Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#149
Achievement Rating-1.5#186
Pace60.1#347
Improvement+3.6#42

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#178
First Shot-1.0#209
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#89
Layup/Dunks-0.3#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#59
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#249
Freethrows-1.3#267
Improvement+1.0#138

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#135
First Shot+3.7#65
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#343
Layups/Dunks+3.3#58
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#174
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#231
Freethrows+1.6#73
Improvement+2.6#55
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 2.2% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.4 15.1
.500 or above 0.6% 1.5% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 32.5% 56.1% 17.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round1.5% 2.2% 1.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Toledo (Home) - 39.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 243   Drexel W 66-62 80%     1 - 0 -3.6 -6.9 +3.7
  Nov 14, 2018 1   @ Duke L 46-84 2%     1 - 1 -10.6 -16.9 +7.8
  Nov 17, 2018 232   Boston University W 80-62 79%     2 - 1 +10.8 +8.7 +3.6
  Nov 19, 2018 90   @ Rutgers L 36-63 25%     2 - 2 -18.7 -28.8 +9.1
  Nov 24, 2018 260   Detroit Mercy L 74-78 82%     2 - 3 -12.4 +1.7 -14.5
  Nov 26, 2018 37   @ TCU L 69-87 12%     2 - 4 -4.0 +6.2 -10.9
  Dec 01, 2018 101   @ Northeastern L 67-81 27%     2 - 5 -6.4 +8.1 -17.0
  Dec 19, 2018 107   UC Irvine L 48-52 48%     2 - 6 -2.3 -13.7 +10.7
  Dec 29, 2018 11   @ Kansas L 63-87 6%     2 - 7 -4.8 -5.2 +2.6
  Jan 04, 2019 28   Buffalo L 58-74 20%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -5.9 -8.0 +1.5
  Jan 08, 2019 120   @ Ball St. W 84-82 31%     3 - 8 1 - 1 +8.4 +10.7 -2.3
  Jan 12, 2019 142   Kent St. W 95-61 59%     4 - 8 2 - 1 +33.0 +26.7 +8.7
  Jan 15, 2019 126   @ Akron L 49-51 32%     4 - 9 2 - 2 +4.0 -5.4 +8.9
  Jan 18, 2019 28   @ Buffalo L 65-77 9%     4 - 10 2 - 3 +3.7 -0.4 +4.0
  Jan 22, 2019 100   Bowling Green L 67-80 46%     4 - 11 2 - 4 -10.8 +3.4 -15.7
  Jan 26, 2019 263   @ Western Michigan W 93-67 66%     5 - 11 3 - 4 +22.9 +18.4 +4.6
  Jan 29, 2019 147   @ Central Michigan L 82-86 39%     5 - 12 3 - 5 +0.1 +16.3 -16.6
  Feb 02, 2019 144   Miami (OH) L 48-59 59%     5 - 13 3 - 6 -12.0 -19.6 +6.2
  Feb 09, 2019 150   Northern Illinois W 57-49 62%     6 - 13 4 - 6 +6.0 -12.7 +19.5
  Feb 12, 2019 209   @ Ohio W 66-57 55%     7 - 13 5 - 6 +8.9 +5.0 +5.0
  Feb 16, 2019 142   @ Kent St. L 58-71 37%     7 - 14 5 - 7 -8.5 -12.5 +3.6
  Feb 19, 2019 67   Toledo L 65-68 39%    
  Feb 23, 2019 263   Western Michigan W 72-62 83%    
  Feb 26, 2019 147   Central Michigan W 73-70 61%    
  Mar 02, 2019 150   @ Northern Illinois L 65-67 41%    
  Mar 05, 2019 120   Ball St. W 68-67 52%    
  Mar 08, 2019 67   @ Toledo L 62-71 20%    
Projected Record 10.0 - 17.0 8.0 - 10.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 0.9 1.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 3.8 0.4 5.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 9.4 3.9 0.1 14.2 5th
6th 0.1 6.7 9.3 0.3 16.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.6 14.1 2.6 0.0 18.3 7th
8th 0.3 9.2 8.8 0.2 18.4 8th
9th 0.0 2.9 10.6 1.2 14.6 9th
10th 1.2 6.5 3.1 0.0 10.8 10th
11th 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 1.4 9.8 24.5 31.7 22.5 8.6 1.4 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 1.4% 5.9% 5.9% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3
10-8 8.6% 3.6% 3.6% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 8.3
9-9 22.5% 2.3% 2.3% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 22.0
8-10 31.7% 1.3% 1.3% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.1 31.3
7-11 24.5% 0.7% 0.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 24.3
6-12 9.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 9.8
5-13 1.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.4
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 98.5 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 12.9 31.3 48.2 20.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%
Lose Out 0.9%