Houston Baptist
Southland
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#283
Achievement Rating-3.6#217
Pace79.8#20
Improvement+0.0#172

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#158
First Shot-1.1#213
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#86
Layup/Dunks+1.2#140
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#315
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#188
Freethrows+1.3#110
Improvement+1.0#91

Defense
Total Defense-7.2#342
First Shot-4.4#300
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#326
Layups/Dunks-2.4#264
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#176
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#111
Freethrows-4.3#332
Improvement-1.0#257
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 6.1% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 26.1% 44.6% 20.4%
.500 or above in Conference 57.9% 68.0% 54.8%
Conference Champion 4.4% 6.7% 3.7%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 1.7% 3.6%
First Four1.5% 1.4% 1.5%
First Round3.3% 5.4% 2.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Samford (Away) - 23.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 40   @ Arizona L 60-90 4%     0 - 1 -15.9 -7.5 -7.4
  Nov 10, 2018 239   Fordham W 75-72 54%     1 - 1 -4.8 +1.7 -6.4
  Nov 17, 2018 13   @ Wisconsin L 59-96 2%     1 - 2 -18.8 -5.4 -12.5
  Nov 23, 2018 156   @ Wake Forest W 93-91 17%     2 - 2 +5.4 +9.5 -4.3
  Nov 26, 2018 188   Texas San Antonio L 82-86 41%     2 - 3 -8.5 -3.0 -5.0
  Dec 01, 2018 137   @ Louisiana Tech L 78-85 13%     2 - 4 -1.8 +2.7 -4.3
  Dec 08, 2018 142   @ Texas St. L 80-90 14%     2 - 5 -5.3 +10.2 -15.3
  Dec 17, 2018 196   @ Samford L 79-87 23%    
  Dec 19, 2018 45   @ Miami (FL) L 71-91 3%    
  Jan 02, 2019 229   Lamar W 81-80 51%    
  Jan 05, 2019 262   @ New Orleans L 75-79 36%    
  Jan 12, 2019 250   @ Nicholls St. L 80-85 33%    
  Jan 16, 2019 166   @ Abilene Christian L 72-82 19%    
  Jan 19, 2019 292   Sam Houston St. W 79-76 62%    
  Jan 23, 2019 287   SE Louisiana W 77-74 62%    
  Jan 26, 2019 311   @ McNeese St. L 81-82 46%    
  Jan 30, 2019 336   @ Incarnate Word W 81-78 60%    
  Feb 02, 2019 298   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 77-73 64%    
  Feb 06, 2019 159   Stephen F. Austin L 79-83 37%    
  Feb 13, 2019 278   @ Central Arkansas L 85-88 38%    
  Feb 16, 2019 250   Nicholls St. W 83-82 55%    
  Feb 20, 2019 346   Northwestern St. W 85-73 87%    
  Feb 23, 2019 292   @ Sam Houston St. L 76-79 41%    
  Feb 27, 2019 229   @ Lamar L 78-84 31%    
  Mar 02, 2019 311   McNeese St. W 84-79 67%    
  Mar 06, 2019 336   Incarnate Word W 84-75 78%    
  Mar 09, 2019 298   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 74-76 43%    
Projected Record 11.4 - 15.6 9.1 - 8.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.8 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.4 3.7 1.9 0.3 0.0 8.6 3rd
4th 0.2 2.3 4.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 9.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 5.0 3.1 0.5 0.0 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.7 4.2 0.6 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.7 4.9 1.2 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.1 1.9 0.1 9.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.6 2.6 0.2 0.0 9.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.6 2.7 0.4 0.0 8.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.5 2.2 0.5 0.0 6.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.9 5.3 8.1 10.9 12.8 13.5 13.1 11.1 8.5 5.8 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 98.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 91.4% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-3 70.2% 1.2    0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 41.7% 1.4    0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 15.1% 0.9    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.4% 4.4 2.1 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 59.3% 59.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 38.7% 38.7% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.6% 29.7% 29.7% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.7% 26.4% 26.4% 15.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.2
14-4 3.4% 21.1% 21.1% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 2.7
13-5 5.8% 14.5% 14.5% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 5.0
12-6 8.5% 9.0% 9.0% 15.9 0.1 0.7 7.7
11-7 11.1% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5 10.6
10-8 13.1% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 12.8
9-9 13.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 13.3
8-10 12.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.8
7-11 10.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.9
6-12 8.1% 8.1
5-13 5.3% 5.3
4-14 2.9% 2.9
3-15 1.4% 1.4
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.8 95.9 0.0%