Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#131
Achievement Rating+6.1#92
Pace71.9#105
Improvement-1.6#255

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#113
First Shot+3.9#59
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#286
Layup/Dunks+1.1#146
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#308
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#22
Freethrows-0.3#204
Improvement-2.2#280

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#159
First Shot+2.4#99
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#324
Layups/Dunks+4.6#25
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#150
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#307
Freethrows+0.8#120
Improvement+0.6#146
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.8% 22.6% 18.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.5 13.9
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 28.2% 39.6% 13.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round20.8% 22.6% 18.5%
Second Round2.0% 2.4% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Appalachian St. (Away) - 56.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 93   East Tennessee St. W 74-68 51%     1 - 0 +8.5 +3.5 +5.1
  Nov 09, 2018 109   @ Montana L 74-81 34%     1 - 1 +0.0 -0.3 +0.7
  Nov 13, 2018 192   Mercer W 62-60 76%     2 - 1 -2.7 -9.2 +6.7
  Nov 19, 2018 133   St. Bonaventure W 75-65 52%     3 - 1 +12.3 +7.5 +5.0
  Nov 20, 2018 51   Creighton L 68-93 27%     3 - 2 -15.8 -8.2 -5.5
  Nov 21, 2018 113   Georgia W 91-67 45%     4 - 2 +28.1 +20.4 +7.9
  Nov 28, 2018 290   @ Tulane W 80-76 76%     5 - 2 -0.5 +8.4 -8.9
  Dec 01, 2018 99   @ Liberty L 52-78 31%     5 - 3 -18.2 -11.8 -9.4
  Dec 04, 2018 44   @ Alabama W 83-80 18%     6 - 3 +15.3 +9.7 +5.3
  Dec 12, 2018 292   Chattanooga W 95-88 88%     7 - 3 -3.1 +8.2 -11.9
  Dec 15, 2018 25   @ Kansas St. L 59-71 11%     7 - 4 +4.0 -2.3 +6.3
  Dec 19, 2018 252   UNC Wilmington W 86-71 85%     8 - 4 +6.8 +6.2 +1.0
  Jan 03, 2019 175   @ Texas Arlington W 63-58 52%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +7.2 -5.2 +12.5
  Jan 05, 2019 124   @ Texas St. W 73-69 38%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +10.0 +3.6 +6.4
  Jan 10, 2019 185   Louisiana W 89-76 75%     11 - 4 3 - 0 +8.7 +6.5 +1.5
  Jan 12, 2019 157   Louisiana Monroe W 74-73 69%     12 - 4 4 - 0 -1.5 -6.3 +4.8
  Jan 17, 2019 220   @ South Alabama W 69-66 63%     13 - 4 5 - 0 +2.4 -6.5 +8.8
  Jan 19, 2019 233   @ Troy L 75-77 67%     13 - 5 5 - 1 -3.7 +4.3 -8.1
  Jan 24, 2019 124   Texas St. L 68-81 59%     13 - 6 5 - 2 -12.5 +2.9 -16.5
  Jan 26, 2019 175   Texas Arlington W 77-71 72%     14 - 6 6 - 2 +2.7 +7.0 -4.3
  Feb 02, 2019 128   Georgia Southern W 81-72 60%     15 - 6 7 - 2 +9.3 +2.9 +5.9
  Feb 06, 2019 157   @ Louisiana Monroe L 76-82 49%     15 - 7 7 - 3 -2.9 -3.3 +0.7
  Feb 08, 2019 185   @ Louisiana L 72-76 56%     15 - 8 7 - 4 -2.8 -2.6 -0.2
  Feb 13, 2019 233   Troy W 77-63 83%     16 - 8 8 - 4 +6.8 -3.1 +9.8
  Feb 15, 2019 220   South Alabama W 90-81 80%     17 - 8 9 - 4 +2.9 +5.2 -3.3
  Feb 21, 2019 191   @ Appalachian St. W 81-79 56%    
  Feb 23, 2019 163   @ Coastal Carolina W 75-74 50%    
  Feb 28, 2019 259   Arkansas St. W 82-71 86%    
  Mar 02, 2019 206   Arkansas Little Rock W 80-72 79%    
  Mar 09, 2019 128   @ Georgia Southern L 80-83 38%    
Projected Record 20.1 - 9.9 12.1 - 5.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 6.1 14.6 7.3 28.2 1st
2nd 0.1 6.7 23.8 12.9 1.2 44.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.5 11.2 5.4 18.1 3rd
4th 0.1 3.2 3.6 0.2 7.1 4th
5th 0.3 1.2 0.1 1.6 5th
6th 0.2 0.1 0.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.6 6.1 21.9 35.4 27.4 8.5 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 86.0% 7.3    4.6 2.7
13-5 53.1% 14.6    5.0 8.2 1.4 0.1
12-6 17.2% 6.1    0.5 2.4 2.5 0.8 0.0
11-7 1.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 28.2% 28.2 10.1 13.2 3.9 0.9 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 8.5% 28.3% 28.3% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.1 0.0%
13-5 27.4% 24.6% 24.6% 13.5 0.0 0.3 3.1 3.0 0.2 0.0 20.7
12-6 35.4% 20.8% 20.8% 13.9 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.7 0.9 0.0 28.0
11-7 21.9% 15.9% 15.9% 14.2 0.0 0.4 2.1 1.0 0.0 18.5
10-8 6.1% 11.4% 11.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 5.4
9-9 0.6% 9.8% 9.8% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 20.8% 20.8% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.1 1.3 6.5 10.4 2.4 0.0 79.2 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.4% 100.0% 12.6 0.2 4.6 36.9 48.9 9.4 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.6% 0.1% 13.0 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.3%
Lose Out 0.2%