3.9
9-7 21.0% 9.4% 9.4% 15.8 0.0 0.4 1.6 19.0
8-8 37.6% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.1 2.2 35.2
7-9 29.5% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 1.1 28.4
6-10 6.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 6.8
5-11 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.9 5.2 93.9 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 15.3 2.3 68.6 29.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.2%
Lose Out 0.3%