Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#182
Achievement Rating-5.9#244
Pace62.1#340
Improvement-1.5#284

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#181
First Shot-2.0#239
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#79
Layup/Dunks+0.3#170
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#19
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#285
Freethrows-3.3#316
Improvement+1.6#61

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#197
First Shot-2.8#266
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#64
Layups/Dunks+1.7#119
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#179
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#342
Freethrows+2.2#69
Improvement-3.0#339
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.9% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 12.8 13.6
.500 or above 8.2% 15.0% 4.3%
.500 or above in Conference 26.0% 32.8% 22.2%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 19.2% 14.5% 21.8%
First Four0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round1.2% 1.8% 0.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Irvine (Home) - 36.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 251   Drexel W 66-62 74%     1 - 0 -4.2 -7.5 +3.7
  Nov 14, 2018 1   @ Duke L 46-84 1%     1 - 1 -11.6 -17.8 +7.7
  Nov 17, 2018 187   Boston University W 80-62 62%     2 - 1 +13.5 +13.7 +1.3
  Nov 19, 2018 99   @ Rutgers L 36-63 18%     2 - 2 -18.7 -27.5 +7.7
  Nov 24, 2018 299   Detroit Mercy L 74-78 81%     2 - 3 -14.8 -0.1 -15.1
  Nov 26, 2018 30   @ TCU L 69-87 7%     2 - 4 -2.5 +7.5 -10.8
  Dec 01, 2018 85   @ Northeastern L 67-81 17%     2 - 5 -5.1 +7.1 -14.7
  Dec 19, 2018 98   UC Irvine L 62-66 36%    
  Dec 29, 2018 5   @ Kansas L 59-82 2%    
  Jan 04, 2019 23   Buffalo L 68-79 14%    
  Jan 08, 2019 84   @ Ball St. L 66-76 17%    
  Jan 12, 2019 143   Kent St. L 69-70 50%    
  Jan 15, 2019 130   @ Akron L 62-69 26%    
  Jan 18, 2019 23   @ Buffalo L 65-82 6%    
  Jan 22, 2019 203   Bowling Green W 71-67 65%    
  Jan 26, 2019 223   @ Western Michigan L 67-68 47%    
  Jan 29, 2019 173   @ Central Michigan L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 02, 2019 153   Miami (OH) W 69-68 53%    
  Feb 09, 2019 164   Northern Illinois W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 12, 2019 152   @ Ohio L 67-72 32%    
  Feb 16, 2019 143   @ Kent St. L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 19, 2019 75   Toledo L 67-72 33%    
  Feb 23, 2019 223   Western Michigan W 70-65 68%    
  Feb 26, 2019 173   Central Michigan W 72-70 59%    
  Mar 02, 2019 164   @ Northern Illinois L 68-72 35%    
  Mar 05, 2019 84   Ball St. L 69-73 35%    
  Mar 08, 2019 75   @ Toledo L 64-75 17%    
Projected Record 9.2 - 17.8 6.8 - 11.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.5 1.9 0.4 0.0 5.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.3 2.8 0.6 0.0 7.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.6 4.1 0.9 0.0 9.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.1 5.3 1.5 0.1 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.9 2.6 0.2 0.0 11.3 8th
9th 0.2 2.0 5.9 3.7 0.4 0.0 12.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.4 4.5 0.7 0.0 12.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.9 4.3 1.0 0.0 12.8 11th
12th 0.2 1.1 2.9 3.8 2.7 0.7 0.0 11.6 12th
Total 0.2 1.2 3.3 6.1 9.7 12.6 14.3 13.9 12.6 10.0 7.1 4.5 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 93.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 69.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 36.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 10.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 42.4% 15.2% 27.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 32.1%
15-3 0.2% 29.7% 16.1% 13.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 16.2%
14-4 0.5% 18.8% 11.8% 7.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 7.9%
13-5 1.2% 10.9% 8.8% 2.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 2.3%
12-6 2.5% 7.0% 6.5% 0.4% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.3 0.5%
11-7 4.5% 4.6% 4.6% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.3 0.1%
10-8 7.1% 2.9% 2.8% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.9 0.0%
9-9 10.0% 1.4% 1.4% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.9
8-10 12.6% 0.8% 0.8% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.5
7-11 13.9% 0.4% 0.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.9
6-12 14.3% 0.3% 0.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 14.2
5-13 12.6% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 12.6
4-14 9.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.7
3-15 6.1% 6.1
2-16 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.3
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.3% 1.1% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 98.7 0.1%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%