Iowa St.
Big 12
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.3#21
Achievement Rating+11.9#51
Pace71.5#134
Improvement-1.1#254

Offense
Total Offense+7.8#22
First Shot+9.1#7
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#252
Layup/Dunks+5.1#32
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#147
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#127
Freethrows+1.9#79
Improvement+0.6#127

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#39
First Shot+6.9#22
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#264
Layups/Dunks+6.2#17
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#265
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#225
Freethrows+3.5#25
Improvement-1.7#299
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 1.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 16.8% 18.0% 7.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 69.6% 71.5% 54.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 66.4% 68.3% 51.5%
Average Seed 6.8 6.7 7.7
.500 or above 95.3% 96.4% 87.3%
.500 or above in Conference 68.9% 70.2% 59.3%
Conference Champion 10.5% 11.0% 6.4%
Last Place in Conference 3.7% 3.4% 6.0%
First Four5.0% 4.8% 6.2%
First Round67.7% 69.6% 52.3%
Second Round45.2% 46.9% 32.4%
Sweet Sixteen21.4% 22.4% 13.4%
Elite Eight9.6% 10.1% 5.5%
Final Four4.0% 4.2% 2.2%
Championship Game1.6% 1.7% 0.8%
National Champion0.6% 0.7% 0.3%

Next Game: Drake (Neutral) - 88.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 328   Alabama St. W 79-53 99%     1 - 0 +11.8 -2.7 +14.2
  Nov 09, 2018 83   Missouri W 76-59 83%     2 - 0 +20.1 +4.6 +15.5
  Nov 12, 2018 220   Texas Southern W 85-73 96%     3 - 0 +5.5 -0.6 +4.8
  Nov 19, 2018 40   Arizona L 66-71 60%     3 - 1 +5.8 -1.8 +7.7
  Nov 20, 2018 91   Illinois W 84-68 77%     4 - 1 +21.7 +17.2 +5.1
  Nov 21, 2018 69   San Diego St. W 87-57 73%     5 - 1 +37.0 +27.0 +13.9
  Nov 26, 2018 232   Nebraska Omaha W 82-55 96%     6 - 1 +19.7 -1.3 +19.3
  Dec 03, 2018 204   North Dakota St. W 81-59 95%     7 - 1 +16.4 -0.2 +15.8
  Dec 06, 2018 39   @ Iowa L 84-98 47%     7 - 2 +0.1 +10.0 -9.0
  Dec 09, 2018 333   Southern W 101-65 99%     8 - 2 +21.1 +14.1 +5.4
  Dec 15, 2018 157   Drake W 85-72 89%    
  Dec 21, 2018 317   Eastern Illinois W 85-59 99%    
  Jan 02, 2019 73   @ Oklahoma St. W 76-73 63%    
  Jan 05, 2019 4   Kansas L 75-77 41%    
  Jan 08, 2019 84   @ Baylor W 72-68 65%    
  Jan 12, 2019 26   Kansas St. W 70-66 63%    
  Jan 16, 2019 12   @ Texas Tech L 67-72 31%    
  Jan 19, 2019 73   Oklahoma St. W 79-70 81%    
  Jan 21, 2019 4   @ Kansas L 72-80 22%    
  Jan 26, 2019 66   @ Mississippi W 80-77 61%    
  Jan 30, 2019 38   West Virginia W 78-73 68%    
  Feb 02, 2019 42   Texas W 73-67 70%    
  Feb 04, 2019 24   @ Oklahoma L 76-79 40%    
  Feb 09, 2019 29   TCU W 77-73 64%    
  Feb 16, 2019 26   @ Kansas St. L 67-69 41%    
  Feb 19, 2019 84   Baylor W 75-65 82%    
  Feb 23, 2019 29   @ TCU L 74-76 42%    
  Feb 25, 2019 24   Oklahoma W 79-76 62%    
  Mar 02, 2019 42   @ Texas L 70-71 50%    
  Mar 06, 2019 38   @ West Virginia L 75-76 46%    
  Mar 09, 2019 12   Texas Tech W 70-69 52%    
Projected Record 20.3 - 10.7 9.8 - 8.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.7 3.1 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 10.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.3 4.4 1.7 0.3 0.0 14.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.1 6.4 4.1 1.0 0.1 15.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.6 3.8 0.6 0.0 14.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.5 6.3 3.5 0.4 0.0 13.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.3 3.3 0.5 0.0 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.1 3.0 0.5 0.0 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.7 2.1 0.4 0.0 6.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.2 5.5 8.4 11.4 13.5 14.1 13.3 11.2 8.1 4.9 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 97.4% 0.9    0.9 0.1
15-3 87.1% 2.3    1.8 0.5 0.0
14-4 62.6% 3.1    1.8 1.1 0.2 0.0
13-5 33.3% 2.7    1.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
12-6 9.9% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.5% 10.5 6.0 3.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 33.3% 66.7% 1.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.3% 100.0% 41.2% 58.8% 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.0% 100.0% 32.3% 67.7% 1.8 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.6% 100.0% 28.3% 71.7% 2.5 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
14-4 4.9% 99.9% 23.0% 76.8% 3.4 0.1 1.0 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
13-5 8.1% 99.5% 18.7% 80.8% 4.4 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.4 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.4%
12-6 11.2% 98.2% 14.4% 83.9% 5.6 0.1 0.7 2.2 2.8 2.4 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 97.9%
11-7 13.3% 95.6% 10.8% 84.8% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.9 2.9 2.8 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.6 95.1%
10-8 14.1% 88.7% 8.2% 80.5% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.5 2.8 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.6 87.7%
9-9 13.5% 76.2% 6.3% 69.9% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.9 2.4 2.4 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.2 74.6%
8-10 11.4% 42.7% 4.1% 38.6% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.6 40.2%
7-11 8.4% 14.6% 2.1% 12.5% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 7.2 12.8%
6-12 5.5% 3.3% 1.6% 1.7% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.3 1.7%
5-13 3.2% 0.8% 0.8% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2 0.1%
4-14 1.6% 0.7% 0.7% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
3-15 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 2.1% 2.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 69.6% 9.6% 60.0% 6.8 1.0 3.1 5.7 7.1 7.8 8.7 8.4 8.1 6.5 5.7 4.4 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 30.4 66.4%