Idaho St.
Big Sky
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#244
Achievement Rating-0.5#178
Pace69.3#198
Improvement-0.6#226

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#157
First Shot+2.0#121
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#269
Layup/Dunks-3.8#290
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#110
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#55
Freethrows+0.2#161
Improvement-0.8#249

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#316
First Shot-2.1#244
After Offensive Rebounds-3.4#339
Layups/Dunks-1.5#237
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#298
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#110
Freethrows-0.6#209
Improvement+0.2#155
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 5.9% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 29.9% 52.1% 25.2%
.500 or above in Conference 45.4% 58.4% 42.6%
Conference Champion 2.7% 4.8% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 9.9% 5.4% 10.9%
First Four0.7% 0.6% 0.7%
First Round3.2% 5.6% 2.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah Valley (Away) - 17.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 2   @ Gonzaga L 79-120 1%     0 - 1 -18.9 +2.8 -16.7
  Nov 10, 2018 128   @ Boise St. W 72-70 15%     1 - 1 +8.0 +4.1 +3.9
  Nov 15, 2018 161   Pacific L 76-83 42%     1 - 2 -10.0 +5.1 -15.5
  Nov 26, 2018 225   @ Pepperdine L 82-97 33%     1 - 3 -15.6 +3.8 -18.7
  Dec 07, 2018 273   @ Santa Clara W 68-66 43%     2 - 3 -1.2 -2.5 +1.4
  Dec 19, 2018 140   @ Utah Valley L 70-80 18%    
  Dec 22, 2018 147   @ UC Santa Barbara L 66-75 20%    
  Dec 29, 2018 286   @ Idaho L 73-74 46%    
  Dec 31, 2018 246   @ Eastern Washington L 72-75 40%    
  Jan 03, 2019 253   Southern Utah W 80-77 62%    
  Jan 05, 2019 318   Northern Arizona W 82-74 76%    
  Jan 12, 2019 228   @ Sacramento St. L 72-76 36%    
  Jan 17, 2019 154   @ Weber St. L 75-83 22%    
  Jan 21, 2019 137   Northern Colorado L 77-81 36%    
  Jan 24, 2019 111   @ Montana L 69-81 14%    
  Jan 26, 2019 297   @ Montana St. L 78-79 48%    
  Jan 31, 2019 228   Sacramento St. W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 02, 2019 234   Portland St. W 82-80 59%    
  Feb 07, 2019 318   @ Northern Arizona W 79-77 56%    
  Feb 09, 2019 253   @ Southern Utah L 77-80 41%    
  Feb 14, 2019 297   Montana St. W 81-76 68%    
  Feb 16, 2019 111   Montana L 72-78 28%    
  Feb 21, 2019 234   @ Portland St. L 79-83 38%    
  Mar 02, 2019 137   @ Northern Colorado L 74-84 19%    
  Mar 04, 2019 154   Weber St. L 78-80 42%    
  Mar 07, 2019 246   Eastern Washington W 75-72 61%    
  Mar 09, 2019 286   Idaho W 76-71 66%    
Projected Record 11.5 - 15.5 9.1 - 10.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.7 3.1 1.6 0.4 0.0 8.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.2 3.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.9 4.0 1.3 0.1 0.0 12.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.0 4.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 12.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.9 4.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.4 3.8 0.9 0.1 10.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.8 3.3 0.8 0.1 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.0 2.3 0.7 0.0 8.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 5.9 11th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.8 5.9 8.1 10.2 11.5 11.9 11.8 10.3 8.3 6.3 4.1 2.5 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 96.5% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 80.3% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
16-4 56.5% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
15-5 28.7% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 9.9% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 27.7% 27.7% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 28.3% 28.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.6% 24.1% 24.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
16-4 1.3% 18.3% 18.3% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
15-5 2.5% 16.1% 16.1% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.1
14-6 4.1% 12.2% 12.2% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 3.6
13-7 6.3% 8.6% 8.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 5.7
12-8 8.3% 6.1% 6.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 7.8
11-9 10.3% 4.1% 4.1% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 9.9
10-10 11.8% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 11.4
9-11 11.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.8
8-12 11.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.4
7-13 10.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.2
6-14 8.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.1
5-15 5.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.8
4-16 3.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.8
3-17 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.0
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 1.4 96.5 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%