High Point
Big South
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#225
Achievement Rating-3.0#205
Pace61.0#341
Improvement+1.7#100

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#287
First Shot-5.2#311
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#116
Layup/Dunks+0.5#162
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#29
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.5#344
Freethrows-1.6#284
Improvement-2.2#281

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#156
First Shot+0.8#143
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#212
Layups/Dunks+1.0#129
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#69
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#267
Freethrows+0.6#131
Improvement+3.8#20
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.3% 8.0% 5.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 58.4% 67.3% 31.7%
.500 or above in Conference 92.3% 97.2% 77.6%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.6% 1.6% 1.8%
First Round6.5% 7.3% 4.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Longwood (Home) - 75.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 207   @ William & Mary L 69-79 36%     0 - 1 -10.0 -6.1 -3.8
  Nov 10, 2018 38   Wofford L 60-68 13%     0 - 2 +0.4 -0.7 -0.4
  Nov 16, 2018 231   South Dakota W 60-56 52%     1 - 2 -0.4 -4.4 +4.7
  Nov 17, 2018 213   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 59-68 48%     1 - 3 -12.3 -5.5 -7.7
  Nov 19, 2018 238   Air Force W 69-62 53%     2 - 3 +2.5 +3.5 -0.1
  Nov 24, 2018 266   @ East Carolina W 55-52 48%     3 - 3 -0.3 -6.7 +6.9
  Nov 27, 2018 261   @ The Citadel L 87-112 47%     3 - 4 -28.1 +1.9 -27.9
  Dec 01, 2018 263   Eastern Kentucky L 69-70 68%     3 - 5 -9.6 -10.1 +0.5
  Dec 04, 2018 185   @ Valparaiso W 55-53 31%     4 - 5 +3.4 -8.3 +11.9
  Dec 15, 2018 303   Western Carolina W 86-59 75%     5 - 5 +16.1 +15.7 +3.1
  Dec 22, 2018 179   Richmond L 59-74 39%     5 - 6 -16.0 -13.8 -3.1
  Dec 29, 2018 40   @ Ohio St. L 64-82 6%     5 - 7 -4.3 -0.5 -4.0
  Jan 05, 2019 220   @ Charleston Southern W 51-50 38%     6 - 7 1 - 0 +0.2 -13.0 +13.5
  Jan 10, 2019 217   Presbyterian W 74-58 59%     7 - 7 2 - 0 +9.9 -5.7 +15.7
  Jan 12, 2019 173   @ Winthrop L 63-80 29%     7 - 8 2 - 1 -14.9 -11.6 -3.2
  Jan 16, 2019 336   South Carolina Upstate W 71-54 86%     8 - 8 3 - 1 +1.8 -5.1 +7.6
  Jan 24, 2019 299   @ Longwood L 51-55 56%     8 - 9 3 - 2 -9.3 -18.3 +8.7
  Jan 26, 2019 341   UNC Asheville W 65-61 88%     9 - 9 4 - 2 -12.5 -7.5 -4.4
  Jan 30, 2019 222   @ Gardner-Webb L 67-69 39%     9 - 10 4 - 3 -2.9 -4.7 +1.7
  Feb 02, 2019 230   Hampton W 85-69 62%     10 - 10 5 - 3 +9.0 +11.8 -1.7
  Feb 07, 2019 211   Campbell W 57-56 58%     11 - 10 6 - 3 -4.8 -7.3 +2.8
  Feb 09, 2019 137   @ Radford L 66-69 20%     11 - 11 6 - 4 +2.0 -3.5 +5.3
  Feb 13, 2019 299   Longwood W 66-59 75%    
  Feb 16, 2019 230   @ Hampton L 70-72 41%    
  Feb 21, 2019 211   @ Campbell L 64-67 36%    
  Feb 23, 2019 222   Gardner-Webb W 68-65 60%    
  Feb 27, 2019 137   Radford L 62-65 38%    
  Mar 02, 2019 341   @ UNC Asheville W 64-57 74%    
Projected Record 14.3 - 13.7 9.3 - 6.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 2.6 7.6 1.8 12.0 2nd
3rd 0.8 11.3 4.6 0.1 16.7 3rd
4th 0.2 10.1 11.8 0.5 22.6 4th
5th 0.0 3.8 15.4 1.2 20.5 5th
6th 0.9 9.7 3.6 14.2 6th
7th 0.1 2.9 5.2 0.1 8.3 7th
8th 0.8 2.8 0.6 4.3 8th
9th 0.2 0.0 0.2 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 1.0 6.7 19.5 30.1 26.8 13.0 2.8 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 34.8% 1.0    0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0
11-5 2.3% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 2.8% 15.9% 15.9% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 2.3
11-5 13.0% 12.1% 12.1% 15.5 0.0 0.8 0.8 11.4
10-6 26.8% 8.7% 8.7% 15.7 0.6 1.7 24.5
9-7 30.1% 6.5% 6.5% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.6 28.2
8-8 19.5% 4.2% 4.2% 15.9 0.1 0.8 18.7
7-9 6.7% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.5
6-10 1.0% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 1.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 2.1 5.0 92.7 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 14.7 2.3 25.6 67.7 4.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.9%
Lose Out 0.4%