Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#130
Achievement Rating+6.2#106
Pace85.6#6
Improvement-0.4#208

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#94
First Shot+4.4#61
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#247
Layup/Dunks+6.0#24
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#57
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#315
Freethrows+1.2#110
Improvement+2.8#12

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#173
First Shot-1.2#211
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#112
Layups/Dunks-2.0#254
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#73
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#274
Freethrows+2.1#70
Improvement-3.2#339
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.5% 19.5% 14.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Average Seed 12.9 12.6 13.4
.500 or above 85.6% 91.2% 76.7%
.500 or above in Conference 84.5% 87.3% 79.9%
Conference Champion 20.4% 23.1% 16.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.7% 1.6%
First Four0.6% 0.8% 0.3%
First Round17.1% 19.0% 14.1%
Second Round2.8% 3.3% 1.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bradley (Home) - 61.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2018 170   George Mason W 98-89 73%     1 - 0 +5.5 +9.1 -5.0
  Nov 16, 2018 209   Florida Atlantic W 80-70 71%     2 - 0 +7.1 -1.0 +7.2
  Nov 17, 2018 225   Pepperdine W 88-78 73%     3 - 0 +6.4 -1.0 +5.9
  Nov 18, 2018 111   Montana W 80-77 44%     4 - 0 +7.4 +3.0 +4.3
  Nov 27, 2018 126   East Tennessee St. L 64-69 60%     4 - 1 -4.9 -12.8 +8.4
  Nov 29, 2018 40   @ Arizona L 70-100 15%     4 - 2 -16.2 -4.1 -8.4
  Dec 08, 2018 213   @ Mercer W 89-74 61%     5 - 2 +15.0 +20.2 -4.8
  Dec 11, 2018 43   @ Central Florida L 88-95 16%     5 - 3 +6.3 +15.8 -8.9
  Dec 18, 2018 129   Bradley W 78-75 61%    
  Dec 21, 2018 133   @ Radford L 76-79 40%    
  Dec 29, 2018 70   @ Dayton L 76-83 25%    
  Jan 03, 2019 142   @ Texas St. L 74-76 44%    
  Jan 05, 2019 254   @ Texas Arlington W 82-77 68%    
  Jan 10, 2019 207   Louisiana Monroe W 82-73 78%    
  Jan 12, 2019 118   Louisiana W 88-86 57%    
  Jan 17, 2019 206   @ Troy W 84-81 59%    
  Jan 19, 2019 195   @ South Alabama W 80-78 57%    
  Jan 24, 2019 254   Texas Arlington W 85-74 84%    
  Jan 26, 2019 142   Texas St. W 77-73 65%    
  Feb 02, 2019 107   @ Georgia St. L 80-85 33%    
  Feb 06, 2019 118   @ Louisiana L 85-89 36%    
  Feb 08, 2019 207   @ Louisiana Monroe W 79-76 59%    
  Feb 13, 2019 195   South Alabama W 83-75 76%    
  Feb 15, 2019 206   Troy W 87-78 77%    
  Feb 21, 2019 188   @ Coastal Carolina W 83-82 55%    
  Feb 23, 2019 180   @ Appalachian St. W 88-87 54%    
  Feb 28, 2019 238   Arkansas Little Rock W 88-77 83%    
  Mar 02, 2019 290   Arkansas St. W 91-78 88%    
  Mar 09, 2019 107   Georgia St. W 83-82 54%    
Projected Record 17.5 - 11.5 11.3 - 6.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 3.5 5.8 5.6 3.1 1.2 0.2 20.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.3 5.1 6.8 3.6 0.9 0.1 17.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 5.2 6.2 2.5 0.3 0.0 15.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.1 5.7 1.9 0.2 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.0 1.9 0.1 10.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 4.0 1.9 0.1 7.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.8 2.1 0.2 5.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 4.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.5 0.4 0.0 2.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.5 4.3 6.8 9.7 12.4 14.2 14.3 13.0 9.8 6.5 3.2 1.2 0.2 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 1.2    1.2 0.0
16-2 97.0% 3.1    2.8 0.3 0.0
15-3 86.5% 5.6    4.3 1.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 59.6% 5.8    3.1 2.3 0.4 0.0 0.0
13-5 26.8% 3.5    1.0 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 6.5% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.4% 20.4 12.8 5.7 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 69.7% 50.6% 19.1% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 38.7%
17-1 1.2% 56.2% 44.1% 12.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 21.6%
16-2 3.2% 46.7% 40.8% 6.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.7 10.1%
15-3 6.5% 37.3% 34.2% 3.1% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.0 4.7%
14-4 9.8% 29.6% 28.6% 1.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 6.9 1.4%
13-5 13.0% 23.9% 23.7% 0.3% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 0.7 0.1 9.9 0.4%
12-6 14.3% 18.4% 18.3% 0.1% 13.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 11.7 0.1%
11-7 14.2% 13.7% 13.7% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 12.3 0.0%
10-8 12.4% 8.9% 8.9% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 11.3
9-9 9.7% 6.0% 6.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 9.1
8-10 6.8% 4.2% 4.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 6.5
7-11 4.3% 2.9% 2.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.2
6-12 2.5% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 2.4
5-13 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 1.2
4-14 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5
3-15 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 17.5% 16.7% 0.7% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.7 4.4 5.3 3.9 1.4 0.3 82.5 0.9%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 8.4 6.9 6.9 10.3 6.9 17.2 3.4 24.1 20.7 3.4