Incarnate Word
Southland
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.5#339
Achievement Rating-20.8#348
Pace64.3#303
Improvement-0.5#210

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#285
First Shot-2.1#244
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#327
Layup/Dunks+0.8#155
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#178
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#297
Freethrows+1.0#110
Improvement-1.1#240

Defense
Total Defense-9.1#349
First Shot-7.7#350
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#298
Layups/Dunks-5.4#339
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#68
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#288
Freethrows-1.0#240
Improvement+0.6#148
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 98.0% 95.0% 99.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lamar (Home) - 30.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 9   @ Texas Tech L 37-87 1%     0 - 1 -30.3 -20.3 -11.8
  Nov 16, 2018 109   Montana L 66-93 6%     0 - 2 -22.7 -0.8 -23.7
  Nov 17, 2018 194   North Dakota St. W 80-78 14%     1 - 2 +0.0 +0.2 -0.3
  Nov 18, 2018 168   Florida Atlantic L 68-71 11%     1 - 3 -3.3 +5.1 -8.6
  Nov 21, 2018 183   Northern Colorado L 64-90 19%     1 - 4 -30.1 -10.9 -19.1
  Nov 25, 2018 332   @ SIU Edwardsville L 68-80 32%     1 - 5 -20.8 -3.9 -17.8
  Dec 09, 2018 22   @ LSU L 50-91 1%     1 - 6 -23.9 -18.1 -5.2
  Dec 17, 2018 196   @ Illinois-Chicago L 57-63 10%     1 - 7 -5.3 -12.6 +7.1
  Dec 19, 2018 98   @ DePaul L 71-81 3%     1 - 8 -2.2 +3.2 -5.8
  Jan 02, 2019 324   McNeese St. L 77-88 50%     1 - 9 0 - 1 -24.4 +1.1 -26.4
  Jan 05, 2019 322   Nicholls St. W 65-58 49%     2 - 9 1 - 1 -6.2 -10.2 +4.5
  Jan 12, 2019 173   @ Sam Houston St. L 52-66 8%     2 - 10 1 - 2 -11.7 -16.8 +4.4
  Jan 16, 2019 302   Central Arkansas L 60-77 40%     2 - 11 1 - 3 -27.8 -15.7 -13.0
  Jan 19, 2019 274   Stephen F. Austin L 71-74 34%     2 - 12 1 - 4 -12.2 -0.7 -11.7
  Jan 23, 2019 245   @ Lamar L 81-87 15%     2 - 13 1 - 5 -8.1 +1.6 -9.3
  Jan 26, 2019 269   New Orleans L 52-61 33%     2 - 14 1 - 6 -18.0 -12.4 -7.2
  Jan 30, 2019 288   Houston Baptist L 92-96 37%     2 - 15 1 - 7 -14.0 +3.3 -16.8
  Feb 02, 2019 269   @ New Orleans L 72-89 17%     2 - 16 1 - 8 -20.5 -5.8 -13.0
  Feb 09, 2019 282   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 61-70 19%     2 - 17 1 - 9 -13.0 +1.0 -15.9
  Feb 13, 2019 242   @ SE Louisiana L 64-70 14%     2 - 18 1 - 10 -8.0 -3.4 -4.9
  Feb 16, 2019 169   Abilene Christian L 48-68 16%     2 - 19 1 - 11 -23.1 -19.8 -5.6
  Feb 20, 2019 245   Lamar L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 23, 2019 274   @ Stephen F. Austin L 66-76 17%    
  Feb 27, 2019 331   @ Northwestern St. L 67-72 32%    
  Mar 02, 2019 282   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 66-70 37%    
  Mar 06, 2019 288   @ Houston Baptist L 73-82 19%    
  Mar 09, 2019 169   @ Abilene Christian L 60-76 6%    
Projected Record 3.4 - 23.6 2.4 - 15.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 0.2 0.9 11th
12th 1.8 3.4 1.6 0.0 7.0 12th
13th 21.1 36.0 25.7 8.5 0.7 0.0 91.9 13th
Total 21.1 36.0 27.5 11.9 3.0 0.4 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 0.0% 0.0
6-12 0.4% 0.4
5-13 3.0% 3.0
4-14 11.9% 11.9
3-15 27.5% 27.5
2-16 36.0% 36.0
1-17 21.1% 21.1
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 21.1%