Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#256
Achievement Rating-6.4#263
Pace68.6#190
Improvement+4.2#29

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#240
First Shot-0.4#194
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#292
Layup/Dunks-2.3#261
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#154
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#46
Freethrows-2.7#327
Improvement+5.1#12

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#263
First Shot-3.8#291
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#142
Layups/Dunks+0.4#159
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#310
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#253
Freethrows-0.5#210
Improvement-0.9#228
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 4.8% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 0.9% 2.0% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 70.0% 86.2% 57.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.4% 2.3% 2.4%
First Round2.8% 3.7% 2.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Colorado (Home) - 43.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 40   @ Syracuse L 34-66 5%     0 - 1 -18.5 -29.6 +10.1
  Nov 09, 2018 55   @ Oregon L 47-81 7%     0 - 2 -22.8 -13.3 -12.7
  Nov 16, 2018 226   Green Bay L 78-82 54%     0 - 3 -10.9 -11.6 +1.4
  Nov 17, 2018 234   UMKC W 87-80 56%     1 - 3 -0.2 -5.3 +4.1
  Nov 27, 2018 37   @ Washington L 59-83 5%     1 - 4 -10.0 -7.4 -1.7
  Dec 01, 2018 200   @ Seattle L 68-88 28%     1 - 5 -19.6 -6.4 -12.3
  Dec 08, 2018 196   @ North Dakota St. L 67-74 28%     1 - 6 -6.3 -4.5 -2.2
  Dec 13, 2018 62   @ San Francisco L 63-85 8%     1 - 7 -11.6 -2.7 -9.7
  Dec 15, 2018 93   @ Stanford L 62-78 11%     1 - 8 -8.0 -4.2 -4.4
  Dec 18, 2018 77   South Dakota St. L 64-74 19%     1 - 9 -6.4 -10.9 +4.8
  Dec 29, 2018 172   Weber St. L 72-84 41%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -15.2 -3.9 -10.8
  Dec 31, 2018 310   Idaho St. W 65-55 72%     2 - 10 1 - 1 -1.5 -9.6 +9.2
  Jan 03, 2019 344   @ Idaho L 71-74 72%     2 - 11 1 - 2 -14.6 -3.9 -10.9
  Jan 07, 2019 178   @ Northern Colorado L 63-75 24%     2 - 12 1 - 3 -10.1 -8.2 -1.9
  Jan 10, 2019 108   Montana W 78-71 25%     3 - 12 2 - 3 +8.5 +6.9 +1.8
  Jan 19, 2019 223   Montana St. W 85-81 53%     4 - 12 3 - 3 -2.4 +4.5 -7.0
  Jan 24, 2019 290   @ Portland St. L 65-78 46%     4 - 13 3 - 4 -17.6 +6.5 -27.1
  Jan 26, 2019 245   @ Sacramento St. W 94-92 38%     5 - 13 4 - 4 -0.3 +9.1 -9.6
  Feb 02, 2019 280   Southern Utah W 82-79 65%     6 - 13 5 - 4 -6.4 +0.6 -7.2
  Feb 04, 2019 312   Northern Arizona W 82-64 73%     7 - 13 6 - 4 +6.0 -0.1 +5.8
  Feb 07, 2019 223   @ Montana St. L 66-74 33%     7 - 14 6 - 5 -9.0 -14.6 +6.2
  Feb 09, 2019 108   @ Montana L 74-75 13%     7 - 15 6 - 6 +5.9 +6.0 -0.1
  Feb 16, 2019 178   Northern Colorado L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 18, 2019 344   Idaho W 76-65 87%    
  Feb 21, 2019 280   @ Southern Utah L 73-75 44%    
  Feb 23, 2019 312   @ Northern Arizona W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 28, 2019 245   Sacramento St. W 71-69 59%    
  Mar 02, 2019 290   Portland St. W 78-74 68%    
  Mar 07, 2019 310   @ Idaho St. W 74-73 51%    
  Mar 09, 2019 172   @ Weber St. L 71-79 23%    
Projected Record 11.3 - 18.7 10.3 - 9.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.5 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 7.4 9.7 3.7 0.3 22.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 13.0 15.1 4.3 0.4 0.0 34.2 4th
5th 0.1 5.3 9.3 1.2 0.0 15.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 7.1 2.3 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.1 3.1 4.1 0.2 7.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.4 1.0 0.0 5.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 0.9 0.0 2.0 9th
10th 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.6 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.3 2.2 8.7 18.9 26.1 23.7 14.4 5.0 0.8 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.8% 10.4% 10.4% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.7
13-7 5.0% 8.3% 8.3% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 4.6
12-8 14.4% 6.3% 6.3% 15.8 0.1 0.8 13.5
11-9 23.7% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.1 1.1 22.6
10-10 26.1% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.9 25.2
9-11 18.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 18.6
8-12 8.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 8.6
7-13 2.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.2
6-14 0.3% 0.3
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.5 3.3 96.2 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 14.7 28.6 71.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%
Lose Out 0.2%