East Carolina
American Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#259
Achievement Rating-4.2#223
Pace75.4#70
Improvement+0.5#135

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#315
First Shot-4.5#292
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#241
Layup/Dunks+1.4#131
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#122
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.3#345
Freethrows+1.4#101
Improvement+1.5#56

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#166
First Shot-1.7#232
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#74
Layups/Dunks-0.5#199
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#305
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#68
Freethrows-2.6#304
Improvement-1.0#262
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 15.0
.500 or above 4.2% 6.8% 1.6%
.500 or above in Conference 1.7% 2.3% 1.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 56.5% 52.5% 60.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charlotte (Away) - 49.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 353   Delaware St. W 81-56 94%     1 - 0 +1.4 -8.3 +7.8
  Nov 09, 2018 233   James Madison L 72-73 57%     1 - 1 -8.5 -14.1 +5.8
  Nov 11, 2018 230   Lamar W 84-78 56%     2 - 1 -1.2 -3.4 +1.4
  Nov 16, 2018 74   @ Georgia Tech L 54-79 8%     2 - 2 -15.2 -13.7 +0.5
  Nov 19, 2018 222   UT Rio Grande Valley W 69-64 54%     3 - 2 -1.5 -9.8 +7.9
  Nov 21, 2018 289   Prairie View W 76-64 67%     4 - 2 +1.9 -10.0 +10.6
  Nov 24, 2018 248   High Point L 52-55 60%     4 - 3 -11.1 -13.8 +2.1
  Nov 27, 2018 218   @ UNC Wilmington L 86-95 30%     4 - 4 -9.3 +0.1 -8.3
  Nov 30, 2018 180   Appalachian St. W 83-81 45%     5 - 4 -2.3 +2.2 -4.6
  Dec 02, 2018 348   Maryland Eastern Shore W 70-47 89%     6 - 4 +3.8 -4.4 +10.2
  Dec 18, 2018 307   @ Charlotte L 68-69 50%    
  Dec 28, 2018 323   N.C. A&T W 76-68 78%    
  Jan 02, 2019 114   @ SMU L 63-76 12%    
  Jan 05, 2019 25   Cincinnati L 58-73 8%    
  Jan 10, 2019 116   @ Memphis L 71-84 12%    
  Jan 13, 2019 43   @ Central Florida L 57-76 4%    
  Jan 16, 2019 68   Temple L 65-75 19%    
  Jan 23, 2019 33   @ Houston L 55-76 3%    
  Jan 26, 2019 193   South Florida L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 31, 2019 212   Tulane W 73-72 52%    
  Feb 03, 2019 78   @ Connecticut L 69-84 8%    
  Feb 06, 2019 115   Wichita St. L 68-75 27%    
  Feb 10, 2019 193   @ South Florida L 64-71 27%    
  Feb 13, 2019 116   Memphis L 74-81 27%    
  Feb 17, 2019 120   Tulsa L 68-74 29%    
  Feb 23, 2019 212   @ Tulane L 69-75 31%    
  Feb 27, 2019 33   Houston L 58-73 10%    
  Mar 03, 2019 120   @ Tulsa L 65-77 14%    
  Mar 05, 2019 115   @ Wichita St. L 65-78 13%    
  Mar 10, 2019 78   Connecticut L 72-81 21%    
Projected Record 10.9 - 19.1 3.6 - 14.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.1 0.7 0.0 4.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 4.4 6.4 2.8 0.3 0.0 14.9 10th
11th 0.2 3.1 8.8 9.6 4.2 0.5 0.0 26.3 11th
12th 3.6 10.6 14.4 10.0 3.3 0.4 0.0 42.4 12th
Total 3.6 10.8 17.5 19.6 17.6 13.3 8.5 4.9 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 8.3% 0.0    0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 2.0% 2.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1
11-7 0.2% 1.2% 1.2% 14.0 0.0 0.2
10-8 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 0.4
9-9 1.1% 0.3% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
8-10 2.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 2.4
7-11 4.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.9
6-12 8.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.5
5-13 13.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.3
4-14 17.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.6
3-15 19.6% 19.6
2-16 17.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.5
1-17 10.8% 10.8
0-18 3.6% 3.6
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%