Coppin St.
Mid-Eastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-17.2#350
Achievement Rating-21.7#349
Pace72.5#120
Improvement+0.6#127

Offense
Total Offense-11.5#351
First Shot-10.7#350
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#212
Layup/Dunks-5.9#328
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#209
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#236
Freethrows-2.5#297
Improvement-0.7#235

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#321
First Shot-5.2#319
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#212
Layups/Dunks+2.2#107
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#266
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#325
Freethrows-0.8#222
Improvement+1.3#79
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 1.6% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 20.3% 30.5% 20.3%
Conference Champion 0.5% 1.6% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 19.4% 10.6% 19.4%
First Four0.6% 1.6% 0.5%
First Round0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Greensboro (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 13   @ Wisconsin L 63-85 0.4%    0 - 1 -3.8 +4.4 -9.8
  Nov 10, 2018 70   @ Dayton L 46-76 1%     0 - 2 -20.0 -24.9 +6.4
  Nov 14, 2018 311   @ Navy L 58-77 15%     0 - 3 -24.9 -16.0 -9.2
  Nov 16, 2018 7   @ Virginia L 40-97 0.3%    0 - 4 -35.9 -17.9 -23.3
  Nov 19, 2018 125   @ Rider L 67-87 3%     0 - 5 -13.8 -12.8 +1.4
  Nov 21, 2018 67   @ Wofford L 65-99 1%     0 - 6 -23.8 -9.7 -11.1
  Nov 23, 2018 226   Charleston Southern L 67-93 11%     0 - 7 -30.0 -9.0 -20.0
  Nov 29, 2018 233   @ James Madison L 71-81 8%     0 - 8 -11.5 -7.5 -3.1
  Dec 03, 2018 211   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 60-71 15%     0 - 9 -16.9 -8.8 -8.9
  Dec 05, 2018 172   @ Richmond L 47-82 5%     0 - 10 -32.8 -26.2 -8.0
  Dec 09, 2018 276   Tennessee St. L 55-64 23%     0 - 11 -18.4 -21.5 +3.5
  Dec 12, 2018 89   @ UNC Greensboro L 57-83 1%    
  Dec 21, 2018 207   @ Louisiana Monroe L 59-76 5%    
  Dec 23, 2018 33   @ Houston L 48-80 0.1%   
  Dec 29, 2018 56   @ Notre Dame L 53-82 0.3%   
  Jan 05, 2019 352   Savannah St. W 88-84 65%    
  Jan 07, 2019 353   @ Delaware St. W 72-71 52%    
  Jan 12, 2019 277   Norfolk St. L 66-74 24%    
  Jan 14, 2019 342   South Carolina St. L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 19, 2019 313   @ NC Central L 61-72 16%    
  Jan 21, 2019 323   @ N.C. A&T L 66-75 20%    
  Jan 26, 2019 337   Florida A&M L 65-67 45%    
  Jan 28, 2019 308   Bethune-Cookman L 70-76 31%    
  Feb 02, 2019 312   Morgan St. L 70-75 32%    
  Feb 09, 2019 352   @ Savannah St. L 85-87 43%    
  Feb 11, 2019 342   @ South Carolina St. L 67-74 28%    
  Feb 16, 2019 348   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 64-68 36%    
  Feb 23, 2019 285   Howard L 74-81 26%    
  Feb 25, 2019 353   Delaware St. W 75-69 72%    
  Mar 02, 2019 277   @ Norfolk St. L 63-77 11%    
  Mar 07, 2019 312   @ Morgan St. L 67-78 16%    
Projected Record 5.7 - 25.3 5.6 - 10.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.0 2.5 0.4 0.0 5.1 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 4.1 1.2 0.0 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 5.6 2.7 0.2 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.9 6.6 4.5 0.5 0.0 13.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 6.5 6.1 1.0 0.0 15.3 9th
10th 0.0 1.4 6.1 6.7 1.6 0.1 16.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.5 5.2 5.7 1.8 0.1 14.3 11th
12th 0.4 2.0 4.0 3.5 1.1 0.1 11.0 12th
Total 0.4 2.0 5.6 10.1 14.6 17.1 16.4 13.4 9.6 5.8 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 73.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-4 38.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 9.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.0% 22.2% 22.2% 16.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.2% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.5% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5
11-5 1.3% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.1 1.3
10-6 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 2.8
9-7 5.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 5.8
8-8 9.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.5
7-9 13.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.4
6-10 16.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 16.4
5-11 17.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 17.1
4-12 14.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.6
3-13 10.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.1
2-14 5.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.6
1-15 2.0% 2.0
0-16 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.6 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%