Florida A&M
Mid-Eastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.7#325
Achievement Rating-11.1#315
Pace63.1#321
Improvement-0.8#223

Offense
Total Offense-9.4#343
First Shot-7.7#334
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#295
Layup/Dunks-5.7#336
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.4#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#327
Freethrows-3.9#344
Improvement-2.1#277

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#201
First Shot-0.5#185
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#259
Layups/Dunks-2.7#286
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#8
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#80
Freethrows-3.2#338
Improvement+1.3#108
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.0% 12.0% 7.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four9.0% 12.0% 7.7%
First Round3.3% 4.5% 2.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bethune-Cookman (Away) - 30.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 248   @ Jacksonville W 65-50 21%     1 - 0 +12.6 -5.1 +18.4
  Nov 16, 2018 213   Campbell L 59-66 24%     1 - 1 -10.2 -14.1 +3.5
  Nov 18, 2018 305   Central Connecticut St. L 75-89 41%     1 - 2 -22.3 -8.5 -12.8
  Nov 21, 2018 118   @ South Florida L 59-69 6%     1 - 3 -3.4 -2.7 -1.5
  Nov 24, 2018 143   @ Loyola Marymount L 63-71 8%     1 - 4 -3.5 +2.7 -7.3
  Nov 29, 2018 212   @ North Florida L 62-81 17%     1 - 5 -19.4 -14.6 -4.0
  Dec 01, 2018 220   @ South Alabama L 57-66 17%     1 - 6 -9.6 -12.4 +2.2
  Dec 03, 2018 98   @ DePaul L 50-65 5%     1 - 7 -7.2 -15.4 +6.7
  Dec 09, 2018 108   @ Georgia Tech L 40-73 6%     1 - 8 -25.9 -22.8 -3.9
  Dec 17, 2018 95   @ Utah L 64-93 5%     1 - 9 -21.1 -4.7 -18.6
  Dec 18, 2018 55   @ Oregon L 64-71 3%     1 - 10 +4.2 +3.6 +0.1
  Dec 21, 2018 317   @ Portland L 39-54 36%     1 - 11 -22.1 -26.1 +0.5
  Dec 29, 2018 76   @ Memphis L 65-96 4%     1 - 12 -21.8 -6.3 -14.2
  Jan 05, 2019 321   @ Howard W 82-72 37%     2 - 12 1 - 0 +2.6 +1.5 +0.9
  Jan 07, 2019 261   @ Norfolk St. L 62-72 23%     2 - 13 1 - 1 -13.0 -10.8 -2.3
  Jan 12, 2019 348   Savannah St. W 69-64 76%     3 - 13 2 - 1 -13.1 -14.0 +0.9
  Jan 19, 2019 352   Maryland Eastern Shore L 58-60 88%     3 - 14 2 - 2 -25.5 -22.6 -2.9
  Jan 21, 2019 353   Delaware St. W 60-47 89%     4 - 14 3 - 2 -11.1 -20.1 +9.7
  Jan 26, 2019 345   @ Coppin St. W 72-70 56%     5 - 14 4 - 2 -10.3 -7.7 -2.7
  Jan 28, 2019 334   @ Morgan St. W 72-66 45%     6 - 14 5 - 2 -3.6 -3.8 +0.2
  Feb 02, 2019 323   N.C. A&T W 63-39 60%     7 - 14 6 - 2 +10.7 -5.3 +20.0
  Feb 04, 2019 309   NC Central W 73-57 53%     8 - 14 7 - 2 +4.5 +0.3 +5.2
  Feb 09, 2019 321   Howard L 66-70 59%     8 - 15 7 - 3 -16.9 -10.5 -6.7
  Feb 11, 2019 261   Norfolk St. L 54-66 41%     8 - 16 7 - 4 -20.5 -21.0 +0.2
  Feb 16, 2019 348   @ Savannah St. W 78-74 57%     9 - 16 8 - 4 -8.6 -1.2 -7.3
  Feb 18, 2019 343   @ South Carolina St. L 54-57 55%     9 - 17 8 - 5 -15.0 -21.6 +6.4
  Feb 23, 2019 303   @ Bethune-Cookman L 63-68 30%    
  Mar 02, 2019 323   @ N.C. A&T L 61-64 38%    
  Mar 07, 2019 303   Bethune-Cookman W 66-65 51%    
Projected Record 10.2 - 18.8 9.2 - 6.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 1.9 4.8 6.7 2nd
3rd 4.8 20.2 2.2 27.2 3rd
4th 0.0 24.8 6.4 31.2 4th
5th 7.4 11.3 18.7 5th
6th 12.3 1.2 13.5 6th
7th 2.7 0.0 2.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 22.5 42.1 28.5 7.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 7.0% 15.7% 15.7% 16.0 1.1 5.9
10-6 28.5% 12.1% 12.1% 16.0 3.4 25.0
9-7 42.1% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 3.5 38.6
8-8 22.5% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 1.0 21.5
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 9.0% 9.0% 0.0% 16.0 9.0 91.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.1% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.0%
Lose Out 7.0%