East Carolina
American Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#266
Achievement Rating-6.1#253
Pace71.0#123
Improvement-1.0#234

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#299
First Shot-4.9#301
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#201
Layup/Dunks+1.0#145
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#46
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.5#351
Freethrows-0.1#180
Improvement+2.3#67

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#194
First Shot-1.0#205
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#150
Layups/Dunks+0.3#161
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#233
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#133
Freethrows-2.0#299
Improvement-3.2#324
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 20.2% 6.5% 24.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulsa (Home) - 22.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 353   Delaware St. W 81-56 94%     1 - 0 +0.9 -8.6 +7.6
  Nov 09, 2018 262   James Madison L 72-73 60%     1 - 1 -9.5 -16.6 +7.2
  Nov 11, 2018 249   Lamar W 84-78 57%     2 - 1 -1.9 -4.6 +1.9
  Nov 16, 2018 107   @ Georgia Tech L 54-79 11%     2 - 2 -18.0 -14.1 -1.9
  Nov 19, 2018 183   UT Rio Grande Valley W 69-64 42%     3 - 2 +1.1 -6.7 +7.4
  Nov 21, 2018 283   Prairie View W 76-64 63%     4 - 2 +2.5 -9.2 +10.4
  Nov 24, 2018 225   High Point L 52-55 52%     4 - 3 -9.5 -11.6 +1.5
  Nov 27, 2018 268   @ UNC Wilmington L 86-95 40%     4 - 4 -12.4 -3.7 -7.6
  Nov 30, 2018 199   Appalachian St. W 83-81 46%     5 - 4 -3.0 +1.9 -5.0
  Dec 02, 2018 352   Maryland Eastern Shore W 70-47 94%     6 - 4 -0.3 -6.7 +8.4
  Dec 18, 2018 288   @ Charlotte L 49-55 44%     6 - 5 -10.5 -18.1 +7.0
  Dec 28, 2018 324   N.C. A&T W 77-57 75%     7 - 5 +6.8 +2.4 +5.4
  Jan 02, 2019 103   @ SMU L 54-82 11%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -20.6 -20.4 +0.4
  Jan 05, 2019 31   Cincinnati W 73-71 8%     8 - 6 1 - 1 +11.6 +6.9 +4.8
  Jan 10, 2019 76   @ Memphis L 72-78 9%     8 - 7 1 - 2 +3.2 -0.9 +4.4
  Jan 13, 2019 52   @ Central Florida L 65-76 6%     8 - 8 1 - 3 +0.9 -4.0 +5.3
  Jan 16, 2019 68   Temple L 74-85 17%     8 - 9 1 - 4 -6.7 -0.4 -5.6
  Jan 23, 2019 21   @ Houston L 50-94 3%     8 - 10 1 - 5 -26.8 -12.1 -15.5
  Jan 26, 2019 118   South Florida L 57-77 25%     8 - 11 1 - 6 -19.0 -7.8 -12.7
  Jan 31, 2019 285   Tulane W 66-65 64%     9 - 11 2 - 6 -8.6 -7.3 -1.3
  Feb 03, 2019 85   @ Connecticut L 52-76 9%     9 - 12 2 - 7 -15.3 -12.2 -5.4
  Feb 06, 2019 112   Wichita St. L 49-65 24%     9 - 13 2 - 8 -14.7 -14.4 -2.9
  Feb 10, 2019 118   @ South Florida L 68-72 12%     9 - 14 2 - 9 +2.4 +4.0 -1.7
  Feb 13, 2019 76   Memphis L 69-79 18%     9 - 15 2 - 10 -6.3 -3.0 -3.2
  Feb 17, 2019 98   Tulsa L 66-74 22%    
  Feb 23, 2019 285   @ Tulane L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 27, 2019 21   Houston L 58-76 5%    
  Mar 03, 2019 98   @ Tulsa L 63-77 9%    
  Mar 05, 2019 112   @ Wichita St. L 63-76 11%    
  Mar 10, 2019 85   Connecticut L 68-77 19%    
Projected Record 10.1 - 19.9 3.1 - 14.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 9th
10th 1.4 2.3 0.6 0.0 4.2 10th
11th 25.0 40.1 20.4 3.9 0.2 89.5 11th
12th 4.9 0.6 0.0 5.6 12th
Total 30.0 40.7 21.8 6.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.0% 0.0
7-11 0.1% 0.1
6-12 1.1% 1.1
5-13 6.3% 6.3
4-14 21.8% 21.8
3-15 40.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 40.7
2-16 30.0% 30.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 26.9%