Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#276
Achievement Rating-6.7#267
Pace72.9#83
Improvement+2.1#86

Offense
Total Offense-7.8#336
First Shot-5.5#314
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#324
Layup/Dunks-4.5#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#76
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#311
Freethrows+1.5#76
Improvement-1.7#265

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#132
First Shot+2.0#112
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#250
Layups/Dunks+2.4#81
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#262
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#57
Freethrows-2.3#317
Improvement+3.8#22
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.6% 23.2% 17.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 75.9% 87.4% 62.9%
.500 or above in Conference 99.2% 99.9% 98.5%
Conference Champion 8.6% 15.1% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four17.9% 18.7% 16.9%
First Round11.7% 13.9% 9.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Southern (Home) - 53.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2018 295   @ Wyoming L 78-86 44%     0 - 1 -13.0 +0.5 -13.1
  Nov 16, 2018 106   @ Loyola Chicago L 64-80 11%     0 - 2 -8.9 -5.9 -2.4
  Nov 23, 2018 298   @ Niagara W 74-68 45%     1 - 2 +0.9 -9.6 +10.0
  Nov 24, 2018 201   IUPUI L 69-80 35%     1 - 3 -13.4 -5.5 -7.6
  Dec 01, 2018 23   @ LSU L 57-78 2%     1 - 4 -4.0 -12.6 +9.4
  Dec 08, 2018 52   @ Central Florida L 45-70 5%     1 - 5 -13.1 -18.4 +3.6
  Dec 11, 2018 154   @ Louisiana Monroe L 67-72 18%     1 - 6 -1.7 -8.2 +6.5
  Dec 15, 2018 318   @ Portland W 70-58 52%     2 - 6 +5.0 -6.7 +11.2
  Dec 19, 2018 258   SE Louisiana W 69-68 57%     3 - 6 -7.4 -4.7 -2.6
  Dec 22, 2018 14   @ Wisconsin L 53-84 2%     3 - 7 -12.6 -6.9 -6.5
  Jan 05, 2019 319   @ Alabama St. L 53-74 53%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -28.3 -23.9 -4.0
  Jan 07, 2019 347   @ Alabama A&M L 60-65 72%     3 - 9 0 - 2 -17.6 -17.4 -0.1
  Jan 12, 2019 340   Southern W 69-63 82%     4 - 9 1 - 2 -10.2 -10.0 -0.1
  Jan 14, 2019 349   Alcorn St. W 77-42 88%     5 - 9 2 - 2 +16.0 -5.6 +20.3
  Jan 19, 2019 229   @ Texas Southern W 88-87 32%     6 - 9 3 - 2 -0.6 -5.5 +4.7
  Jan 21, 2019 283   @ Prairie View L 66-83 41%     6 - 10 3 - 3 -21.1 -12.2 -7.9
  Jan 26, 2019 331   Jackson St. L 63-65 77%     6 - 11 3 - 4 -16.3 -8.9 -7.5
  Feb 02, 2019 332   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 79-55 78%     7 - 11 4 - 4 +9.5 +5.8 +5.6
  Feb 04, 2019 350   Mississippi Valley W 79-57 91%     8 - 11 5 - 4 +0.5 -8.1 +7.1
  Feb 09, 2019 340   @ Southern W 59-40 66%     9 - 11 6 - 4 +8.2 -10.9 +21.9
  Feb 11, 2019 349   @ Alcorn St. W 65-53 75%     10 - 11 7 - 4 -1.6 -7.5 +6.7
  Feb 16, 2019 229   Texas Southern W 77-76 53%    
  Feb 18, 2019 283   Prairie View W 72-69 63%    
  Feb 23, 2019 331   @ Jackson St. W 63-61 58%    
  Mar 02, 2019 332   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 69-66 59%    
  Mar 04, 2019 350   @ Mississippi Valley W 73-63 80%    
  Mar 07, 2019 319   Alabama St. W 70-64 73%    
  Mar 09, 2019 347   Alabama A&M W 70-58 87%    
Projected Record 14.7 - 13.3 11.7 - 6.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 3.6 4.5 8.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 8.6 13.1 2.9 25.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.2 14.6 19.1 5.2 41.1 3rd
4th 0.7 6.2 7.9 1.1 15.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 2.0 3.9 0.6 0.0 6.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.1 0.7 4.0 12.7 24.0 29.3 21.9 7.4 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 61.2% 4.5    1.7 2.3 0.5
13-5 16.4% 3.6    0.5 1.7 1.3 0.1
12-6 1.6% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.6% 8.6 2.2 4.1 2.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 7.4% 29.1% 29.1% 15.8 0.0 0.5 1.7 5.2
13-5 21.9% 26.5% 26.5% 16.0 0.0 5.8 16.1
12-6 29.3% 21.1% 21.1% 16.0 0.0 6.2 23.1
11-7 24.0% 16.8% 16.8% 16.0 4.0 20.0
10-8 12.7% 14.5% 14.5% 16.0 1.8 10.8
9-9 4.0% 12.7% 12.7% 16.0 0.5 3.5
8-10 0.7% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.1 0.6
7-11 0.1% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 20.6% 20.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5 20.1 79.4 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.2% 100.0% 15.8 0.3 21.1 78.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.5%
Lose Out 0.1%