Detroit Mercy
Horizon
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#303
Achievement Rating-3.6#210
Pace73.4#107
Improvement-1.6#288

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#205
First Shot-3.9#280
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#39
Layup/Dunks-7.7#347
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#185
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.2#21
Freethrows-2.2#292
Improvement-1.2#279

Defense
Total Defense-6.7#338
First Shot-4.4#306
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#312
Layups/Dunks-2.4#264
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#68
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#241
Freethrows-1.7#271
Improvement-0.3#213
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.6% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 3.0% 6.1% 1.6%
.500 or above in Conference 19.4% 24.9% 17.0%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 21.2% 16.7% 23.3%
First Four0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
First Round0.8% 1.1% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ohio (Home) - 30.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 223   @ Western Michigan L 76-89 24%     0 - 1 -13.6 +0.1 -13.2
  Nov 09, 2018 75   @ Temple L 67-83 6%     0 - 2 -6.3 +0.1 -6.4
  Nov 12, 2018 36   @ Butler L 63-84 3%     0 - 3 -6.4 -7.0 +1.8
  Nov 19, 2018 299   Loyola Maryland W 91-63 61%     1 - 3 +17.4 +12.0 +5.8
  Nov 20, 2018 202   Bowling Green W 82-67 41%     2 - 3 +9.5 +5.2 +3.9
  Nov 24, 2018 183   @ Eastern Michigan W 78-74 19%     3 - 3 +5.6 +13.0 -7.0
  Nov 28, 2018 143   Kent St. L 72-76 27%     3 - 4 -5.4 -0.5 -5.0
  Dec 01, 2018 131   @ Akron L 59-71 11%     3 - 5 -6.3 -6.9 +0.1
  Dec 04, 2018 70   @ Dayton L 59-98 6%     3 - 6 -29.0 -10.2 -18.3
  Dec 05, 2018 76   @ Toledo L 57-101 6%     3 - 7 -34.4 -12.7 -21.3
  Dec 15, 2018 152   Ohio L 77-82 31%    
  Dec 21, 2018 57   @ Xavier L 67-87 3%    
  Dec 28, 2018 331   @ Youngstown St. W 82-81 53%    
  Dec 30, 2018 257   @ Cleveland St. L 76-81 31%    
  Jan 03, 2019 142   Wright St. L 73-80 27%    
  Jan 05, 2019 126   Northern Kentucky L 73-81 23%    
  Jan 10, 2019 204   Green Bay L 83-85 42%    
  Jan 12, 2019 294   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-72 59%    
  Jan 19, 2019 234   Oakland L 79-80 49%    
  Jan 24, 2019 168   @ Illinois-Chicago L 77-87 17%    
  Jan 26, 2019 182   @ IUPUI L 72-81 20%    
  Jan 31, 2019 257   Cleveland St. W 79-78 52%    
  Feb 02, 2019 331   Youngstown St. W 85-78 73%    
  Feb 07, 2019 126   @ Northern Kentucky L 70-84 11%    
  Feb 09, 2019 142   @ Wright St. L 70-83 13%    
  Feb 14, 2019 294   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-75 38%    
  Feb 16, 2019 204   @ Green Bay L 80-88 23%    
  Feb 23, 2019 234   @ Oakland L 77-83 28%    
  Feb 28, 2019 182   IUPUI L 75-78 38%    
  Mar 02, 2019 168   Illinois-Chicago L 80-84 35%    
Projected Record 9.7 - 20.3 6.3 - 11.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.8 1.6 0.2 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.4 2.6 0.3 0.0 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.4 6.9 3.4 0.4 0.0 15.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.8 7.7 3.5 0.4 0.0 19.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.2 7.0 6.7 2.8 0.3 0.0 20.6 9th
10th 0.3 1.3 3.3 4.2 2.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 13.1 10th
Total 0.3 1.4 3.9 7.6 11.6 14.4 15.5 14.2 11.7 8.5 5.3 3.1 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 92.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-4 66.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 30.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 27.8% 27.8% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 13.3% 13.3% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.7% 10.8% 10.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
12-6 1.5% 6.5% 6.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.4
11-7 3.1% 4.5% 4.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 2.9
10-8 5.3% 3.4% 3.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 5.2
9-9 8.5% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 8.3
8-10 11.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 11.4
7-11 14.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.1
6-12 15.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 15.4
5-13 14.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.4
4-14 11.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.6
3-15 7.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.6
2-16 3.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.9
1-17 1.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.4
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.1 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%