Charlotte
Conference USA
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#307
Achievement Rating-9.1#278
Pace65.1#297
Improvement-1.1#257

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#311
First Shot-3.0#266
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#314
Layup/Dunks-1.4#217
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#100
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.1#328
Freethrows+2.9#44
Improvement-1.3#287

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#269
First Shot-5.6#325
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#33
Layups/Dunks-3.0#283
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#131
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#221
Freethrows-2.0#284
Improvement+0.2#156
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.7 15.6
.500 or above 1.2% 2.5% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 6.7% 9.3% 5.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 40.4% 34.5% 43.7%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Florida (Home) - 36.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 314   Chattanooga L 69-80 64%     0 - 1 -23.2 -3.4 -20.4
  Nov 10, 2018 73   Oklahoma St. W 66-64 12%     1 - 1 +5.9 -3.1 +9.0
  Nov 16, 2018 233   James Madison L 59-64 46%     1 - 2 -12.5 -10.3 -2.7
  Nov 19, 2018 300   Longwood W 42-39 58%     2 - 2 -7.7 -26.2 +18.9
  Nov 27, 2018 81   @ Davidson L 56-76 6%     2 - 3 -10.6 -6.6 -6.3
  Dec 01, 2018 123   @ College of Charleston L 64-72 9%     2 - 4 -1.6 +2.1 -4.7
  Dec 06, 2018 156   @ Wake Forest L 56-80 13%     2 - 5 -20.6 -15.7 -5.1
  Dec 09, 2018 193   South Florida L 62-66 36%    
  Dec 18, 2018 259   East Carolina W 69-68 50%    
  Dec 22, 2018 29   @ TCU L 57-81 1%    
  Jan 03, 2019 85   Western Kentucky L 64-75 14%    
  Jan 05, 2019 131   Marshall L 71-79 22%    
  Jan 10, 2019 229   @ Florida International L 77-84 25%    
  Jan 12, 2019 209   @ Florida Atlantic L 64-73 21%    
  Jan 17, 2019 148   Southern Miss L 63-69 28%    
  Jan 19, 2019 138   Louisiana Tech L 66-74 25%    
  Jan 21, 2019 105   Old Dominion L 56-66 18%    
  Jan 24, 2019 187   @ Texas San Antonio L 65-75 18%    
  Jan 26, 2019 214   @ UTEP L 61-70 22%    
  Jan 31, 2019 315   Rice W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 02, 2019 124   North Texas L 62-71 21%    
  Feb 07, 2019 252   @ Middle Tennessee L 62-68 28%    
  Feb 09, 2019 216   @ UAB L 63-71 23%    
  Feb 16, 2019 105   @ Old Dominion L 53-69 7%    
Projected Record 6.2 - 17.8 3.4 - 10.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 0.5 0.0 1.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 1.5 0.1 2.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.6 0.8 0.0 3.9 8th
9th 0.2 2.7 2.6 0.1 5.6 9th
10th 0.1 2.1 5.0 0.9 0.0 8.1 10th
11th 0.0 1.5 6.5 3.2 0.1 11.4 11th
12th 0.0 1.5 7.5 6.5 0.7 0.0 16.3 12th
13th 2.4 9.3 9.1 1.9 0.0 22.7 13th
14th 4.4 10.1 8.4 2.2 0.1 0.0 25.2 14th
Total 4.4 12.6 19.2 20.3 17.3 12.2 7.3 3.9 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 89.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-3 47.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-4 13.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-5 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.0% 0.0
12-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
11-3 0.1% 5.8% 5.8% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
10-4 0.2% 3.6% 3.6% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2
9-5 0.7% 3.6% 3.6% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
8-6 1.8% 1.0% 1.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.8
7-7 3.9% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 3.9
6-8 7.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.3
5-9 12.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.2
4-10 17.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.3
3-11 20.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.3
2-12 19.2% 19.2
1-13 12.6% 12.6
0-14 4.4% 4.4
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.1%