Chattanooga
Southern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#314
Achievement Rating-10.1#290
Pace68.5#219
Improvement+1.7#64

Offense
Total Offense-7.1#331
First Shot-1.5#226
After Offensive Rebound-5.6#353
Layup/Dunks-6.4#334
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.4#10
Freethrows-2.3#291
Improvement+0.8#107

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#237
First Shot-1.1#208
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#246
Layups/Dunks-0.6#203
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#325
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#74
Freethrows-0.7#217
Improvement+0.9#107
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.7
.500 or above 0.5% 2.6% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 5.1% 10.3% 4.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 29.1% 19.7% 29.7%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia St. (Away) - 5.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 307   @ Charlotte W 80-69 36%     1 - 0 +5.4 +10.2 -4.1
  Nov 10, 2018 274   Eastern Kentucky L 78-81 50%     1 - 1 -12.2 -10.7 -1.1
  Nov 16, 2018 195   @ South Alabama L 54-73 17%     1 - 2 -18.1 -17.5 -0.3
  Nov 17, 2018 272   Southeast Missouri St. L 42-63 39%     1 - 3 -27.2 -33.1 +5.7
  Nov 18, 2018 303   Jacksonville L 66-74 45%     1 - 4 -16.0 -13.1 -2.5
  Nov 23, 2018 3   @ Michigan L 55-83 1%     1 - 5 -6.1 -2.6 -4.9
  Dec 01, 2018 334   Tennessee Tech W 71-60 72%     2 - 5 -4.1 -3.7 +0.1
  Dec 09, 2018 321   VMI W 83-65 66%     3 - 5 1 - 0 +4.6 +2.2 +1.9
  Dec 12, 2018 107   @ Georgia St. L 62-79 6%    
  Dec 16, 2018 66   @ Mississippi L 63-83 3%    
  Dec 18, 2018 299   @ Tennessee Martin L 70-75 33%    
  Dec 29, 2018 89   @ UNC Greensboro L 59-77 5%    
  Jan 03, 2019 295   @ Western Carolina L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 05, 2019 126   @ East Tennessee St. L 58-73 8%    
  Jan 12, 2019 189   Samford L 68-73 34%    
  Jan 17, 2019 213   Mercer L 63-66 39%    
  Jan 19, 2019 184   The Citadel L 81-86 33%    
  Jan 24, 2019 112   @ Furman L 60-77 7%    
  Jan 26, 2019 67   @ Wofford L 58-77 4%    
  Jan 31, 2019 295   Western Carolina W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 02, 2019 126   East Tennessee St. L 61-70 20%    
  Feb 07, 2019 321   @ VMI L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 09, 2019 89   UNC Greensboro L 62-74 14%    
  Feb 16, 2019 189   @ Samford L 65-76 17%    
  Feb 21, 2019 184   @ The Citadel L 78-89 17%    
  Feb 23, 2019 213   @ Mercer L 60-69 21%    
  Feb 28, 2019 67   Wofford L 61-74 12%    
  Mar 02, 2019 112   Furman L 63-74 17%    
Projected Record 7.2 - 20.8 4.8 - 13.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 2.9 2.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.3 2.6 5.9 4.6 1.4 0.1 0.0 14.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 6.0 10.0 6.2 1.4 0.1 0.0 24.9 8th
9th 0.2 3.2 9.5 10.6 5.0 0.9 0.0 29.4 9th
10th 3.0 6.6 5.5 1.9 0.3 0.0 17.3 10th
Total 3.2 9.8 16.2 18.9 17.8 14.0 9.3 5.6 3.0 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 36.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 20.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0% 7.5% 7.5% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 5.5% 5.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-7 0.6% 2.1% 2.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
10-8 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3
9-9 3.0% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 3.0
8-10 5.6% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 5.6
7-11 9.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.3
6-12 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.0
5-13 17.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.8
4-14 18.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 18.9
3-15 16.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.2
2-16 9.8% 9.8
1-17 3.2% 3.2
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.0%