Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#296
Achievement Rating-4.1#224
Pace67.6#218
Improvement+2.1#85

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#243
First Shot-2.2#249
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#174
Layup/Dunks-3.4#295
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#71
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#133
Freethrows-2.2#313
Improvement+3.5#34

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#316
First Shot-3.1#270
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#337
Layups/Dunks+0.3#156
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#118
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#322
Freethrows-0.1#196
Improvement-1.3#257
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 29.4% 69.9% 27.4%
.500 or above in Conference 46.0% 88.9% 44.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Belmont (Away) - 4.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 27   @ Texas L 59-71 3%     0 - 1 +3.7 -8.3 +12.4
  Nov 10, 2018 205   @ IUPUI L 65-71 23%     0 - 2 -5.9 -11.3 +5.7
  Nov 17, 2018 285   Western Illinois W 68-66 58%     1 - 2 -7.8 -15.8 +7.8
  Nov 23, 2018 218   Gardner-Webb W 79-78 33%     2 - 2 -2.3 +9.4 -11.6
  Nov 24, 2018 259   Arkansas St. W 90-86 42%     3 - 2 -1.6 +1.5 -3.6
  Nov 25, 2018 252   UNC Wilmington L 65-82 41%     3 - 3 -22.4 -10.4 -13.3
  Nov 28, 2018 181   Purdue Fort Wayne L 60-104 36%     3 - 4 -48.0 -21.3 -24.4
  Dec 01, 2018 351   @ Chicago St. L 72-80 81%     3 - 5 -25.1 -12.4 -12.3
  Dec 08, 2018 285   @ Western Illinois W 74-67 37%     4 - 5 +2.8 -1.7 +4.4
  Dec 15, 2018 156   @ Bradley W 73-66 15%     5 - 5 +10.2 +9.2 +1.5
  Dec 21, 2018 12   @ Iowa St. L 53-101 2%     5 - 6 -29.0 -10.1 -21.0
  Dec 30, 2018 319   North Alabama W 81-70 69%     6 - 6 -1.8 +4.7 -6.4
  Jan 03, 2019 300   Tennessee Martin W 92-87 61%     7 - 6 1 - 0 -5.7 +2.5 -8.7
  Jan 05, 2019 332   SIU Edwardsville W 84-81 74%     8 - 6 2 - 0 -11.3 -4.2 -7.4
  Jan 10, 2019 129   @ Jacksonville St. L 62-69 11%     8 - 7 2 - 1 -1.2 -2.8 +1.3
  Jan 12, 2019 328   @ Tennessee Tech W 67-60 53%     9 - 7 3 - 1 -1.5 -5.8 +4.3
  Jan 17, 2019 71   Murray St. L 61-83 14%     9 - 8 3 - 2 -17.8 -12.4 -5.0
  Jan 19, 2019 137   Austin Peay W 85-83 25%     10 - 8 4 - 2 +1.3 +11.9 -10.6
  Jan 24, 2019 300   @ Tennessee Martin W 66-64 40%     11 - 8 5 - 2 -3.1 +3.6 -6.3
  Jan 26, 2019 315   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 59-64 46%     11 - 9 5 - 3 -11.8 -11.4 -0.8
  Jan 31, 2019 277   Eastern Kentucky W 67-66 56%     12 - 9 6 - 3 -8.4 -14.7 +6.2
  Feb 02, 2019 268   Morehead St. L 78-84 54%     12 - 10 6 - 4 -14.8 -3.3 -11.4
  Feb 07, 2019 71   @ Murray St. L 75-86 6%     12 - 11 6 - 5 -1.3 +2.2 -3.0
  Feb 09, 2019 137   @ Austin Peay L 86-94 12%     12 - 12 6 - 6 -3.1 +13.3 -16.4
  Feb 14, 2019 332   @ SIU Edwardsville W 79-65 54%     13 - 12 7 - 6 +5.2 +4.3 +1.3
  Feb 16, 2019 315   Southeast Missouri St. L 79-88 67%     13 - 13 7 - 7 -21.3 -0.9 -20.2
  Feb 21, 2019 69   @ Belmont L 70-88 5%    
  Feb 23, 2019 312   @ Tennessee St. L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 28, 2019 129   Jacksonville St. L 66-74 23%    
  Mar 02, 2019 328   Tennessee Tech W 72-66 73%    
Projected Record 14.4 - 15.6 8.4 - 9.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 3.6 34.5 35.9 9.4 0.5 83.9 5th
6th 5.9 7.0 0.3 13.2 6th
7th 2.5 0.4 2.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 12.1 41.9 36.2 9.4 0.5 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.5% 0.5
10-8 9.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 9.4
9-9 36.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 36.1
8-10 41.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 41.9
7-11 12.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.1
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0%
Lose Out 6.6%