Colorado
Pac-12
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#59
Achievement Rating+13.3#37
Pace75.5#69
Improvement-1.3#274

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#91
First Shot+5.4#39
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#296
Layup/Dunks+3.5#73
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#159
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#204
Freethrows+2.6#51
Improvement-2.2#330

Defense
Total Defense+5.0#49
First Shot+5.4#32
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#206
Layups/Dunks-0.7#209
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#39
Freethrows+3.3#30
Improvement+0.9#105
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.1% 2.6% 0.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 37.8% 42.5% 25.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 32.4% 36.9% 20.5%
Average Seed 8.8 8.7 9.4
.500 or above 94.4% 96.6% 88.2%
.500 or above in Conference 69.7% 72.6% 61.7%
Conference Champion 9.3% 10.3% 6.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 1.4% 2.5%
First Four6.3% 6.7% 5.2%
First Round34.4% 38.8% 22.2%
Second Round15.9% 18.4% 9.2%
Sweet Sixteen4.6% 5.4% 2.6%
Elite Eight1.5% 1.8% 0.7%
Final Four0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Indiana St. (Neutral) - 73.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2018 157   Drake W 100-71 85%     1 - 0 +26.4 +15.6 +8.1
  Nov 16, 2018 232   Nebraska Omaha W 79-75 92%     2 - 0 -3.3 +0.7 -4.0
  Nov 20, 2018 77   @ San Diego L 64-70 45%     2 - 1 +3.6 -2.8 +6.3
  Nov 24, 2018 243   @ Air Force W 93-56 83%     3 - 1 +35.0 +14.3 +18.5
  Nov 28, 2018 271   Portland W 93-69 94%     4 - 1 +14.9 +1.9 +9.8
  Dec 01, 2018 208   Colorado St. W 86-80 90%     5 - 1 +0.2 +1.5 -1.7
  Dec 04, 2018 171   South Dakota W 82-58 87%     6 - 1 +20.3 +10.9 +9.6
  Dec 08, 2018 168   Illinois-Chicago W 84-72 86%     7 - 1 +8.5 -0.3 +7.6
  Dec 11, 2018 146   @ New Mexico W 78-75 66%     8 - 1 +7.2 -2.9 +9.8
  Dec 22, 2018 141   Indiana St. W 76-69 73%    
  Jan 03, 2019 40   @ Arizona L 71-76 31%    
  Jan 05, 2019 37   @ Arizona St. L 75-81 28%    
  Jan 10, 2019 177   Washington St. W 87-74 87%    
  Jan 12, 2019 53   Washington W 74-72 57%    
  Jan 20, 2019 134   @ Utah W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 24, 2019 179   @ California W 77-70 73%    
  Jan 26, 2019 95   @ Stanford L 73-74 50%    
  Jan 31, 2019 64   Oregon St. W 73-69 64%    
  Feb 02, 2019 35   Oregon L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 06, 2019 44   @ UCLA L 75-80 33%    
  Feb 09, 2019 94   @ USC L 77-78 49%    
  Feb 13, 2019 37   Arizona St. L 77-78 49%    
  Feb 17, 2019 40   Arizona W 74-73 52%    
  Feb 20, 2019 177   @ Washington St. W 84-77 72%    
  Feb 23, 2019 53   @ Washington L 71-75 36%    
  Mar 02, 2019 134   Utah W 77-68 78%    
  Mar 07, 2019 44   UCLA W 78-77 54%    
  Mar 09, 2019 94   USC W 80-74 69%    
Projected Record 18.6 - 9.4 9.9 - 8.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.0 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 9.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.2 2.0 0.4 0.0 10.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.5 4.9 1.9 0.2 0.0 11.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.0 5.7 2.3 0.2 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.2 2.3 6.0 3.0 0.3 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.7 3.8 0.5 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.5 4.2 0.7 0.0 10.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.5 3.7 0.9 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.4 2.8 0.9 0.0 6.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.7 0.6 0.0 0.0 4.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.1 5.4 8.5 11.0 13.3 14.1 13.4 11.2 8.3 5.2 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 98.1% 1.1    1.0 0.1
15-3 85.1% 2.3    1.7 0.5 0.0
14-4 57.8% 3.0    1.5 1.3 0.3 0.0
13-5 24.1% 2.0    0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.5% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.3% 9.3 5.0 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 37.0% 63.0% 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.3% 99.1% 37.3% 61.8% 3.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.5%
16-2 1.1% 97.6% 29.7% 68.0% 4.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.6%
15-3 2.7% 97.0% 24.0% 73.0% 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 96.0%
14-4 5.2% 92.1% 19.9% 72.3% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 90.2%
13-5 8.3% 83.9% 17.0% 66.9% 8.2 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.6 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 80.7%
12-6 11.2% 69.4% 12.7% 56.7% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.7 1.9 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.4 64.9%
11-7 13.4% 51.6% 8.9% 42.6% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.8 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.5 46.8%
10-8 14.1% 32.1% 6.1% 25.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 9.6 27.6%
9-9 13.3% 15.7% 3.6% 12.1% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 11.2 12.5%
8-10 11.0% 4.3% 2.3% 2.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.5 2.0%
7-11 8.5% 1.7% 1.6% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.3 0.1%
6-12 5.4% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.4 0.0%
5-13 3.1% 0.6% 0.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1
4-14 1.5% 0.5% 0.5% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5
3-15 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 37.8% 8.0% 29.8% 8.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.1 2.6 3.8 4.7 5.4 6.4 6.6 3.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 62.2 32.4%