Cleveland St.
Horizon
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#255
Achievement Rating-10.2#290
Pace73.1#109
Improvement+2.4#38

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#255
First Shot-1.6#228
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#249
Layup/Dunks-0.8#204
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#319
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#107
Freethrows+0.1#172
Improvement+0.6#121

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#245
First Shot-0.7#196
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#280
Layups/Dunks-1.5#235
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#168
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#144
Freethrows-0.4#196
Improvement+1.8#53
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 4.7% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 11.0% 23.0% 8.1%
.500 or above in Conference 39.9% 50.0% 37.5%
Conference Champion 2.3% 3.8% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 9.5% 5.9% 10.4%
First Four2.1% 2.3% 2.0%
First Round2.3% 3.7% 1.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Illinois St. (Away) - 19.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 79   @ Davidson L 63-83 9%     0 - 1 -10.6 -5.5 -5.4
  Nov 10, 2018 143   Kent St. L 79-83 35%     0 - 2 -5.3 -3.0 -2.0
  Nov 16, 2018 341   South Carolina St. W 84-69 85%     1 - 2 -1.5 +10.9 -10.9
  Nov 18, 2018 196   Samford L 60-73 49%     1 - 3 -18.1 -16.8 -1.1
  Nov 23, 2018 14   @ Ohio St. L 62-89 3%     1 - 4 -9.4 -6.2 -1.1
  Nov 25, 2018 201   Purdue Fort Wayne L 79-82 50%     1 - 5 -8.3 -7.5 -0.5
  Nov 28, 2018 107   @ DePaul L 73-83 12%     1 - 6 -2.4 +1.0 -3.1
  Dec 01, 2018 75   @ Toledo L 67-80 9%     1 - 7 -3.5 -8.0 +5.6
  Dec 05, 2018 203   Bowling Green W 82-64 51%     2 - 7 +12.4 +7.3 +5.1
  Dec 16, 2018 150   @ Illinois St. L 71-80 20%    
  Dec 19, 2018 241   Niagara W 79-76 59%    
  Dec 28, 2018 236   Oakland W 78-76 58%    
  Dec 30, 2018 299   Detroit Mercy W 81-76 69%    
  Jan 03, 2019 282   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 69-71 44%    
  Jan 05, 2019 204   @ Green Bay L 77-83 30%    
  Jan 10, 2019 179   @ IUPUI L 70-77 26%    
  Jan 12, 2019 169   @ Illinois-Chicago L 74-82 24%    
  Jan 17, 2019 123   Northern Kentucky L 71-77 31%    
  Jan 19, 2019 144   Wright St. L 71-75 36%    
  Jan 26, 2019 332   Youngstown St. W 82-73 80%    
  Jan 31, 2019 299   @ Detroit Mercy L 78-79 48%    
  Feb 02, 2019 236   @ Oakland L 75-79 37%    
  Feb 07, 2019 204   Green Bay W 81-80 51%    
  Feb 09, 2019 282   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 72-68 65%    
  Feb 14, 2019 169   Illinois-Chicago L 77-79 43%    
  Feb 16, 2019 179   IUPUI L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 21, 2019 144   @ Wright St. L 68-78 19%    
  Feb 23, 2019 123   @ Northern Kentucky L 68-80 15%    
  Mar 02, 2019 332   @ Youngstown St. W 79-76 62%    
Projected Record 10.6 - 18.4 7.8 - 10.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.4 2.1 0.4 0.0 7.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.8 2.8 0.4 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.9 3.4 0.5 0.0 13.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.4 6.9 3.9 0.5 0.0 15.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.8 6.9 3.8 0.5 0.0 15.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.9 5.8 3.2 0.5 0.0 14.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.4 4.1 1.8 0.3 0.0 11.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.7 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.2 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.0 5.8 9.2 11.9 14.2 14.3 12.9 10.5 7.5 4.7 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 98.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 86.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 61.7% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 27.8% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 6.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 13.8% 13.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 19.8% 19.8% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 19.6% 19.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.2% 17.5% 17.5% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0
13-5 2.5% 13.3% 13.3% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.2
12-6 4.7% 9.0% 9.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 4.2
11-7 7.5% 6.5% 6.5% 15.9 0.0 0.5 7.0
10-8 10.5% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5 10.0
9-9 12.9% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5 12.4
8-10 14.3% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.4 14.0
7-11 14.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 14.0
6-12 11.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.8
5-13 9.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.2
4-14 5.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.8
3-15 3.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.0
2-16 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.2
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.8 96.8 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%