Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#287
Achievement Rating-9.0#277
Pace75.5#67
Improvement-0.4#207

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#305
First Shot-0.7#201
After Offensive Rebound-4.1#346
Layup/Dunks-6.9#339
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.8#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#304
Freethrows+3.2#38
Improvement-2.4#336

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#236
First Shot-3.3#273
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#98
Layups/Dunks+1.0#144
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#103
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#170
Freethrows-5.6#349
Improvement+2.1#38
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.7% 26.8% 18.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 53.2% 79.1% 52.3%
.500 or above in Conference 88.2% 94.7% 87.9%
Conference Champion 23.3% 35.1% 22.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.2% 0.8%
First Four15.9% 18.4% 15.8%
First Round10.5% 17.1% 10.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: LSU (Away) - 3.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2018 221   @ Wyoming L 78-86 27%     0 - 1 -8.5 +1.2 -9.3
  Nov 16, 2018 96   @ Loyola Chicago L 64-80 8%     0 - 2 -7.6 -3.5 -3.5
  Nov 23, 2018 261   @ Niagara W 74-68 34%     1 - 2 +3.4 -4.6 +7.6
  Nov 24, 2018 182   IUPUI L 69-80 29%     1 - 3 -12.4 -3.8 -8.3
  Dec 01, 2018 51   @ LSU L 67-86 3%    
  Dec 08, 2018 43   @ Central Florida L 45-70 4%     1.03387 - 4.96613 -11.7 -17.0 +3.6
  Dec 11, 2018 207   @ Louisiana Monroe L 67-72 24%     1.03387 - 5.96613 -4.7 -5.4 +0.6
  Dec 15, 2018 271   @ Portland L 73-77 36%    
  Dec 19, 2018 288   SE Louisiana W 70-67 61%    
  Dec 22, 2018 13   @ Wisconsin L 54-79 1%    
  Jan 05, 2019 328   @ Alabama St. W 75-74 55%    
  Jan 07, 2019 351   @ Alabama A&M W 73-65 76%    
  Jan 12, 2019 333   Southern W 79-71 77%    
  Jan 14, 2019 345   Alcorn St. W 76-64 86%    
  Jan 19, 2019 220   @ Texas Southern L 77-83 28%    
  Jan 21, 2019 289   @ Prairie View L 75-78 39%    
  Jan 26, 2019 336   Jackson St. W 76-67 78%    
  Feb 02, 2019 322   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 74-68 72%    
  Feb 04, 2019 346   Mississippi Valley W 80-68 86%    
  Feb 09, 2019 333   @ Southern W 76-74 57%    
  Feb 11, 2019 345   @ Alcorn St. W 73-67 70%    
  Feb 16, 2019 220   Texas Southern L 80-81 48%    
  Feb 18, 2019 289   Prairie View W 78-75 61%    
  Feb 23, 2019 336   @ Jackson St. W 73-70 59%    
  Mar 02, 2019 322   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 72-71 52%    
  Mar 04, 2019 346   @ Mississippi Valley W 77-71 70%    
  Mar 07, 2019 328   Alabama St. W 78-71 73%    
  Mar 09, 2019 351   Alabama A&M W 76-62 89%    
Projected Record 13.8 - 14.2 11.8 - 6.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.0 5.8 6.6 4.6 2.0 0.4 23.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.9 6.0 8.2 5.6 1.8 0.2 23.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.3 6.3 6.5 2.7 0.4 0.0 18.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.1 4.4 1.3 0.1 13.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.8 2.8 0.6 0.0 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 5.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 3.3 5.4 8.0 10.8 13.2 14.6 14.1 11.8 8.4 4.9 2.0 0.4 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 100.0% 2.0    2.0 0.0
16-2 95.4% 4.6    4.1 0.6 0.0
15-3 78.2% 6.6    4.6 1.8 0.1
14-4 49.1% 5.8    3.0 2.4 0.4 0.0
13-5 21.6% 3.0    0.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.3% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 23.3% 23.3 15.0 6.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 50.7% 50.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2
17-1 2.0% 46.5% 46.5% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.1
16-2 4.9% 40.8% 40.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.9
15-3 8.4% 34.3% 34.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.8 5.5
14-4 11.8% 27.5% 27.5% 16.0 0.0 3.2 8.6
13-5 14.1% 21.8% 21.8% 16.0 0.0 3.1 11.0
12-6 14.6% 17.1% 17.1% 16.0 2.5 12.1
11-7 13.2% 12.7% 12.7% 16.0 1.7 11.5
10-8 10.8% 9.8% 9.8% 16.0 1.1 9.7
9-9 8.0% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.6 7.4
8-10 5.4% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.3 5.1
7-11 3.3% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.1 3.2
6-12 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 1.7
5-13 0.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.9
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 18.7% 18.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 17.9 81.3 0.0%