Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.8#118
Achievement Rating+8.4#79
Pace70.8#158
Improvement-1.8#299

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#73
First Shot+4.7#54
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#207
Layup/Dunks+3.9#56
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#291
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#68
Freethrows-0.3#193
Improvement+0.8#109

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#173
First Shot+3.5#66
After Offensive Rebounds-3.7#342
Layups/Dunks+4.4#38
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#103
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#286
Freethrows+1.3#106
Improvement-2.6#334
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.2% 24.9% 19.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Average Seed 12.9 12.9 13.6
.500 or above 96.8% 97.5% 91.5%
.500 or above in Conference 91.5% 92.1% 87.8%
Conference Champion 31.5% 32.7% 23.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.4% 0.6%
First Four0.7% 0.8% 0.2%
First Round23.8% 24.5% 18.9%
Second Round4.1% 4.4% 2.6%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.1% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Wilmington (Home) - 87.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 133   East Tennessee St. W 74-68 67%     1 - 0 +5.4 +5.1 +0.4
  Nov 09, 2018 110   @ Montana L 74-81 36%     1 - 1 +0.4 -0.5 +1.4
  Nov 13, 2018 213   Mercer W 62-60 82%     2 - 1 -4.1 -7.5 +3.6
  Nov 19, 2018 154   St. Bonaventure W 75-65 62%     3 - 1 +10.6 +5.9 +4.9
  Nov 20, 2018 41   Creighton L 68-93 26%     3 - 2 -14.5 -9.2 -3.2
  Nov 21, 2018 108   Georgia W 91-67 47%     4 - 2 +28.6 +22.9 +5.9
  Nov 28, 2018 216   @ Tulane W 80-76 65%     5 - 2 +3.8 +8.8 -4.9
  Dec 01, 2018 111   @ Liberty L 52-78 36%     5 - 3 -18.6 -11.7 -9.8
  Dec 04, 2018 63   @ Alabama W 83-80 25%     6 - 3 +13.9 +9.7 +3.9
  Dec 12, 2018 312   Chattanooga W 95-88 92%     7 - 3 -4.6 +10.8 -15.9
  Dec 15, 2018 25   @ Kansas St. L 59-71 14%     7 - 4 +3.7 -0.7 +4.3
  Dec 19, 2018 239   UNC Wilmington W 87-75 87%    
  Jan 03, 2019 251   @ Texas Arlington W 76-70 72%    
  Jan 05, 2019 138   @ Texas St. L 69-70 46%    
  Jan 10, 2019 137   Louisiana W 81-76 67%    
  Jan 12, 2019 205   Louisiana Monroe W 76-67 81%    
  Jan 17, 2019 197   @ South Alabama W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 19, 2019 203   @ Troy W 77-74 62%    
  Jan 24, 2019 138   Texas St. W 72-67 68%    
  Jan 26, 2019 251   Texas Arlington W 79-67 87%    
  Feb 02, 2019 132   Georgia Southern W 87-83 64%    
  Feb 06, 2019 205   @ Louisiana Monroe W 73-70 62%    
  Feb 08, 2019 137   @ Louisiana L 78-79 45%    
  Feb 13, 2019 203   Troy W 80-71 80%    
  Feb 15, 2019 197   South Alabama W 77-68 79%    
  Feb 21, 2019 191   @ Appalachian St. W 82-79 60%    
  Feb 23, 2019 185   @ Coastal Carolina W 77-75 58%    
  Feb 28, 2019 285   Arkansas St. W 84-70 89%    
  Mar 02, 2019 245   Arkansas Little Rock W 82-70 86%    
  Mar 09, 2019 132   @ Georgia Southern L 84-86 44%    
Projected Record 20.0 - 10.1 12.1 - 5.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.4 5.6 8.8 7.8 5.1 2.3 0.4 31.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 6.3 7.9 3.9 1.2 0.1 20.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 5.1 6.1 2.1 0.3 14.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.4 4.9 1.8 0.1 10.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 4.3 1.6 0.1 0.0 7.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 2.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.4 0.2 3.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.6 4.0 6.8 10.2 13.4 15.7 15.6 12.9 9.0 5.2 2.3 0.4 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 100.0% 2.3    2.2 0.1
16-2 98.7% 5.1    4.8 0.3
15-3 87.0% 7.8    6.3 1.5 0.1
14-4 67.8% 8.8    5.3 3.0 0.5 0.0
13-5 35.6% 5.6    1.7 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.0
12-6 9.0% 1.4    0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
11-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 31.5% 31.5 20.9 7.9 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 72.7% 61.4% 11.4% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 29.4%
17-1 2.3% 56.0% 47.1% 8.9% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.0 16.8%
16-2 5.2% 48.0% 44.1% 3.8% 11.7 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.7 6.9%
15-3 9.0% 37.8% 36.4% 1.4% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.2 0.2 5.6 2.3%
14-4 12.9% 31.3% 30.3% 0.9% 12.8 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.0 0.6 0.0 8.9 1.3%
13-5 15.6% 27.6% 27.5% 0.1% 13.1 0.1 0.8 2.1 1.2 0.1 11.3 0.1%
12-6 15.7% 24.3% 24.3% 13.6 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.8 0.3 11.9
11-7 13.4% 18.2% 18.2% 13.9 0.1 0.6 1.4 0.4 0.0 10.9
10-8 10.2% 11.2% 11.2% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 9.1
9-9 6.8% 7.2% 7.2% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 6.3
8-10 4.0% 7.1% 7.1% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 3.7
7-11 2.6% 3.1% 3.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 2.5
6-12 1.2% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.1 1.1
5-13 0.5% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.0% 0.0 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 24.2% 23.5% 0.7% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 2.1 5.7 7.8 5.9 1.8 0.2 75.8 0.9%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 10.2 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 15.4 53.8 11.5