George Washington
Atlantic 10
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#255
Achievement Rating-6.8#269
Pace69.1#174
Improvement+0.9#135

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#293
First Shot-3.2#271
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#299
Layup/Dunks-2.3#260
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#103
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#226
Freethrows-0.9#243
Improvement+0.3#170

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#184
First Shot+0.6#149
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#277
Layups/Dunks+0.5#148
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#262
Freethrows+1.2#99
Improvement+0.6#143
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 27.0% 10.2% 42.1%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Home) - 47.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 169   Stony Brook L 74-77 41%     0 - 1 -6.1 -4.3 -1.5
  Nov 08, 2018 247   Siena L 61-69 59%     0 - 2 -15.7 -4.4 -12.8
  Nov 11, 2018 3   @ Virginia L 57-76 1%     0 - 3 +5.5 -0.3 +5.0
  Nov 17, 2018 8   Michigan L 61-84 3%     0 - 4 -5.5 +0.2 -5.8
  Nov 18, 2018 72   South Carolina L 55-90 13%     0 - 5 -28.3 -20.9 -3.5
  Nov 24, 2018 311   Manhattan W 70-43 72%     1 - 5 +15.4 -0.6 +17.1
  Nov 28, 2018 81   Vermont L 53-69 20%     1 - 6 -12.6 -10.4 -5.0
  Dec 01, 2018 160   @ Princeton L 52-73 21%     1 - 7 -18.2 -16.0 -2.2
  Dec 05, 2018 264   Towson W 68-64 62%     2 - 7 -4.7 -2.1 -2.2
  Dec 08, 2018 185   Valparaiso L 79-82 45%     2 - 8 -7.1 +9.5 -16.8
  Dec 14, 2018 313   Howard W 70-64 73%     3 - 8 -6.0 -15.1 +8.7
  Dec 22, 2018 120   @ Harvard L 61-75 14%     3 - 9 -7.8 -6.0 -2.6
  Dec 29, 2018 204   American W 71-67 50%     4 - 9 -1.4 -13.9 +11.9
  Jan 06, 2019 184   @ Saint Joseph's W 70-56 25%     5 - 9 1 - 0 +15.4 -5.2 +20.2
  Jan 09, 2019 71   Dayton L 66-72 18%     5 - 10 1 - 1 -1.9 -8.1 +6.3
  Jan 12, 2019 179   Richmond L 56-76 43%     5 - 11 1 - 2 -23.8 -11.7 -15.6
  Jan 16, 2019 195   @ La Salle W 59-56 28%     6 - 11 2 - 2 +3.7 -9.1 +13.0
  Jan 20, 2019 153   Duquesne L 85-91 37%     6 - 12 2 - 3 -8.0 +1.8 -9.1
  Jan 23, 2019 80   @ Davidson L 62-73 9%     6 - 13 2 - 4 -2.0 -6.0 +3.9
  Jan 26, 2019 132   @ George Mason L 55-62 16%     6 - 14 2 - 5 -1.7 -15.2 +13.6
  Jan 30, 2019 236   Fordham W 79-61 57%     7 - 14 3 - 5 +10.8 +2.9 +7.9
  Feb 06, 2019 48   Virginia Commonwealth L 50-60 13%     7 - 15 3 - 6 -3.5 -15.4 +11.0
  Feb 09, 2019 179   @ Richmond L 63-89 25%     7 - 16 3 - 7 -24.4 -8.0 -18.0
  Feb 13, 2019 123   Saint Louis L 58-73 28%     7 - 17 3 - 8 -14.4 -7.7 -7.6
  Feb 16, 2019 153   @ Duquesne L 69-85 20%     7 - 18 3 - 9 -12.6 +2.5 -16.0
  Feb 20, 2019 188   Massachusetts L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 23, 2019 48   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 56-74 5%    
  Feb 26, 2019 136   @ Rhode Island L 62-73 15%    
  Mar 02, 2019 144   St. Bonaventure L 62-66 35%    
  Mar 06, 2019 236   @ Fordham L 63-67 35%    
  Mar 09, 2019 132   George Mason L 66-71 32%    
Projected Record 8.7 - 22.3 4.7 - 13.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.2 8th
9th 0.1 2.3 2.7 0.2 5.3 9th
10th 0.0 2.0 6.4 1.4 0.0 9.8 10th
11th 0.6 10.1 6.1 0.2 0.0 17.0 11th
12th 0.4 12.3 16.4 1.9 0.0 31.0 12th
13th 6.0 16.1 2.9 0.0 25.1 13th
14th 7.4 2.8 0.0 10.3 14th
Total 13.9 31.8 31.5 16.8 5.2 0.7 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0% 0.0
8-10 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 0.7
7-11 5.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.2
6-12 16.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.8
5-13 31.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 31.5
4-14 31.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 31.8
3-15 13.9% 13.9
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 9.5%