Colorado St.
Mountain West
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#211
Achievement Rating-3.0#201
Pace69.8#186
Improvement-1.2#266

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#131
First Shot+4.4#62
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#327
Layup/Dunks+1.4#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#247
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#109
Freethrows+1.9#81
Improvement-0.9#255

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#298
First Shot-3.4#278
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#250
Layups/Dunks+0.4#162
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#289
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#317
Freethrows+2.6#48
Improvement-0.3#212
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 14.8
.500 or above 8.1% 12.3% 3.4%
.500 or above in Conference 13.3% 15.9% 10.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 12.5% 10.5% 14.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Home) - 53.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 323   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 92-67 84%     1 - 0 +11.4 +21.5 -7.9
  Nov 14, 2018 297   Montana St. W 81-77 77%     2 - 0 -6.5 -0.8 -5.8
  Nov 19, 2018 115   Louisiana L 73-91 25%     2 - 1 -14.0 -6.1 -5.9
  Nov 20, 2018 240   Florida Gulf Coast W 82-74 57%     3 - 1 +3.2 +2.3 +0.5
  Nov 21, 2018 83   @ South Dakota St. L 65-78 13%     3 - 2 -3.6 -4.8 +0.9
  Nov 27, 2018 123   Southern Illinois L 67-82 37%     3 - 3 -14.6 +4.5 -21.2
  Dec 01, 2018 59   @ Colorado L 80-86 10%     3 - 4 +5.3 +8.3 -2.5
  Dec 05, 2018 58   Arkansas L 74-98 21%     3 - 5 -18.3 +3.6 -21.7
  Dec 08, 2018 291   Sam Houston St. W 71-65 76%     4 - 5 -4.2 -4.7 +0.5
  Dec 16, 2018 171   South Dakota W 72-71 53%    
  Dec 22, 2018 197   @ Long Beach St. L 77-81 36%    
  Dec 30, 2018 65   New Mexico St. L 69-77 24%    
  Jan 02, 2019 137   @ UNLV L 72-80 22%    
  Jan 05, 2019 62   @ Fresno St. L 68-82 10%    
  Jan 08, 2019 244   Air Force W 74-69 68%    
  Jan 12, 2019 146   New Mexico L 84-85 46%    
  Jan 19, 2019 49   @ Utah St. L 70-86 8%    
  Jan 23, 2019 10   @ Nevada L 68-92 2%    
  Jan 26, 2019 62   Fresno St. L 71-79 24%    
  Jan 29, 2019 135   Boise St. L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 02, 2019 244   @ Air Force L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 06, 2019 10   Nevada L 71-89 6%    
  Feb 09, 2019 222   @ Wyoming L 77-79 41%    
  Feb 12, 2019 71   San Diego St. L 73-80 27%    
  Feb 20, 2019 325   @ San Jose St. W 74-69 67%    
  Feb 23, 2019 222   Wyoming W 80-76 63%    
  Feb 27, 2019 135   @ Boise St. L 69-77 23%    
  Mar 02, 2019 146   @ New Mexico L 81-88 26%    
  Mar 05, 2019 49   Utah St. L 73-83 20%    
  Mar 09, 2019 137   UNLV L 75-77 43%    
Projected Record 11.0 - 19.0 5.8 - 12.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.4 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 4.3 2.9 0.6 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.2 4.2 0.8 0.0 14.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.3 8.5 5.1 0.9 0.0 19.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 6.1 8.7 4.5 0.7 0.0 21.5 9th
10th 0.3 2.5 6.2 6.6 2.7 0.4 0.0 18.8 10th
11th 0.4 1.5 2.4 1.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 6.5 11th
Total 0.4 1.8 5.0 9.3 13.9 16.0 16.2 13.7 10.4 6.6 3.7 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 66.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 63.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 19.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 6.8% 5.5% 1.4% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.4%
13-5 0.3% 1.8% 1.8% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 0.8% 1.9% 1.9% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
11-7 1.8% 1.6% 1.6% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
10-8 3.7% 0.7% 0.7% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
9-9 6.6% 0.4% 0.4% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.6
8-10 10.4% 0.2% 0.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 10.4
7-11 13.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 13.7
6-12 16.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.2
5-13 16.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.0
4-14 13.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.9
3-15 9.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.3
2-16 5.0% 5.0
1-17 1.8% 1.8
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%