Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.7#318
Achievement Rating-5.3#237
Pace67.9#234
Improvement-3.2#339

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#309
First Shot-5.8#314
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#142
Layup/Dunks-6.3#330
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#66
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#201
Freethrows-1.3#244
Improvement-0.6#219

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#295
First Shot-2.5#255
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#290
Layups/Dunks-3.0#282
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#88
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#231
Freethrows+0.8#135
Improvement-2.7#332
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 7.3% 20.5% 6.3%
.500 or above in Conference 18.4% 28.3% 17.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 17.9% 11.0% 18.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bradley (Away) - 7.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 46   @ Texas L 59-71 3%     0 - 1 +0.9 -5.7 +7.0
  Nov 10, 2018 179   @ IUPUI L 65-71 14%     0 - 2 -4.3 -8.5 +4.5
  Nov 17, 2018 266   Western Illinois W 68-66 47%     1 - 2 -7.0 -14.4 +7.3
  Nov 23, 2018 190   Gardner-Webb W 79-78 22%     2 - 2 -0.8 +10.1 -10.7
  Nov 24, 2018 291   Arkansas St. W 90-86 40%     3 - 2 -3.2 +0.1 -3.8
  Nov 25, 2018 219   UNC Wilmington L 65-82 27%     3 - 3 -20.3 -7.1 -14.4
  Nov 28, 2018 201   Purdue Fort Wayne L 60-104 34%     3 - 4 -49.3 -20.3 -26.7
  Dec 01, 2018 349   @ Chicago St. L 72-80 64%     3 - 5 -21.4 -11.3 -9.7
  Dec 08, 2018 266   @ Western Illinois W 74-67 26%     4 - 5 +4.0 -0.2 +4.1
  Dec 15, 2018 128   @ Bradley L 59-75 7%    
  Dec 21, 2018 22   @ Iowa St. L 59-85 1%    
  Dec 30, 2018 329   North Alabama W 71-66 66%    
  Jan 03, 2019 295   Tennessee Martin W 75-74 53%    
  Jan 05, 2019 327   SIU Edwardsville W 74-70 66%    
  Jan 10, 2019 145   @ Jacksonville St. L 64-78 10%    
  Jan 12, 2019 334   @ Tennessee Tech L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 17, 2019 102   Murray St. L 61-73 14%    
  Jan 19, 2019 193   Austin Peay L 70-75 34%    
  Jan 24, 2019 295   @ Tennessee Martin L 72-77 32%    
  Jan 26, 2019 273   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 66-73 28%    
  Jan 31, 2019 275   Eastern Kentucky L 80-81 49%    
  Feb 02, 2019 286   Morehead St. W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 07, 2019 102   @ Murray St. L 58-76 6%    
  Feb 09, 2019 193   @ Austin Peay L 67-78 17%    
  Feb 14, 2019 327   @ SIU Edwardsville L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 16, 2019 273   Southeast Missouri St. L 69-70 48%    
  Feb 21, 2019 90   @ Belmont L 69-87 5%    
  Feb 23, 2019 280   @ Tennessee St. L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 28, 2019 145   Jacksonville St. L 67-75 24%    
  Mar 02, 2019 334   Tennessee Tech W 73-68 68%    
Projected Record 11.0 - 19.0 6.3 - 11.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.5 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 3.1 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 7.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.2 3.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.0 4.7 1.1 0.1 12.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.9 5.9 1.6 0.1 0.0 13.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 4.3 6.6 2.2 0.2 0.0 13.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.7 6.6 2.7 0.2 0.0 13.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.5 5.7 2.8 0.3 0.0 13.0 11th
12th 0.2 1.3 3.2 3.7 1.7 0.2 0.0 10.3 12th
Total 0.2 1.3 3.9 7.6 11.6 14.7 15.7 14.6 11.9 8.4 5.1 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 78.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 42.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 14.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 3.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 9.5% 9.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 11.5% 11.5% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.5% 3.3% 3.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-6 1.3% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 1.3
11-7 2.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
10-8 5.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.0 5.1
9-9 8.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.4
8-10 11.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.9
7-11 14.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.6
6-12 15.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.7
5-13 14.7% 14.7
4-14 11.6% 11.6
3-15 7.6% 7.6
2-16 3.9% 3.9
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%