Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.4#30
Achievement Rating+10.3#54
Pace65.6#275
Improvement+4.0#36

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#68
First Shot+3.5#68
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#147
Layup/Dunks+0.6#158
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#21
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#264
Freethrows+1.4#86
Improvement-1.2#244

Defense
Total Defense+8.6#13
First Shot+6.2#24
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#10
Layups/Dunks+4.9#21
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#235
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#164
Freethrows+1.5#77
Improvement+5.1#6
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 65.4% 79.6% 51.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 65.1% 79.5% 50.9%
Average Seed 9.6 9.2 10.1
.500 or above 99.6% 100.0% 99.2%
.500 or above in Conference 53.1% 72.6% 33.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four14.5% 12.0% 17.1%
First Round59.3% 74.7% 44.0%
Second Round30.4% 39.6% 21.2%
Sweet Sixteen8.4% 10.7% 6.1%
Elite Eight3.2% 4.2% 2.2%
Final Four0.9% 1.3% 0.6%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida St. (Home) - 50.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 278   The Citadel W 100-80 97%     1 - 0 +10.6 +6.6 +1.6
  Nov 09, 2018 309   NC Central W 71-51 98%     2 - 0 +8.5 -3.1 +12.5
  Nov 14, 2018 173   Sam Houston St. W 74-59 92%     3 - 0 +11.7 +8.7 +4.7
  Nov 19, 2018 126   Akron W 72-69 81%     4 - 0 +6.2 +6.7 -0.4
  Nov 20, 2018 113   Georgia W 64-49 79%     5 - 0 +19.1 -8.2 +27.1
  Nov 21, 2018 51   Creighton L 82-87 62%     5 - 1 +4.2 +3.5 +1.2
  Nov 26, 2018 35   Nebraska L 66-68 64%     5 - 2 +6.8 +9.4 -3.0
  Dec 04, 2018 310   St. Peter's W 65-60 98%     6 - 2 -6.5 -1.2 -4.6
  Dec 08, 2018 23   Mississippi St. L 71-82 42%     6 - 3 +3.3 +7.3 -4.5
  Dec 15, 2018 135   Radford W 74-66 88%     7 - 3 +7.4 +6.7 +1.5
  Dec 18, 2018 214   Charleston Southern W 78-51 95%     8 - 3 +21.0 +2.9 +18.5
  Dec 22, 2018 74   @ South Carolina W 78-68 61%     9 - 3 +19.4 +5.8 +13.2
  Dec 30, 2018 48   Lipscomb W 84-67 71%     10 - 3 +23.6 +2.0 +18.8
  Jan 05, 2019 1   @ Duke L 68-87 9%     10 - 4 0 - 1 +8.4 +0.2 +10.1
  Jan 09, 2019 40   @ Syracuse L 53-61 45%     10 - 5 0 - 2 +5.7 -8.4 +13.7
  Jan 12, 2019 3   Virginia L 43-63 26%     10 - 6 0 - 3 -0.8 -12.9 +9.1
  Jan 16, 2019 108   Georgia Tech W 72-60 84%     11 - 6 1 - 3 +13.6 +14.3 +0.7
  Jan 22, 2019 18   @ Florida St. L 68-77 29%     11 - 7 1 - 4 +9.2 +7.0 +1.8
  Jan 26, 2019 32   @ North Carolina St. L 67-69 41%     11 - 8 1 - 5 +12.6 +2.2 +10.3
  Jan 29, 2019 91   Pittsburgh W 82-69 82%     12 - 8 2 - 5 +15.7 +18.6 -1.9
  Feb 03, 2019 176   Wake Forest W 64-37 92%     13 - 8 3 - 5 +23.5 -2.2 +29.4
  Feb 06, 2019 108   @ Georgia Tech W 65-42 70%     14 - 8 4 - 5 +30.1 +11.2 +22.5
  Feb 09, 2019 17   Virginia Tech W 59-51 49%     15 - 8 5 - 5 +20.7 +2.6 +19.7
  Feb 13, 2019 60   @ Miami (FL) L 64-65 57%     15 - 9 5 - 6 +9.5 +4.1 +5.3
  Feb 16, 2019 16   @ Louisville L 55-56 29%     15 - 10 5 - 7 +17.2 -7.8 +25.0
  Feb 19, 2019 18   Florida St. L 68-69 50%    
  Feb 23, 2019 97   Boston College W 73-63 84%    
  Feb 27, 2019 91   @ Pittsburgh W 67-63 64%    
  Mar 02, 2019 6   North Carolina L 74-79 34%    
  Mar 06, 2019 65   @ Notre Dame W 66-64 58%    
  Mar 09, 2019 40   Syracuse W 65-61 66%    
Projected Record 18.6 - 12.4 8.6 - 9.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 0.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.3 5th
6th 0.2 4.7 1.9 6.8 6th
7th 0.2 5.5 9.9 0.3 15.8 7th
8th 0.2 4.5 14.8 3.0 0.0 22.5 8th
9th 0.0 2.0 12.9 22.9 9.9 0.2 47.8 9th
10th 0.1 1.8 1.4 0.1 3.3 10th
11th 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 0.5 4.2 14.5 27.7 30.4 18.2 4.6 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 4.6% 99.2% 2.1% 97.1% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
10-8 18.2% 95.1% 0.9% 94.1% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.2 4.6 5.0 3.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.9 95.0%
9-9 30.4% 87.4% 0.6% 86.8% 9.5 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.6 7.5 7.5 4.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.8 87.4%
8-10 27.7% 53.3% 0.5% 52.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.3 5.4 3.9 0.7 0.0 0.0 12.9 53.1%
7-11 14.5% 15.0% 0.3% 14.6% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 12.3 14.7%
6-12 4.2% 1.7% 0.1% 1.6% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.2 1.6%
5-13 0.5% 0.5
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 65.4% 0.6% 64.7% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.3 4.8 10.8 14.4 14.4 11.8 6.1 1.3 0.1 0.0 34.6 65.1%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 3.9 3.2 27.4 46.3 20.0 3.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2% 100.0% 6.2 6.0 18.1 35.5 30.2 9.3 0.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.0% 99.8% 7.1 0.7 4.1 24.4 38.8 22.6 7.9 1.1
Lose Out 0.2%