Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#188
Achievement Rating-5.8#242
Pace69.9#179
Improvement+0.5#131

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#167
First Shot+0.5#168
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#180
Layup/Dunks-3.2#277
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#205
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#102
Freethrows+1.6#94
Improvement+1.1#88

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#224
First Shot-0.4#187
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#266
Layups/Dunks+3.2#69
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#20
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#212
Freethrows-5.7#351
Improvement-0.5#228
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 5.1% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 39.0% 42.7% 19.4%
.500 or above in Conference 53.9% 56.2% 41.8%
Conference Champion 5.4% 5.8% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 6.5% 11.6%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.9%
First Round4.5% 4.8% 2.9%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NC Central (Home) - 84.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 242   @ Campbell W 85-75 52%     1 - 0 +8.0 +5.9 +1.9
  Nov 13, 2018 212   @ Tulane L 76-81 44%     1 - 1 -5.0 -2.7 -1.9
  Nov 16, 2018 320   Manhattan L 53-55 79%     1 - 2 -11.9 -14.6 +2.6
  Nov 17, 2018 344   UNC Asheville W 78-52 88%     2 - 2 +11.6 +4.2 +8.8
  Nov 18, 2018 127   @ Northern Kentucky L 83-89 23%     2 - 3 +0.0 +12.4 -12.3
  Nov 30, 2018 121   @ South Carolina L 79-85 22%     2 - 4 +0.7 +3.6 -2.3
  Dec 05, 2018 240   Hampton W 75-66 73%     3 - 4 +1.1 +2.6 -1.1
  Dec 09, 2018 67   @ Wofford L 71-82 14%     3 - 5 -0.8 +3.2 -4.2
  Dec 16, 2018 313   NC Central W 75-64 84%    
  Dec 21, 2018 123   @ College of Charleston L 65-73 23%    
  Jan 03, 2019 206   @ Troy L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 05, 2019 195   @ South Alabama L 70-72 41%    
  Jan 10, 2019 142   Texas St. L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 12, 2019 254   Texas Arlington W 75-68 73%    
  Jan 19, 2019 180   Appalachian St. W 80-77 60%    
  Jan 24, 2019 238   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 26, 2019 290   @ Arkansas St. W 78-75 59%    
  Jan 31, 2019 207   Louisiana Monroe W 72-68 65%    
  Feb 02, 2019 118   Louisiana L 76-79 41%    
  Feb 07, 2019 254   @ Texas Arlington W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 09, 2019 142   @ Texas St. L 65-71 29%    
  Feb 16, 2019 180   @ Appalachian St. L 77-80 39%    
  Feb 21, 2019 130   Georgia Southern L 82-83 45%    
  Feb 23, 2019 107   Georgia St. L 73-76 39%    
  Feb 28, 2019 118   @ Louisiana L 73-82 22%    
  Mar 02, 2019 207   @ Louisiana Monroe L 69-71 44%    
  Mar 07, 2019 195   South Alabama W 73-69 62%    
  Mar 09, 2019 206   Troy W 76-72 64%    
Projected Record 12.9 - 15.1 8.8 - 9.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.6 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.6 3.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 9.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.9 4.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 10.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.6 4.9 1.5 0.1 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.2 2.6 5.6 2.1 0.1 10.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 5.3 2.9 0.2 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 4.6 3.5 0.4 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.5 3.8 0.7 0.0 8.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.6 3.3 1.0 0.0 7.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 2.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 3.9 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.9 6.3 9.0 11.5 12.6 13.4 12.2 10.4 7.7 5.1 3.0 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 97.7% 0.5    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-3 83.4% 1.2    0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-4 58.3% 1.8    0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 23.8% 1.2    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.8% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.4% 5.4 2.7 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 31.8% 31.8% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 32.6% 31.9% 0.7% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0%
16-2 0.6% 27.5% 27.4% 0.2% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2%
15-3 1.4% 20.4% 20.4% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1
14-4 3.0% 18.2% 18.2% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.5
13-5 5.1% 12.7% 12.7% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 4.4
12-6 7.7% 10.5% 10.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 6.9
11-7 10.4% 7.6% 7.6% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 9.6
10-8 12.2% 5.1% 5.1% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 11.5
9-9 13.4% 2.9% 2.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 13.0
8-10 12.6% 1.6% 1.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 12.4
7-11 11.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.4
6-12 9.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.0
5-13 6.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 6.2
4-14 3.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.9
3-15 1.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.8
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.9 1.5 95.2 0.0%