Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#250
Achievement Rating-5.9#254
Pace69.0#183
Improvement+1.3#119

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#166
First Shot+1.1#150
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#220
Layup/Dunks+2.9#75
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#313
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#95
Freethrows-1.4#275
Improvement+0.9#141

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#323
First Shot-4.6#310
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#280
Layups/Dunks-4.1#324
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#191
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#193
Freethrows+0.0#182
Improvement+0.4#160
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.1% 16.6% 12.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 37.5% 50.4% 16.7%
.500 or above in Conference 96.8% 100.0% 91.6%
Conference Champion 13.4% 20.3% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four11.8% 11.9% 11.6%
First Round9.4% 10.8% 7.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacred Heart (Home) - 61.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 90   @ Rutgers L 55-90 11%     0 - 1 -26.7 -12.8 -12.9
  Nov 21, 2018 164   @ Princeton W 77-66 23%     1 - 1 +13.6 +11.6 +2.4
  Nov 25, 2018 295   Lafayette L 76-80 69%     1 - 2 -14.3 -0.7 -13.8
  Nov 27, 2018 80   @ Providence L 59-69 10%     1 - 3 -1.0 -4.0 +2.5
  Dec 01, 2018 234   @ Holy Cross L 49-67 36%     1 - 4 -19.7 -24.2 +4.2
  Dec 12, 2018 246   Army W 93-84 60%     2 - 4 +1.2 +9.3 -9.1
  Dec 15, 2018 197   NJIT L 80-90 48%     2 - 5 -14.9 +10.0 -25.2
  Dec 19, 2018 310   St. Peter's W 83-74 72%     3 - 5 -2.5 +5.2 -8.0
  Dec 21, 2018 190   @ Massachusetts L 84-85 27%     3 - 6 -0.1 +7.7 -7.8
  Dec 29, 2018 118   @ South Florida L 54-60 14%     3 - 7 +0.6 -6.8 +6.8
  Jan 03, 2019 272   @ Robert Morris L 62-69 43%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -10.5 -10.9 +0.6
  Jan 05, 2019 240   @ St. Francis (PA) W 79-61 37%     4 - 8 1 - 1 +16.1 +3.5 +13.0
  Jan 10, 2019 305   Central Connecticut St. L 96-103 71%     4 - 9 1 - 2 -18.1 -2.5 -14.1
  Jan 12, 2019 275   @ Wagner L 60-66 44%     4 - 10 1 - 3 -9.8 -3.6 -6.9
  Jan 19, 2019 270   @ LIU Brooklyn L 77-79 43%     4 - 11 1 - 4 -5.5 +2.9 -8.4
  Jan 21, 2019 327   Mount St. Mary's W 87-69 80%     5 - 11 2 - 4 +4.0 +15.7 -10.3
  Jan 24, 2019 262   St. Francis Brooklyn W 60-58 63%     6 - 11 3 - 4 -6.6 -7.8 +1.4
  Jan 26, 2019 326   @ Bryant W 78-63 62%     7 - 11 4 - 4 +6.7 +4.4 +3.5
  Jan 31, 2019 270   LIU Brooklyn W 80-77 64%     8 - 11 5 - 4 -6.0 +0.8 -6.9
  Feb 02, 2019 272   Robert Morris W 97-94 64%     9 - 11 6 - 4 -6.1 +8.3 -14.8
  Feb 07, 2019 255   @ Sacred Heart L 63-69 40%     9 - 12 6 - 5 -8.7 -12.2 +3.4
  Feb 09, 2019 262   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 84-73 41%     10 - 12 7 - 5 +7.9 +8.9 -1.4
  Feb 14, 2019 240   St. Francis (PA) L 62-87 58%     10 - 13 7 - 6 -32.4 -17.3 -15.3
  Feb 16, 2019 326   Bryant W 97-84 79%     11 - 13 8 - 6 -0.8 +12.2 -13.4
  Feb 21, 2019 255   Sacred Heart W 82-79 62%    
  Feb 23, 2019 275   Wagner W 69-65 66%    
  Feb 28, 2019 327   @ Mount St. Mary's W 74-71 61%    
  Mar 02, 2019 305   @ Central Connecticut St. W 76-75 50%    
Projected Record 13.4 - 14.6 10.4 - 7.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 5.1 8.3 13.4 1st
2nd 3.6 23.3 5.6 32.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 14.3 5.2 19.6 3rd
4th 2.3 12.6 0.1 15.0 4th
5th 0.1 8.0 2.7 10.8 5th
6th 1.8 5.4 0.1 7.2 6th
7th 1.3 0.2 1.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 3.2 16.0 33.3 33.7 13.9 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 59.6% 8.3    2.4 5.1 0.8
11-7 15.3% 5.1    0.0 0.6 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.4% 13.4 2.5 5.7 2.8 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 13.9% 21.0% 21.0% 15.8 0.0 0.5 2.4 11.0
11-7 33.7% 16.9% 16.9% 16.0 0.1 5.6 28.0
10-8 33.3% 13.4% 13.4% 16.0 0.0 4.5 28.8
9-9 16.0% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 0.0 1.7 14.2
8-10 3.2% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.3 3.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 15.1% 15.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6 14.5 84.9 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.9% 100.0% 15.8 0.0 18.1 81.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.0%
Lose Out 1.9%