Eastern Kentucky
Ohio Valley
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#274
Achievement Rating+1.1#160
Pace93.5#3
Improvement+3.4#11

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#251
First Shot-0.9#206
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#290
Layup/Dunks-4.0#296
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#125
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#95
Freethrows-0.7#212
Improvement+0.5#134

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#274
First Shot-3.6#280
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#161
Layups/Dunks-1.2#224
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#55
Freethrows-5.6#350
Improvement+2.9#19
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 2.0% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 28.8% 55.0% 27.6%
.500 or above in Conference 36.3% 50.4% 35.7%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.8% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 7.5% 3.8% 7.7%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.8% 1.8% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Xavier (Away) - 4.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 131   Marshall L 77-105 28%     0 - 1 -28.3 -13.3 -8.4
  Nov 10, 2018 314   @ Chattanooga W 81-78 50%     1 - 1 -3.2 -3.9 +0.2
  Nov 16, 2018 26   Kansas St. L 68-95 5%     1 - 2 -14.2 -3.5 -6.9
  Nov 17, 2018 174   Northern Iowa L 85-90 30%     1 - 3 -5.9 +1.2 -6.4
  Nov 19, 2018 343   Kennesaw St. W 100-81 84%     2 - 3 +2.0 +10.4 -10.6
  Nov 28, 2018 9   @ Tennessee L 67-95 1%     2 - 4 -7.2 -3.5 -0.4
  Dec 01, 2018 248   @ High Point W 70-69 34%     3 - 4 -1.1 -6.6 +5.5
  Dec 05, 2018 331   South Carolina Upstate W 79-77 79%     4 - 4 -12.6 -13.7 +0.9
  Dec 08, 2018 127   Northern Kentucky W 76-74 27%     5 - 4 +2.0 +0.9 +1.1
  Dec 15, 2018 57   @ Xavier L 74-92 4%    
  Dec 22, 2018 163   @ Duquesne L 79-88 20%    
  Jan 03, 2019 194   @ Austin Peay L 82-89 25%    
  Jan 05, 2019 102   @ Murray St. L 72-86 9%    
  Jan 10, 2019 276   @ Tennessee St. L 80-83 40%    
  Jan 12, 2019 88   @ Belmont L 85-100 8%    
  Jan 17, 2019 299   Tennessee Martin W 90-86 66%    
  Jan 19, 2019 272   Southeast Missouri St. W 85-82 61%    
  Jan 24, 2019 145   Jacksonville St. L 81-86 34%    
  Jan 26, 2019 334   Tennessee Tech W 88-79 79%    
  Jan 31, 2019 317   @ Eastern Illinois W 81-80 52%    
  Feb 02, 2019 327   @ SIU Edwardsville W 86-84 57%    
  Feb 07, 2019 88   Belmont L 88-97 21%    
  Feb 09, 2019 276   Tennessee St. W 83-80 61%    
  Feb 14, 2019 281   @ Morehead St. L 83-85 41%    
  Feb 16, 2019 102   Murray St. L 75-83 23%    
  Feb 21, 2019 334   @ Tennessee Tech W 85-82 60%    
  Feb 23, 2019 145   @ Jacksonville St. L 78-89 17%    
  Feb 28, 2019 194   Austin Peay L 85-86 46%    
  Mar 02, 2019 281   Morehead St. W 86-82 63%    
Projected Record 12.9 - 16.1 7.6 - 10.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 3.0 3.4 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.7 4.9 1.8 0.2 0.0 13.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.4 5.6 5.5 1.7 0.2 0.0 14.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.4 5.8 1.7 0.1 0.0 14.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.4 5.9 1.8 0.1 12.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.4 2.0 0.2 0.0 11.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.3 2.0 0.2 0.0 8.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 6.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.3 3.2 6.1 9.8 13.1 15.0 14.8 12.9 10.1 6.6 3.8 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 81.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 54.7% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 22.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 4.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 19.0% 19.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 14.8% 14.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.7% 12.2% 12.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.9% 6.6% 6.6% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.8
12-6 3.8% 5.0% 5.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.6
11-7 6.6% 2.3% 2.3% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.5
10-8 10.1% 1.3% 1.3% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.0
9-9 12.9% 0.7% 0.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.8
8-10 14.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 14.8
7-11 15.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.0
6-12 13.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.1
5-13 9.8% 9.8
4-14 6.1% 6.1
3-15 3.2% 3.2
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 99.1 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%