Holy Cross
Patriot League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#155
Achievement Rating+4.8#118
Pace62.4#338
Improvement-1.6#289

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#183
First Shot+2.3#114
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#326
Layup/Dunks+2.9#95
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#247
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#66
Freethrows-2.9#309
Improvement-0.2#186

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#139
First Shot+0.2#164
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#130
Layups/Dunks-2.1#258
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#275
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#60
Freethrows-0.2#184
Improvement-1.4#286
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.4% 19.5% 14.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.9 14.5
.500 or above 92.3% 94.8% 84.3%
.500 or above in Conference 86.9% 88.5% 82.0%
Conference Champion 25.0% 26.7% 19.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.6% 1.3%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.5%
First Round18.2% 19.3% 14.6%
Second Round1.6% 1.8% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Home) - 75.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 296   Sacred Heart W 93-81 85%     1 - 0 +1.6 +15.7 -13.9
  Nov 10, 2018 3   @ Michigan L 37-56 3%     1 - 1 +2.9 -19.4 +20.2
  Nov 13, 2018 72   @ Providence L 61-70 18%     1 - 2 +0.9 -6.4 +7.3
  Nov 16, 2018 165   Stony Brook W 84-70 53%     2 - 2 +13.8 +17.2 -2.5
  Nov 18, 2018 270   Siena W 57-45 73%     3 - 2 +6.0 -1.8 +12.2
  Nov 20, 2018 265   @ Albany W 69-65 62%     4 - 2 +1.2 -2.6 +3.9
  Nov 28, 2018 93   @ Harvard L 62-73 22%     4 - 3 -2.4 -4.0 +1.4
  Dec 01, 2018 266   Fairleigh Dickinson W 67-49 81%     5 - 3 +9.1 -9.9 +19.3
  Dec 04, 2018 139   @ Massachusetts W 82-78 33%     6 - 3 +8.9 +8.5 +0.4
  Dec 08, 2018 113   Rhode Island L 63-79 46%     6 - 4 -14.7 -3.8 -11.3
  Dec 20, 2018 227   Canisius W 69-62 76%    
  Dec 22, 2018 270   Siena W 69-60 81%    
  Dec 30, 2018 205   @ Iona W 72-71 50%    
  Jan 03, 2019 298   @ Loyola Maryland W 72-67 68%    
  Jan 06, 2019 311   @ Navy W 67-61 72%    
  Jan 09, 2019 149   Lehigh W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 12, 2019 316   Lafayette W 75-62 88%    
  Jan 14, 2019 160   @ Bucknell L 67-70 41%    
  Jan 19, 2019 298   Loyola Maryland W 75-64 84%    
  Jan 23, 2019 262   @ Army W 69-66 61%    
  Jan 26, 2019 311   Navy W 70-58 87%    
  Jan 30, 2019 186   @ Boston University L 64-65 46%    
  Feb 02, 2019 191   @ American L 66-67 47%    
  Feb 06, 2019 262   Army W 72-63 80%    
  Feb 10, 2019 316   @ Lafayette W 72-65 73%    
  Feb 13, 2019 166   Colgate W 69-65 63%    
  Feb 16, 2019 160   Bucknell W 70-67 62%    
  Feb 18, 2019 186   Boston University W 67-62 67%    
  Feb 24, 2019 149   @ Lehigh L 70-73 38%    
  Feb 27, 2019 166   @ Colgate L 66-68 42%    
  Mar 02, 2019 191   American W 69-64 68%    
Projected Record 19.6 - 11.4 11.5 - 6.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.5 4.8 7.3 6.3 3.5 1.2 0.2 25.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.2 6.6 7.2 3.3 0.7 0.0 20.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 2.0 6.3 5.9 1.8 0.2 0.0 16.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 5.5 4.6 1.1 0.1 13.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.3 3.8 0.8 0.0 10.3 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 2.9 2.6 0.6 0.0 7.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 1.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 4.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.8 6.1 9.1 12.1 14.0 15.1 13.8 10.9 7.0 3.5 1.2 0.2 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 1.2    1.2 0.0
16-2 98.6% 3.5    3.3 0.2
15-3 89.9% 6.3    5.1 1.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 67.7% 7.3    4.4 2.6 0.4 0.0
13-5 34.7% 4.8    1.6 2.2 0.9 0.1 0.0
12-6 9.8% 1.5    0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 25.0% 25.0 16.0 6.7 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 54.1% 49.6% 4.5% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.9%
17-1 1.2% 48.8% 47.8% 1.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 1.9%
16-2 3.5% 40.5% 40.3% 0.3% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.1 0.5%
15-3 7.0% 33.9% 33.8% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.6 0.1%
14-4 10.9% 29.0% 29.0% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.6 0.4 0.0 7.7 0.0%
13-5 13.8% 23.9% 23.9% 14.1 0.0 0.6 1.8 0.9 0.0 10.5
12-6 15.1% 17.6% 17.6% 14.5 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.2 0.1 12.4
11-7 14.0% 14.5% 14.5% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.2 12.0
10-8 12.1% 10.8% 10.8% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 10.8
9-9 9.1% 8.7% 8.7% 15.2 0.1 0.5 0.2 8.3
8-10 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 5.7
7-11 3.8% 3.5% 3.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.6
6-12 1.9% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.9
5-13 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.8
4-14 0.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 18.4% 18.3% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.9 6.5 5.2 1.3 81.7 0.1%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 11.3 11.4 57.1 25.7 5.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 10.7% 12.0 10.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 12.0% 12.0 4.0 4.0 4.0