Holy Cross
Patriot League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#226
Achievement Rating-2.9#203
Pace60.8#343
Improvement-6.2#346

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#227
First Shot+0.8#158
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#335
Layup/Dunks+3.2#67
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#257
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#70
Freethrows-3.9#345
Improvement-4.0#324

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#231
First Shot-1.0#204
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#278
Layups/Dunks+0.0#172
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#144
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#280
Freethrows+0.8#123
Improvement-2.2#291
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 4.2% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 64.0% 79.8% 35.1%
.500 or above in Conference 2.7% 4.2% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 29.7% 13.7% 59.1%
First Four1.9% 1.8% 1.9%
First Round2.9% 3.4% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Home) - 64.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 250   Sacred Heart W 93-81 65%     1 - 0 +4.0 +16.9 -12.6
  Nov 10, 2018 8   @ Michigan L 37-56 2%     1 - 1 +1.2 -18.9 +18.0
  Nov 13, 2018 78   @ Providence L 61-70 12%     1 - 2 +0.0 -4.0 +4.0
  Nov 16, 2018 169   Stony Brook W 84-70 37%     2 - 2 +13.6 +20.0 -5.4
  Nov 18, 2018 247   Siena W 57-45 55%     3 - 2 +7.0 +3.4 +8.0
  Nov 20, 2018 292   @ Albany W 69-65 53%     4 - 2 -0.7 -1.9 +1.3
  Nov 28, 2018 119   @ Harvard L 62-73 17%     4 - 3 -4.8 -4.6 -0.4
  Dec 01, 2018 254   Fairleigh Dickinson W 67-49 66%     5 - 3 +9.9 -11.6 +21.7
  Dec 04, 2018 188   @ Massachusetts W 82-78 32%     6 - 3 +4.9 +7.8 -2.9
  Dec 08, 2018 136   Rhode Island L 63-79 37%     6 - 4 -16.4 -6.7 -10.1
  Dec 20, 2018 239   Canisius W 65-63 63%     7 - 4 -5.2 -10.5 +5.3
  Dec 22, 2018 247   Siena W 60-57 65%     8 - 4 -4.7 +3.6 -7.3
  Dec 30, 2018 215   @ Iona W 78-71 38%     9 - 4 +6.3 +9.1 -2.2
  Jan 03, 2019 281   @ Loyola Maryland W 80-73 51%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +3.0 +3.2 -0.3
  Jan 06, 2019 305   @ Navy L 48-50 57%     10 - 5 1 - 1 -7.6 -20.5 +12.6
  Jan 09, 2019 159   Lehigh L 94-99 45%     10 - 6 1 - 2 -7.5 +3.8 -10.7
  Jan 12, 2019 293   Lafayette W 77-70 73%     11 - 6 2 - 2 -3.2 +8.0 -10.2
  Jan 14, 2019 143   @ Bucknell L 78-93 22%     11 - 7 2 - 3 -10.6 +7.8 -18.6
  Jan 19, 2019 281   Loyola Maryland L 65-67 70%     11 - 8 2 - 4 -11.4 -7.7 -3.9
  Jan 23, 2019 234   @ Army L 57-76 42%     11 - 9 2 - 5 -20.8 -4.4 -19.4
  Jan 26, 2019 305   Navy W 69-64 75%     12 - 9 3 - 5 -6.0 +3.7 -8.9
  Jan 30, 2019 242   @ Boston University L 54-68 43%     12 - 10 3 - 6 -16.0 -14.4 -3.4
  Feb 02, 2019 205   @ American L 49-66 35%     12 - 11 3 - 7 -17.0 -17.9 -1.1
  Feb 06, 2019 234   Army W 56-42 63%     13 - 11 4 - 7 +6.8 -14.4 +21.9
  Feb 10, 2019 293   @ Lafayette L 67-69 54%     13 - 12 4 - 8 -6.8 -6.8 +0.0
  Feb 13, 2019 156   Colgate L 70-74 43%     13 - 13 4 - 9 -6.2 +0.4 -6.9
  Feb 16, 2019 143   Bucknell W 72-71 39%     14 - 13 5 - 9 +0.0 -3.0 +2.9
  Feb 18, 2019 242   Boston University W 70-66 65%    
  Feb 24, 2019 159   @ Lehigh L 70-77 25%    
  Feb 27, 2019 156   @ Colgate L 64-71 25%    
  Mar 02, 2019 205   American W 66-64 57%    
Projected Record 15.7 - 15.3 6.7 - 11.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.5 1.2 1.7 4th
5th 0.5 6.2 1.2 7.9 5th
6th 0.0 10.7 9.0 0.2 19.9 6th
7th 3.2 19.7 1.5 0.0 24.4 7th
8th 0.2 15.0 7.0 0.0 22.3 8th
9th 3.2 12.0 0.5 15.6 9th
10th 5.9 2.2 0.0 8.1 10th
Total 9.3 32.4 38.2 17.3 2.7 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 2.7% 9.3% 9.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.4
8-10 17.3% 5.6% 5.6% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 16.3
7-11 38.2% 3.7% 3.7% 15.9 0.1 1.3 36.8
6-12 32.4% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.9 31.5
5-13 9.3% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 9.2
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.1 96.3 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 15.0 1.3 13.3 65.3 20.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.8%
Lose Out 4.2%