Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.1#127
Achievement Rating+3.2#131
Pace82.1#11
Improvement-0.8#224

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#107
First Shot+2.4#111
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#171
Layup/Dunks+5.5#21
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#100
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#310
Freethrows-0.3#199
Improvement-1.6#258

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#154
First Shot+1.5#125
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#262
Layups/Dunks-0.4#190
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#129
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#198
Freethrows+1.7#66
Improvement+0.8#136
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.3% 22.9% 17.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.7 14.3
.500 or above 99.7% 100.0% 99.5%
.500 or above in Conference 99.7% 100.0% 99.3%
Conference Champion 11.2% 19.1% 3.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round20.3% 22.9% 17.7%
Second Round1.8% 2.3% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coastal Carolina (Away) - 49.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2018 132   George Mason W 98-89 62%     1 - 0 +8.9 +11.3 -3.8
  Nov 16, 2018 175   Florida Atlantic W 80-70 64%     2 - 0 +9.3 +1.8 +6.6
  Nov 17, 2018 168   Pepperdine W 88-78 63%     3 - 0 +9.6 +1.9 +6.3
  Nov 18, 2018 108   Montana W 80-77 45%     4 - 0 +7.3 +3.1 +4.0
  Nov 27, 2018 100   East Tennessee St. L 64-69 53%     4 - 1 -2.7 -14.5 +12.2
  Nov 29, 2018 81   @ Arizona L 70-100 29%     4 - 2 -21.1 -5.9 -11.5
  Dec 08, 2018 187   @ Mercer W 89-74 58%     5 - 2 +16.0 +18.3 -1.9
  Dec 11, 2018 52   @ Central Florida L 88-95 20%     5 - 3 +4.9 +14.3 -8.9
  Dec 18, 2018 162   Bradley W 79-74 71%     6 - 3 +2.3 -11.4 +12.6
  Dec 21, 2018 137   @ Radford L 68-80 43%     6 - 4 -7.0 -2.8 -4.5
  Dec 29, 2018 71   @ Dayton L 90-94 27%     6 - 5 +5.5 +9.8 -3.9
  Jan 03, 2019 124   @ Texas St. L 70-73 39%     6 - 6 0 - 1 +3.0 -3.8 +7.0
  Jan 05, 2019 166   @ Texas Arlington W 77-64 52%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +15.5 +11.4 +4.5
  Jan 10, 2019 154   Louisiana Monroe W 79-78 69%     8 - 6 2 - 1 -1.1 -4.1 +2.9
  Jan 12, 2019 190   Louisiana L 85-87 77%     8 - 7 2 - 2 -6.6 -3.3 -3.0
  Jan 17, 2019 237   @ Troy W 90-82 68%     9 - 7 3 - 2 +6.2 +7.4 -1.7
  Jan 19, 2019 218   @ South Alabama W 88-86 64%     10 - 7 4 - 2 +1.3 +4.1 -3.1
  Jan 24, 2019 166   Texas Arlington L 67-72 72%     10 - 8 4 - 3 -7.9 -3.3 -4.7
  Jan 26, 2019 124   Texas St. W 74-58 60%     11 - 8 5 - 3 +16.5 +3.4 +13.2
  Feb 02, 2019 130   @ Georgia St. L 72-81 41%     11 - 9 5 - 4 -3.5 -2.9 -0.1
  Feb 06, 2019 190   Louisiana W 103-86 77%     12 - 9 6 - 4 +12.4 +18.3 -7.0
  Feb 08, 2019 154   @ Louisiana Monroe L 79-88 49%     12 - 10 6 - 5 -5.7 +5.8 -11.8
  Feb 13, 2019 218   South Alabama W 75-65 81%     13 - 10 7 - 5 +3.9 +1.0 +3.1
  Feb 15, 2019 237   Troy W 76-51 83%     14 - 10 8 - 5 +17.8 -14.2 +28.4
  Feb 21, 2019 158   @ Coastal Carolina W 80-79 50%    
  Feb 23, 2019 199   @ Appalachian St. W 87-84 58%    
  Feb 28, 2019 206   Arkansas Little Rock W 85-77 79%    
  Mar 02, 2019 267   Arkansas St. W 87-75 87%    
  Mar 09, 2019 130   Georgia St. W 82-79 62%    
Projected Record 17.4 - 11.6 11.4 - 6.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 3.9 7.2 11.2 1st
2nd 0.0 4.3 18.2 6.5 29.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.6 14.7 9.9 0.2 26.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 6.7 11.8 1.4 20.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.8 6.4 1.8 10.0 5th
6th 0.2 1.6 1.1 0.0 2.9 6th
7th 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.3 3.9 15.9 32.7 33.4 13.9 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 51.6% 7.2    1.9 3.7 1.3 0.2
12-6 11.6% 3.9    0.2 1.1 1.6 0.9 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.2% 11.2 2.1 4.8 3.0 1.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 13.9% 28.4% 28.4% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.2 0.8 0.0 9.9
12-6 33.4% 23.5% 23.5% 14.0 0.0 1.4 5.0 1.4 0.0 25.5
11-7 32.7% 18.4% 18.4% 14.3 0.0 0.3 3.4 2.2 0.1 26.7
10-8 15.9% 13.2% 13.2% 14.6 0.0 0.9 1.1 0.1 13.8
9-9 3.9% 9.8% 9.8% 14.7 0.1 0.3 0.0 3.5
8-10 0.3% 7.8% 7.8% 15.0 0.0 0.3
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 20.3% 20.3% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.9 10.2 5.0 0.2 79.7 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.9% 100.0% 13.0 0.1 1.5 20.8 55.8 21.0 0.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.8%
Lose Out 0.2%