Chicago St.
Western Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-16.4#349
Achievement Rating-15.2#326
Pace77.4#41
Improvement+2.4#36

Offense
Total Offense-8.0#334
First Shot-5.6#311
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#309
Layup/Dunks+1.1#145
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#181
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.0#342
Freethrows+1.5#102
Improvement+1.3#75

Defense
Total Defense-8.4#351
First Shot-5.1#319
After Offensive Rebounds-3.3#334
Layups/Dunks-1.5#234
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#117
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#289
Freethrows-1.3#251
Improvement+1.1#88
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 90.9% 85.1% 91.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Away) - 1.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 24   @ Indiana L 55-104 1%     0 - 1 -33.1 -14.3 -14.2
  Nov 08, 2018 55   @ Notre Dame L 62-89 1%     0 - 2 -15.1 -2.3 -14.1
  Nov 09, 2018 173   @ Central Michigan L 60-101 5%     0 - 3 -38.8 -19.1 -15.6
  Nov 13, 2018 150   @ Illinois St. L 71-75 4%     0 - 4 -0.3 -2.9 +2.8
  Nov 16, 2018 130   @ Akron L 46-87 3%     0 - 5 -35.3 -25.9 -6.4
  Nov 19, 2018 124   @ East Tennessee St. L 61-86 3%     0 - 6 -18.9 -3.5 -16.6
  Nov 20, 2018 337   Jackson St. L 68-81 36%     0 - 7 -25.6 -11.3 -13.4
  Nov 24, 2018 128   @ Bradley L 70-86 3%     0 - 8 -10.2 +5.0 -16.1
  Dec 01, 2018 318   Eastern Illinois W 80-72 36%     1 - 8 -4.7 -2.6 -2.5
  Dec 12, 2018 107   @ DePaul L 64-88 1%    
  Dec 17, 2018 48   @ Northwestern L 58-87 0.3%   
  Dec 20, 2018 266   @ Western Illinois L 67-80 11%    
  Dec 22, 2018 164   @ Northern Illinois L 68-87 4%    
  Jan 05, 2019 267   @ UMKC L 69-82 11%    
  Jan 12, 2019 237   California Baptist L 75-84 21%    
  Jan 17, 2019 120   @ Grand Canyon L 64-87 2%    
  Jan 19, 2019 211   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 63-79 7%    
  Jan 24, 2019 175   Seattle L 71-83 13%    
  Jan 26, 2019 141   Utah Valley L 68-83 8%    
  Jan 31, 2019 224   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 68-84 7%    
  Feb 02, 2019 63   @ New Mexico St. L 60-87 1%    
  Feb 07, 2019 237   @ California Baptist L 72-87 9%    
  Feb 14, 2019 211   Cal St. Bakersfield L 66-76 18%    
  Feb 16, 2019 120   Grand Canyon L 67-84 7%    
  Feb 21, 2019 141   @ Utah Valley L 65-86 3%    
  Feb 23, 2019 175   @ Seattle L 68-86 5%    
  Feb 28, 2019 224   UT Rio Grande Valley L 71-81 19%    
  Mar 02, 2019 63   New Mexico St. L 63-84 3%    
  Mar 09, 2019 267   UMKC L 72-79 26%    
Projected Record 2.7 - 26.3 1.6 - 14.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 5th
6th 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.2 7th
8th 0.4 2.9 5.2 3.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 12.6 8th
9th 24.2 30.2 19.6 7.4 1.3 0.1 82.8 9th
Total 24.2 30.6 22.6 13.0 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0% 0.0
11-5
10-6 0.0% 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0
8-8 0.1% 0.1
7-9 0.3% 0.3
6-10 0.8% 0.8
5-11 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.5
4-12 5.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.9
3-13 13.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.0
2-14 22.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 22.6
1-15 30.6% 30.6
0-16 24.2% 24.2
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 21.6%