Green Bay
Horizon
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#224
Achievement Rating-1.7#190
Pace83.9#8
Improvement-1.7#257

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#200
First Shot+0.5#167
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#255
Layup/Dunks-2.4#265
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#48
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#191
Freethrows+0.7#128
Improvement-2.0#276

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#255
First Shot-3.6#284
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#125
Layups/Dunks-5.3#335
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#51
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#126
Freethrows-1.4#266
Improvement+0.3#161
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 5.8% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.6
.500 or above 19.5% 39.1% 10.0%
.500 or above in Conference 80.0% 100.0% 70.3%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.7% 0.5% 0.7%
First Round4.2% 5.5% 3.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Illinois-Chicago (Away) - 32.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 199   Indiana St. L 74-78 54%     0 - 1 -9.0 -8.9 +0.3
  Nov 11, 2018 26   @ Iowa L 82-93 4%     0 - 2 +4.7 -0.6 +7.1
  Nov 16, 2018 238   @ Eastern Washington W 82-78 42%     1 - 2 +2.2 -7.5 +9.0
  Nov 17, 2018 268   Morehead St. W 87-70 58%     2 - 2 +11.0 +7.5 +3.1
  Nov 20, 2018 55   @ Oregon L 72-83 9%     2 - 3 +0.2 +2.2 -1.3
  Nov 28, 2018 150   Northern Illinois W 85-83 43%     3 - 3 +0.0 +8.6 -8.6
  Dec 01, 2018 69   Belmont W 100-92 22%     4 - 3 +12.3 +9.4 +1.5
  Dec 08, 2018 100   @ Bowling Green L 68-97 14%     4 - 4 -21.3 -9.7 -7.7
  Dec 14, 2018 51   @ Creighton L 65-86 8%     4 - 5 -9.0 -13.5 +7.5
  Dec 16, 2018 4   @ Michigan St. L 83-104 1%     4 - 6 +2.0 +6.5 -0.8
  Dec 22, 2018 201   @ Evansville L 75-80 34%     4 - 7 -4.7 +3.4 -8.0
  Dec 29, 2018 304   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 92-82 56%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +4.5 +13.0 -8.9
  Jan 03, 2019 283   Youngstown St. W 99-93 71%     6 - 7 2 - 0 -3.6 +7.7 -12.0
  Jan 05, 2019 306   Cleveland St. W 90-89 76%     7 - 7 3 - 0 -10.2 +0.6 -10.9
  Jan 10, 2019 260   @ Detroit Mercy L 83-101 46%     7 - 8 3 - 1 -20.9 -3.7 -14.9
  Jan 12, 2019 216   @ Oakland L 78-90 37%     7 - 9 3 - 2 -12.5 -1.5 -10.4
  Jan 17, 2019 205   IUPUI L 70-76 56%     7 - 10 3 - 3 -11.4 -14.6 +3.9
  Jan 19, 2019 196   Illinois-Chicago W 90-85 54%     8 - 10 4 - 3 +0.1 +5.8 -6.2
  Jan 24, 2019 106   @ Northern Kentucky L 65-87 15%     8 - 11 4 - 4 -14.7 -10.6 -2.5
  Jan 26, 2019 141   @ Wright St. L 75-87 21%     8 - 12 4 - 5 -7.5 +4.6 -12.1
  Feb 01, 2019 304   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 90-74 75%     9 - 12 5 - 5 +4.9 +8.3 -3.9
  Feb 07, 2019 306   @ Cleveland St. W 82-65 57%     10 - 12 6 - 5 +11.3 -1.6 +11.6
  Feb 09, 2019 283   @ Youngstown St. L 77-96 51%     10 - 13 6 - 6 -23.0 -4.2 -17.9
  Feb 14, 2019 216   Oakland W 66-54 58%     11 - 13 7 - 6 +6.0 -19.1 +23.9
  Feb 16, 2019 260   Detroit Mercy W 82-73 67%     12 - 13 8 - 6 +0.6 -2.6 +2.6
  Feb 22, 2019 196   @ Illinois-Chicago L 79-84 33%    
  Feb 24, 2019 205   @ IUPUI L 80-84 35%    
  Feb 28, 2019 141   Wright St. L 76-79 40%    
  Mar 02, 2019 106   Northern Kentucky L 78-84 31%    
Projected Record 13.4 - 15.6 9.4 - 8.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 0.9 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 7.4 8.6 0.7 16.7 3rd
4th 8.6 18.6 2.0 29.2 4th
5th 2.3 24.3 3.4 30.1 5th
6th 9.7 4.1 0.0 13.8 6th
7th 6.9 0.2 7.1 7th
8th 1.1 1.1 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 20.0 37.3 29.4 11.4 1.9 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 14.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 1.9% 11.1% 11.1% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7
11-7 11.4% 7.5% 7.5% 15.3 0.0 0.5 0.3 10.6
10-8 29.4% 5.4% 5.4% 15.5 0.0 0.7 0.9 27.8
9-9 37.3% 3.9% 3.9% 15.7 0.0 0.5 1.0 35.8
8-10 20.0% 1.9% 1.9% 15.9 0.0 0.4 19.6
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 1.9 2.5 95.5 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 14.7 1.0 33.7 60.5 4.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7%
Lose Out 7.8%