Incarnate Word
Southland
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.0#338
Achievement Rating-12.1#308
Pace66.1#273
Improvement-1.6#293

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#300
First Shot-1.5#229
After Offensive Rebound-3.2#338
Layup/Dunks+4.2#49
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#233
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.6#350
Freethrows+6.0#4
Improvement-1.3#291

Defense
Total Defense-8.3#349
First Shot-7.8#349
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#212
Layups/Dunks-4.4#312
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#103
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#328
Freethrows+0.8#134
Improvement-0.3#204
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.6% 2.9% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 8.3% 15.9% 7.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 32.8% 21.9% 33.7%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Illinois-Chicago (Away) - 7.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 12   @ Texas Tech L 37-87 1%     0 - 1 -31.4 -22.5 -10.6
  Nov 16, 2018 109   Montana L 66-93 6%     0 - 2 -22.6 -1.2 -23.2
  Nov 17, 2018 206   North Dakota St. W 80-78 17%     1 - 2 -0.6 +0.0 -0.8
  Nov 18, 2018 209   Florida Atlantic L 68-71 17%     1 - 3 -5.9 +1.3 -7.5
  Nov 21, 2018 138   Northern Colorado L 64-90 13%     1 - 4 -27.0 -11.5 -15.4
  Nov 25, 2018 327   @ SIU Edwardsville L 68-80 32%     1 - 5 -20.2 -4.6 -16.5
  Dec 09, 2018 52   @ LSU L 50-91 2%     1 - 6 -28.5 -20.3 -7.7
  Dec 17, 2018 168   @ Illinois-Chicago L 69-84 7%    
  Dec 19, 2018 101   @ DePaul L 62-83 3%    
  Jan 02, 2019 311   McNeese St. L 72-73 45%    
  Jan 05, 2019 254   Nicholls St. L 70-75 33%    
  Jan 12, 2019 291   @ Sam Houston St. L 64-73 21%    
  Jan 16, 2019 279   Central Arkansas L 75-78 38%    
  Jan 19, 2019 159   Stephen F. Austin L 67-77 18%    
  Jan 23, 2019 230   @ Lamar L 66-78 14%    
  Jan 26, 2019 263   New Orleans L 67-71 35%    
  Jan 30, 2019 285   Houston Baptist L 79-82 39%    
  Feb 02, 2019 263   @ New Orleans L 64-74 18%    
  Feb 09, 2019 301   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 63-71 23%    
  Feb 13, 2019 298   @ SE Louisiana L 62-70 23%    
  Feb 16, 2019 164   Abilene Christian L 63-73 19%    
  Feb 20, 2019 230   Lamar L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 23, 2019 159   @ Stephen F. Austin L 64-80 8%    
  Feb 27, 2019 347   @ Northwestern St. W 70-69 51%    
  Mar 02, 2019 301   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 66-68 42%    
  Mar 06, 2019 285   @ Houston Baptist L 76-85 21%    
  Mar 09, 2019 164   @ Abilene Christian L 60-76 8%    
Projected Record 6.0 - 21.0 4.9 - 13.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 2.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.4 0.1 3.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.1 2.6 0.5 0.0 5.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.9 1.3 0.1 7.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.2 2.7 0.2 0.0 11.3 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 4.4 7.0 4.0 0.6 0.0 17.1 11th
12th 0.6 3.2 7.8 8.9 4.7 0.9 0.0 26.1 12th
13th 1.6 5.0 6.9 5.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 21.6 13th
Total 1.6 5.6 10.2 14.3 16.0 15.1 12.8 9.7 6.6 4.1 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 83.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 47.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 24.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 5.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 11.2% 11.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.2% 8.5% 8.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.5% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 1.2% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 1.1
10-8 2.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.2
9-9 4.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.1
8-10 6.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.6
7-11 9.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.7
6-12 12.8% 12.8
5-13 15.1% 15.1
4-14 16.0% 16.0
3-15 14.3% 14.3
2-16 10.2% 10.2
1-17 5.6% 5.6
0-18 1.6% 1.6
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.5%