Florida Gulf Coast
Atlantic Sun
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#240
Achievement Rating-9.8#288
Pace72.9#115
Improvement-0.2#188

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#220
First Shot-3.3#269
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#73
Layup/Dunks+3.9#53
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#333
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#154
Freethrows-3.6#327
Improvement+1.5#58

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#272
First Shot-1.9#239
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#269
Layups/Dunks-4.0#305
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#181
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#217
Freethrows+3.5#24
Improvement-1.7#301
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 3.2% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 6.3% 12.1% 3.5%
.500 or above in Conference 58.7% 65.2% 55.6%
Conference Champion 1.5% 2.0% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 1.6% 3.0%
First Four1.4% 1.4% 1.3%
First Round1.8% 2.6% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Away) - 32.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 150   @ Illinois St. L 66-74 21%     0 - 1 -4.3 -6.8 +2.7
  Nov 11, 2018 5   @ Michigan St. L 82-106 2%     0 - 2 -2.7 +5.4 -4.5
  Nov 16, 2018 83   South Dakota St. W 84-78 22%     1 - 2 +9.4 +1.8 +7.1
  Nov 19, 2018 76   Toledo L 62-90 14%     1 - 3 -21.4 -9.2 -11.9
  Nov 20, 2018 211   Colorado St. L 74-82 43%     1 - 4 -10.9 -6.5 -4.1
  Nov 21, 2018 187   Texas San Antonio L 65-76 37%     1 - 5 -12.5 -8.4 -3.9
  Nov 25, 2018 209   @ Florida Atlantic L 68-85 32%     1 - 6 -16.9 -5.5 -11.1
  Nov 28, 2018 229   Florida International L 80-81 59%     1 - 7 -8.1 -1.5 -6.5
  Dec 02, 2018 165   Colgate L 56-74 44%     1 - 8 -21.3 -18.3 -3.3
  Dec 05, 2018 319   @ Oral Roberts W 96-76 58%     2 - 8 +13.2 +22.4 -8.4
  Dec 16, 2018 212   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 69-74 32%    
  Dec 22, 2018 18   Florida L 59-77 4%    
  Dec 29, 2018 64   @ Mississippi L 71-87 7%    
  Jan 05, 2019 107   Liberty L 67-73 28%    
  Jan 08, 2019 328   @ North Alabama W 74-71 62%    
  Jan 12, 2019 175   @ North Florida L 79-86 26%    
  Jan 19, 2019 343   @ Kennesaw St. W 74-68 71%    
  Jan 21, 2019 337   Stetson W 83-72 84%    
  Jan 24, 2019 68   @ Lipscomb L 73-88 8%    
  Jan 27, 2019 175   North Florida L 82-83 47%    
  Jan 30, 2019 200   @ NJIT L 69-74 31%    
  Feb 02, 2019 304   Jacksonville W 78-72 71%    
  Feb 06, 2019 328   North Alabama W 77-68 80%    
  Feb 09, 2019 107   @ Liberty L 64-76 13%    
  Feb 13, 2019 200   NJIT W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 16, 2019 337   @ Stetson W 80-75 67%    
  Feb 20, 2019 68   Lipscomb L 76-85 21%    
  Feb 23, 2019 343   Kennesaw St. W 77-65 86%    
  Mar 01, 2019 304   @ Jacksonville W 76-75 50%    
Projected Record 10.4 - 18.6 8.0 - 8.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 2.3 0.8 0.1 5.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.2 6.3 4.6 1.1 0.0 15.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 6.5 9.3 4.8 0.7 0.0 23.1 4th
5th 0.2 3.3 9.2 9.2 3.5 0.4 0.0 25.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.7 4.8 1.1 0.1 16.0 6th
7th 0.2 1.9 3.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 7.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.6 0.0 3.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.8 7.4 12.0 16.0 17.4 16.2 12.0 7.6 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 83.5% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-3 42.2% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1
12-4 10.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-5 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 29.7% 29.7% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.4% 17.0% 17.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-3 1.4% 12.1% 12.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.2
12-4 3.7% 9.2% 9.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 3.4
11-5 7.6% 5.5% 5.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 7.1
10-6 12.0% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.4 11.5
9-7 16.2% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4 15.8
8-8 17.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 17.1
7-9 16.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 15.8
6-10 12.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.0
5-11 7.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.4
4-12 3.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.8
3-13 1.5% 1.5
2-14 0.5% 0.5
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.0 97.6 0.0%