Idaho St.
Big Sky
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.8#310
Achievement Rating-7.9#281
Pace66.4#246
Improvement-3.5#308

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#198
First Shot+0.2#175
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#235
Layup/Dunks-2.6#268
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#167
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#44
Freethrows-1.7#290
Improvement-2.2#280

Defense
Total Defense-8.2#346
First Shot-7.8#352
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#221
Layups/Dunks-1.2#233
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#345
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#269
Freethrows-0.1#192
Improvement-1.4#253
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.6% 10.6% 0.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.0% 0.9%
First Four0.4% 0.6% 0.4%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Montana (Home) - 17.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 2   @ Gonzaga L 79-120 0.4%    0 - 1 -14.3 +6.0 -15.2
  Nov 10, 2018 122   @ Boise St. W 72-70 9%     1 - 1 +8.1 +3.2 +5.0
  Nov 15, 2018 186   Pacific L 76-83 33%     1 - 2 -11.1 +5.9 -17.4
  Nov 26, 2018 168   @ Pepperdine L 82-97 15%     1 - 3 -12.7 +6.5 -18.5
  Dec 07, 2018 195   @ Santa Clara W 68-66 18%     2 - 3 +2.7 -0.2 +3.1
  Dec 19, 2018 120   @ Utah Valley L 77-88 9%     2 - 4 -4.8 +7.4 -12.4
  Dec 22, 2018 164   @ UC Santa Barbara L 65-84 15%     2 - 5 -16.5 -2.5 -15.3
  Dec 29, 2018 344   @ Idaho W 72-55 61%     3 - 5 1 - 0 +5.4 -5.6 +11.7
  Dec 31, 2018 256   @ Eastern Washington L 55-65 28%     3 - 6 1 - 1 -12.8 -13.3 -0.7
  Jan 03, 2019 280   Southern Utah W 88-68 52%     4 - 6 2 - 1 +10.6 +6.4 +3.0
  Jan 05, 2019 312   Northern Arizona L 69-81 62%     4 - 7 2 - 2 -24.0 -6.3 -18.6
  Jan 12, 2019 245   @ Sacramento St. W 72-70 26%     5 - 7 3 - 2 -0.3 +5.8 -5.9
  Jan 17, 2019 171   @ Weber St. L 59-76 15%     5 - 8 3 - 3 -14.8 -12.0 -3.0
  Jan 21, 2019 178   Northern Colorado L 53-77 30%     5 - 9 3 - 4 -27.5 -13.2 -17.7
  Jan 24, 2019 108   @ Montana L 69-80 8%     5 - 10 3 - 5 -4.0 -0.8 -3.3
  Jan 26, 2019 223   @ Montana St. L 84-104 23%     5 - 11 3 - 6 -21.0 +5.7 -26.2
  Jan 31, 2019 245   Sacramento St. L 58-74 46%     5 - 12 3 - 7 -23.7 -14.5 -9.8
  Feb 02, 2019 291   Portland St. W 69-67 55%     6 - 12 4 - 7 -8.0 +2.0 -9.6
  Feb 07, 2019 312   @ Northern Arizona W 81-79 41%     7 - 12 5 - 7 -4.6 +11.3 -15.6
  Feb 09, 2019 280   @ Southern Utah L 72-78 32%     7 - 13 5 - 8 -10.0 -1.3 -8.7
  Feb 14, 2019 223   Montana St. L 76-84 41%     7 - 14 5 - 9 -14.4 -4.7 -9.5
  Feb 16, 2019 108   Montana L 69-79 17%    
  Feb 21, 2019 291   @ Portland St. L 76-80 34%    
  Mar 02, 2019 178   @ Northern Colorado L 67-78 15%    
  Mar 04, 2019 171   Weber St. L 73-79 31%    
  Mar 07, 2019 256   Eastern Washington L 73-74 49%    
  Mar 09, 2019 344   Idaho W 76-68 78%    
Projected Record 9.2 - 17.8 7.2 - 12.8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 1.1 0.1 2.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 4.4 1.0 0.0 6.7 6th
7th 0.9 8.2 4.6 0.1 13.8 7th
8th 0.6 10.1 12.4 1.1 0.0 24.2 8th
9th 0.4 9.0 18.4 3.7 0.0 31.5 9th
10th 4.3 12.6 4.6 0.2 21.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.0 0.1 11th
Total 4.7 22.1 34.0 25.8 10.9 2.4 0.2 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.2% 0.2
10-10 2.4% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.1 2.3
9-11 10.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 10.8
8-12 25.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 25.7
7-13 34.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 33.8
6-14 22.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 22.0
5-15 4.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.7
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.5 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.1%