Chattanooga
Southern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#294
Achievement Rating-6.6#266
Pace67.6#221
Improvement+2.1#85

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#230
First Shot-0.2#188
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#287
Layup/Dunks-4.0#308
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#77
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#32
Freethrows-3.1#332
Improvement+4.9#16

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#322
First Shot-5.6#326
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#185
Layups/Dunks-3.3#301
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#173
Freethrows-1.0#240
Improvement-2.8#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 5.0% 19.2% 2.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Samford (Away) - 17.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 288   @ Charlotte W 80-69 38%     1 - 0 +6.5 +12.7 -5.5
  Nov 10, 2018 263   Eastern Kentucky L 78-81 54%     1 - 1 -11.6 -8.3 -2.9
  Nov 16, 2018 218   @ South Alabama L 54-73 26%     1 - 2 -19.7 -20.0 +0.6
  Nov 17, 2018 321   Southeast Missouri St. L 42-63 60%     1 - 3 -31.2 -34.6 +3.1
  Nov 18, 2018 252   Jacksonville L 66-74 41%     1 - 4 -13.3 -12.5 -0.3
  Nov 23, 2018 8   @ Michigan L 55-83 1%     1 - 5 -7.8 -2.1 -7.1
  Dec 01, 2018 329   Tennessee Tech W 71-60 74%     2 - 5 -3.1 -1.5 -1.1
  Dec 09, 2018 320   VMI W 83-65 70%     3 - 5 1 - 0 +5.2 +0.9 +3.8
  Dec 12, 2018 130   @ Georgia St. L 88-95 12%     3 - 6 -1.5 +10.7 -11.7
  Dec 16, 2018 39   @ Mississippi L 70-90 4%     3 - 7 -6.3 -1.1 -4.0
  Dec 18, 2018 301   @ Tennessee Martin L 72-75 42%     3 - 8 -8.4 -4.0 -4.5
  Dec 29, 2018 115   @ UNC Greensboro L 72-85 10%     3 - 9 1 - 1 -6.4 +0.3 -6.1
  Jan 03, 2019 303   @ Western Carolina W 73-62 42%     4 - 9 2 - 1 +5.5 +4.3 +2.3
  Jan 05, 2019 100   @ East Tennessee St. L 70-96 9%     4 - 10 2 - 2 -18.3 -1.9 -15.5
  Jan 12, 2019 176   Samford W 80-75 35%     5 - 10 3 - 2 +1.6 +3.9 -2.3
  Jan 17, 2019 187   Mercer W 73-70 38%     6 - 10 4 - 2 -1.5 +5.6 -6.7
  Jan 19, 2019 261   The Citadel W 73-71 54%     7 - 10 5 - 2 -6.5 -8.3 +1.7
  Jan 24, 2019 64   @ Furman L 58-73 6%     7 - 11 5 - 3 -5.1 +1.1 -8.5
  Jan 26, 2019 38   @ Wofford L 69-80 3%     7 - 12 5 - 4 +2.8 +1.5 +1.0
  Jan 31, 2019 303   Western Carolina L 96-105 63%     7 - 13 5 - 5 -19.9 +12.1 -31.5
  Feb 02, 2019 100   East Tennessee St. L 64-77 18%     7 - 14 5 - 6 -10.7 -3.2 -8.5
  Feb 07, 2019 320   @ VMI W 71-70 50%     8 - 14 6 - 6 -6.4 -2.7 -3.7
  Feb 09, 2019 115   UNC Greensboro L 63-78 20%     8 - 15 6 - 7 -13.8 -3.1 -11.9
  Feb 16, 2019 176   @ Samford L 70-80 18%    
  Feb 21, 2019 261   @ The Citadel L 82-86 33%    
  Feb 23, 2019 187   @ Mercer L 68-76 21%    
  Feb 28, 2019 38   Wofford L 65-81 7%    
  Mar 02, 2019 64   Furman L 64-76 13%    
Projected Record 8.9 - 19.1 6.9 - 11.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.5 15.6 15.6 4.4 0.6 0.0 36.7 5th
6th 12.5 21.9 2.3 0.0 36.8 6th
7th 20.2 2.5 22.7 7th
8th 3.8 0.0 3.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 36.9 40.1 18.0 4.4 0.6 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
9-9 4.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.4
8-10 18.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 18.0
7-11 40.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 40.0
6-12 36.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 36.9
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 22.7%