George Mason
Atlantic 10
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#170
Achievement Rating-3.2#207
Pace71.3#146
Improvement+1.3#83

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#193
First Shot+1.4#139
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#291
Layup/Dunks+1.8#115
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#90
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#257
Freethrows+0.1#167
Improvement+0.6#129

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#164
First Shot-1.5#219
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#68
Layups/Dunks+0.3#174
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#347
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#80
Freethrows-0.3#199
Improvement+0.7#111
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 1.8% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 30.9% 33.4% 15.2%
.500 or above in Conference 43.3% 44.3% 37.2%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.4% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 4.9% 4.6% 6.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round1.7% 1.7% 1.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Navy (Home) - 86.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 94   Penn L 71-72 38%     0 - 1 +1.6 -3.7 +5.4
  Nov 09, 2018 195   American L 75-78 67%     0 - 2 -8.0 -7.0 -0.8
  Nov 13, 2018 132   @ Georgia Southern L 89-98 28%     0 - 3 -3.4 +3.7 -5.8
  Nov 17, 2018 332   Southern W 69-65 91%     1 - 3 -11.0 -11.0 +0.2
  Nov 20, 2018 322   NC Central W 78-63 88%     2 - 3 +1.9 +2.0 +0.5
  Nov 23, 2018 29   Cincinnati L 55-71 12%     2 - 4 -3.5 -5.8 +1.2
  Nov 24, 2018 68   Baylor L 61-72 22%     2 - 5 -3.5 -6.7 +3.3
  Nov 28, 2018 314   Morgan St. W 82-75 86%     3 - 5 -5.0 +0.6 -5.9
  Dec 01, 2018 194   @ William & Mary W 87-84 44%     4 - 5 +4.0 +11.9 -7.8
  Dec 03, 2018 109   Vermont L 67-72 42%     4 - 6 -3.4 -6.8 +3.4
  Dec 07, 2018 232   James Madison W 66-53 74%     5 - 6 +5.7 -8.6 +14.6
  Dec 21, 2018 313   Navy W 74-63 86%    
  Dec 29, 2018 25   @ Kansas St. L 58-74 6%    
  Jan 03, 2019 103   @ Saint Joseph's L 73-81 22%    
  Jan 06, 2019 154   St. Bonaventure W 70-68 57%    
  Jan 09, 2019 88   Davidson L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 13, 2019 112   @ Rhode Island L 65-73 24%    
  Jan 16, 2019 136   @ Massachusetts L 73-79 30%    
  Jan 19, 2019 240   Fordham W 70-63 75%    
  Jan 23, 2019 76   @ Dayton L 66-76 17%    
  Jan 26, 2019 277   George Washington W 75-66 79%    
  Feb 02, 2019 92   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 64-73 19%    
  Feb 06, 2019 199   @ Richmond L 72-73 45%    
  Feb 10, 2019 260   La Salle W 82-74 77%    
  Feb 13, 2019 136   Massachusetts W 76-75 51%    
  Feb 17, 2019 154   @ St. Bonaventure L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 23, 2019 162   Duquesne W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 27, 2019 199   Richmond W 75-70 66%    
  Mar 02, 2019 82   @ Saint Louis L 62-72 19%    
  Mar 05, 2019 92   Virginia Commonwealth L 67-70 39%    
  Mar 09, 2019 277   @ George Washington W 72-69 61%    
Projected Record 14.0 - 17.0 8.1 - 9.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 1.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 3.2 1.6 0.2 6.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.1 0.3 7.5 5th
6th 0.4 3.0 4.8 1.0 0.0 9.2 6th
7th 0.1 2.5 5.6 2.0 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 5.7 3.5 0.3 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.7 4.9 0.8 0.0 11.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.5 5.5 1.9 0.1 11.4 10th
11th 0.2 2.2 4.9 2.1 0.2 9.6 11th
12th 0.2 1.6 3.9 1.9 0.3 0.0 7.9 12th
13th 0.2 1.0 2.2 1.5 0.2 5.1 13th
14th 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.2 2.2 14th
Total 0.2 0.7 2.1 4.5 8.2 11.4 14.1 15.5 13.6 11.9 8.5 4.9 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 94.4% 0.2    0.1 0.0
15-3 58.8% 0.2    0.2 0.1
14-4 44.7% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.0% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 14.7% 14.7% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.1% 11.4% 11.4% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0
13-5 2.8% 11.4% 11.4% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.5
12-6 4.9% 5.9% 5.9% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.6
11-7 8.5% 3.3% 3.3% 14.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 8.2
10-8 11.9% 2.0% 2.0% 14.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 11.6
9-9 13.6% 1.3% 1.3% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.4
8-10 15.5% 0.6% 0.6% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 15.4
7-11 14.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.1
6-12 11.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 11.4
5-13 8.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.2
4-14 4.5% 4.5
3-15 2.1% 2.1
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 98.3 0.0%