Florida International
Conference USA
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#223
Achievement Rating-0.7#177
Pace93.0#1
Improvement+0.2#181

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#244
First Shot-1.5#226
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#225
Layup/Dunks+4.4#31
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#353
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#181
Freethrows-0.4#210
Improvement-0.8#229

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#206
First Shot+0.5#154
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#321
Layups/Dunks-5.6#343
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#26
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#21
Freethrows-0.8#232
Improvement+1.0#121
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 1.9% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.9 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 1.9% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 37.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2018 304   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 86-83 76%     1 - 0 -8.1 -9.4 +0.7
  Nov 16, 2018 226   @ Fordham L 77-83 41%     1 - 1 -7.2 -6.6 +0.3
  Nov 17, 2018 237   Columbia W 98-87 54%     2 - 1 +6.4 +3.7 +0.5
  Nov 18, 2018 283   Youngstown St. W 102-93 62%     3 - 1 +2.2 +6.0 -5.3
  Nov 28, 2018 230   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 81-80 42%     4 - 1 -0.5 +3.3 -3.8
  Dec 01, 2018 58   @ Arkansas L 89-121 10%     4 - 2 -21.3 +0.7 -14.3
  Dec 13, 2018 212   North Florida W 102-89 59%     5 - 2 +7.1 +7.9 -3.0
  Dec 18, 2018 118   South Florida L 73-82 33%     5 - 3 -8.0 -8.6 +2.2
  Dec 30, 2018 209   @ Ohio L 66-68 36%     5 - 4 -2.1 -8.1 +6.2
  Jan 03, 2019 244   @ Middle Tennessee W 83-76 44%     6 - 4 1 - 0 +4.9 -0.7 +4.7
  Jan 05, 2019 162   @ UAB L 65-84 27%     6 - 5 1 - 1 -16.4 -10.6 -4.8
  Jan 10, 2019 287   Charlotte W 69-66 73%     7 - 5 2 - 1 -6.9 -13.7 +6.4
  Jan 12, 2019 111   Old Dominion L 74-75 31%     7 - 6 2 - 2 +0.4 -1.9 +2.4
  Jan 17, 2019 122   @ Western Kentucky W 77-76 18%     8 - 6 3 - 2 +7.2 +1.4 +5.7
  Jan 19, 2019 202   @ Marshall L 97-105 35%     8 - 7 3 - 3 -7.7 +2.4 -8.5
  Jan 23, 2019 168   @ Florida Atlantic W 78-74 28%     9 - 7 4 - 3 +6.5 +6.3 +0.0
  Jan 26, 2019 168   Florida Atlantic L 72-89 48%     9 - 8 4 - 4 -20.0 -11.1 -6.2
  Jan 31, 2019 127   Southern Miss L 73-89 35%     9 - 9 4 - 5 -15.6 -4.9 -9.5
  Feb 02, 2019 136   Louisiana Tech W 75-69 39%     10 - 9 5 - 5 +5.3 +0.3 +4.9
  Feb 07, 2019 134   @ Texas San Antonio L 67-100 21%     10 - 10 5 - 6 -28.0 -12.0 -12.2
  Feb 09, 2019 266   @ UTEP L 75-85 48%     10 - 11 5 - 7 -13.1 -5.5 -6.1
  Feb 14, 2019 254   Rice W 86-65 67%     11 - 11 6 - 7 +12.7 -5.1 +14.6
  Feb 16, 2019 138   North Texas W 69-59 39%     12 - 11 7 - 7 +9.2 +9.4 +1.4
Projected Record 12.0 - 11.0 7.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 100.0% 0.5% 0.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 99.5
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 14.9 0.4 19.8 70.2 9.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.4%
Lose Out 71.6%