Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-20.7#353
Achievement Rating-19.3#345
Pace76.2#55
Improvement+1.1#93

Offense
Total Offense-11.6#353
First Shot-11.2#352
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#193
Layup/Dunks-10.4#351
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#331
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#34
Freethrows-2.3#285
Improvement-0.8#236

Defense
Total Defense-9.0#353
First Shot-9.3#351
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#157
Layups/Dunks-4.9#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#19
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.1#345
Freethrows-0.7#214
Improvement+1.9#48
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 5.9% 12.3% 5.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 47.6% 32.3% 48.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware (Away) - 2.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 257   @ East Carolina L 56-81 6%     0 - 1 -27.5 -19.4 -6.2
  Nov 10, 2018 120   @ Grand Canyon L 47-89 1%     0 - 2 -35.6 -24.4 -9.0
  Nov 13, 2018 296   @ Loyola Maryland L 62-91 8%     0 - 3 -33.7 -18.2 -14.1
  Nov 16, 2018 300   @ Longwood L 73-89 8%     0 - 4 -20.8 +2.7 -23.5
  Nov 24, 2018 161   @ Washington St. L 52-80 2%     0 - 5 -24.9 -24.3 +0.7
  Nov 27, 2018 101   Penn L 48-76 3%     0 - 6 -25.9 -27.0 +3.3
  Dec 01, 2018 151   @ St. Bonaventure L 61-90 2%     0 - 7 -25.3 -11.4 -12.4
  Dec 08, 2018 145   Jacksonville St. L 54-81 5%     0 - 8 -28.7 -23.4 -2.9
  Dec 19, 2018 220   @ Delaware L 63-83 3%    
  Dec 22, 2018 154   @ Weber St. L 67-91 1%    
  Dec 29, 2018 84   @ Ball St. L 62-92 0.3%   
  Jan 05, 2019 277   @ Norfolk St. L 65-82 6%    
  Jan 07, 2019 350   Coppin St. L 73-74 47%    
  Jan 12, 2019 324   N.C. A&T L 70-77 26%    
  Jan 14, 2019 314   NC Central L 65-74 21%    
  Jan 19, 2019 308   @ Bethune-Cookman L 69-84 9%    
  Jan 21, 2019 335   @ Florida A&M L 64-75 15%    
  Jan 26, 2019 285   @ Howard L 73-90 7%    
  Feb 02, 2019 351   Savannah St. L 89-90 48%    
  Feb 04, 2019 341   South Carolina St. L 73-77 35%    
  Feb 09, 2019 324   N.C. A&T L 69-79 19%    
  Feb 11, 2019 314   NC Central L 64-76 15%    
  Feb 23, 2019 347   Maryland Eastern Shore L 68-69 45%    
  Feb 25, 2019 350   @ Coppin St. L 70-77 27%    
  Mar 02, 2019 312   Morgan St. L 71-80 22%    
  Mar 04, 2019 277   Norfolk St. L 68-79 16%    
  Mar 07, 2019 347   Maryland Eastern Shore L 67-71 35%    
Projected Record 4.0 - 23.0 3.9 - 12.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 2.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 2.6 0.7 0.0 4.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 3.9 2.0 0.1 7.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 5.0 3.8 0.5 0.0 10.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.8 6.5 5.8 1.1 0.0 15.4 10th
11th 0.3 3.3 8.6 7.8 2.0 0.1 22.1 11th
12th 3.0 8.4 11.9 7.9 2.1 0.2 0.0 33.5 12th
Total 3.0 8.7 15.3 18.5 17.9 14.4 10.1 6.3 3.3 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 72.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-4 34.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 11.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-4 0.1% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1
11-5 0.2% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2
10-6 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7
9-7 1.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6
8-8 3.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.2
7-9 6.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.3
6-10 10.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.1
5-11 14.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.4
4-12 17.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.8
3-13 18.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 18.4
2-14 15.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.3
1-15 8.7% 8.7
0-16 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.0
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.8%