Grand Canyon
Western Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#131
Achievement Rating+0.8#161
Pace70.5#165
Improvement-2.4#318

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#140
First Shot+1.5#135
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#193
Layup/Dunks+1.1#144
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#207
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#150
Freethrows-0.1#179
Improvement-0.5#224

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#122
First Shot+0.6#156
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#111
Layups/Dunks-0.2#190
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#257
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#85
Freethrows-1.0#234
Improvement-1.9#310
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.2% 19.5% 14.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.1 14.6
.500 or above 88.9% 94.2% 82.6%
.500 or above in Conference 91.2% 92.9% 89.2%
Conference Champion 20.0% 22.8% 16.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Four0.6% 0.4% 0.8%
First Round17.0% 19.3% 14.2%
Second Round2.1% 2.5% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Iowa (Away) - 54.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 75   @ South Dakota St. L 74-79 24%     0 - 1 +4.9 +0.9 +4.2
  Nov 10, 2018 353   Delaware St. W 89-47 98%     1 - 1 +18.3 +1.2 +15.0
  Nov 12, 2018 291   Jacksonville W 76-59 88%     2 - 1 +6.7 +0.6 +6.3
  Nov 16, 2018 285   Arkansas St. W 96-72 88%     3 - 1 +14.1 +10.0 +2.3
  Nov 22, 2018 56   Seton Hall L 75-82 28%     3 - 2 +1.7 +7.1 -5.4
  Nov 23, 2018 140   Utah L 66-75 53%     3 - 3 -7.2 -0.9 -7.3
  Nov 25, 2018 260   La Salle W 82-70 78%     4 - 3 +6.4 -3.4 +8.7
  Dec 01, 2018 134   Boise St. W 69-67 63%     5 - 3 +1.3 +1.4 +0.1
  Dec 09, 2018 10   Nevada L 66-74 10%     5 - 4 +8.8 -1.4 +10.2
  Dec 15, 2018 35   @ Texas L 60-98 13%     5 - 5 -23.2 -2.8 -20.3
  Dec 19, 2018 178   @ Northern Iowa W 68-67 54%    
  Dec 22, 2018 349   Mississippi Valley W 84-61 98%    
  Dec 29, 2018 70   @ San Diego L 66-73 24%    
  Jan 03, 2019 130   Utah Valley W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 05, 2019 171   Seattle W 75-69 71%    
  Jan 10, 2019 65   @ New Mexico St. L 66-74 23%    
  Jan 12, 2019 229   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 74-70 64%    
  Jan 17, 2019 347   Chicago St. W 87-65 98%    
  Jan 19, 2019 266   UMKC W 78-66 86%    
  Jan 26, 2019 237   @ California Baptist W 78-74 64%    
  Feb 02, 2019 196   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 69-67 55%    
  Feb 07, 2019 229   UT Rio Grande Valley W 77-67 82%    
  Feb 09, 2019 65   New Mexico St. L 69-71 43%    
  Feb 14, 2019 266   @ UMKC W 75-69 70%    
  Feb 16, 2019 347   @ Chicago St. W 84-68 93%    
  Feb 21, 2019 237   California Baptist W 81-71 82%    
  Mar 02, 2019 196   Cal St. Bakersfield W 72-64 76%    
  Mar 07, 2019 130   @ Utah Valley L 70-73 40%    
  Mar 09, 2019 171   @ Seattle W 73-72 51%    
Projected Record 17.3 - 11.7 10.6 - 5.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 4.3 6.5 5.1 2.6 0.5 20.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 3.3 9.5 9.6 4.4 0.6 27.7 2nd
3rd 0.4 4.0 8.8 7.0 1.7 0.0 21.8 3rd
4th 0.3 3.0 7.1 3.5 0.4 14.2 4th
5th 0.2 2.1 4.5 2.1 0.2 9.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 2.1 1.0 0.1 4.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.4 5.0 8.8 13.5 15.8 17.8 15.6 11.0 5.7 2.6 0.5 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
15-1 100.0% 2.6    2.4 0.2
14-2 89.7% 5.1    4.1 0.9 0.0
13-3 59.4% 6.5    3.5 2.6 0.4
12-4 27.7% 4.3    1.4 2.1 0.7 0.1
11-5 5.1% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 20.0% 20.0 12.1 6.2 1.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.5% 50.0% 50.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-1 2.6% 36.5% 35.8% 0.8% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 1.7 1.2%
14-2 5.7% 33.8% 33.8% 13.3 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.1 3.7
13-3 11.0% 25.9% 25.9% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.4 0.4 0.0 8.1
12-4 15.6% 25.4% 25.4% 14.3 0.5 2.0 1.4 0.1 11.6
11-5 17.8% 16.5% 16.5% 14.7 0.2 0.9 1.6 0.2 14.9
10-6 15.8% 12.8% 12.8% 15.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.4 13.8
9-7 13.5% 8.5% 8.5% 15.2 0.1 0.7 0.4 12.3
8-8 8.8% 8.4% 8.4% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 8.1
7-9 5.0% 5.6% 5.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 4.7
6-10 2.4% 6.1% 6.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.3
5-11 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
4-12 0.4% 0.4
3-13 0.1% 0.1
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 17.2% 17.2% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.0 5.8 5.5 2.0 82.8 0.0%